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The Relationship Between Gun Ownership and Firearm Homicide Rates in the United States, 1981–2010
Abstract
Objectives. We examined the relationship between levels of household firearm ownership, as measured directly and by a proxy—the percentage of suicides committed with a firearm—and age-adjusted firearm homicide rates at the state level. Methods. We conducted a negative binomial regression analysis of panel data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Web-Based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting Systems database on gun ownership and firearm homicide rates across all 50 states during 1981 to 2010. We determined fixed effects for year, accounted for clustering within states with generalized estimating equations, and controlled for potential state-level confounders. Results. Gun ownership was a significant predictor of firearm homicide rates (incidence rate ratio = 1.009; 95% confidence interval = 1.004, 1.014). This model indicated that for each percentage point increase in gun ownership, the firearm homicide rate increased by 0.9%. Conclusions. We observed a robust correlation between higher levels of gun ownership and higher firearm homicide rates. Although we could not determine causation, we found that states with higher rates of gun ownership had disproportionately large numbers of deaths from firearm-related homicides.
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“Research has shown that areas or states in the US with higher gun ownership rates had higher firearm homicide rates (Miller, Azrael, & Hemenway, 2002; Siegel, Ross, & King, 2013) indicating an expected link between gun access and gun violence.”
From Dangerous weapons or dangerous people? The temporal associations between gun violence and mental health (2019) · cites this paper as Siegel, Ross, & King, 2013
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Cited by
Mokdad (2018) · doi:10.1001/jama.2018.0158 · Cited by 1,517
Prevention of Firearm Suicide in the United States: What Works and What Is Possible
Mann, J. J., & Michel, C. A. (2016) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.2016.16010069 · Cited by 208
Firearm Ownership and Suicide Rates Among US Men and Women, 1981–2013
Siegel, M., & Rothman, E. F. (2016) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.2016.303182 · Cited by 149
Self-citationLu, Y., & Temple, J. R. (2019) · Preventive Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.ypmed.2019.01.008 · Cited by 45
Metadata
- Authors
- Siegel, M., Ross, C. S., & King, C.
- Affiliations
- Michael Siegel is with the Department of Community Health Sciences, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA. Craig S. Ross is with Virtual Media Resources, Natick, MA. Charles King III is with Greylock McKinnon Associates, Cambridge, and Pleiades Consulting Group, Lincoln, MA.
- Venue
- American Journal of Public Health
- Publisher
- American Public Health Association
- Published
- 2013-11
- Volume
- 103
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 2098-2105
- ISSN
- 0090-0036
- 1541-0048
- Cited by
- 227
- References
- 1
- Language
- en
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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