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Default Risk on Government Debt in OECD Countries

Alesina, Alberto, Broeck, Mark De, Prati, Alessandro, Tabellini, Guido, Obstfeld, Maurice, Rebelo, Sergio·1992·Economic Policy

Abstract

Default risk Alberto Alesina, Mark De Broeck, Alessandro Prati and Guido Tabellini Different European countries pay very different interest rates on their public debts. Will these differences disappear if and when exchange rates come to be irrevocably fixed in the European Monetary Union? Or rather will default risks in the high debt countries keep interest rates from converging? To answer this question, this paper investigates whether a perceived default risk is already priced by the market The paper compares the interest rates on public and private financial instruments denominated in the same currencies in 12 OECD countries. A strong correlation is found between the size of public indebtedness and the spread between public and private rates of return. This correlation suggests that the markets perceive a default risk on the public debt of some OECD countries. The size of this default risk is however very small.

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Metadata

Authors
Alesina, A., Broeck, M. D., Prati, A., Tabellini, G., Obstfeld, M., & Rebelo, S.
Venue
Economic Policy
Published
1992-10
Volume
7
Issue
15
Pages
427
ISSN
0266-4658 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2011058531
Cited by
291
References
1
FWCI
10.58
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Default Risk on Government Debt in OECD Countries. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.2307/1344548
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Alesina, A., Broeck, M. D., Prati, A., Tabellini, G., Obstfeld, M., & Rebelo, S. (1992). Default Risk on Government Debt in OECD Countries. Economic Policy. https://doi.org/10.2307/1344548

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

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