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A Dynamic Simultaneous Equation Model of Electoral Choice
Abstract
This article develops a simultaneous equation model of the voting decision in a form thought to mirror the main lines of cognitive decision-making processes of individual voters. The model goes beyond earlier efforts in two respects. First, it explicitly represents the causal interdependence of voter assessments in the election situation, permitting such estimations as the degree to which correlations between voter issue positions and issue positions ascribed to preferred candidates arise because of projection onto the candidate or persuasion by the candidate. Secondly, the model is truly dynamic, in the sense that it is dependent on longitudinal data for its proper estimation. The utility of the model is certified by the goodness of fit achieved when applied to 1972–76 panel data for a sample of the national electorate.
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Cites
Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes.
Nisbett, R. E., & Wilson, T. D. (1977) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.84.3.231 · Cited by 11,317
Cited by
Beyond the Running Tally: Partisan Bias in Political Perceptions
Bartels, L. M. (2002) · Political Behavior · doi:10.1023/a:1021226224601 · Cited by 1,468
Losers' Consent: Elections and Democratic Legitimacy
Anderson, C. J., Blais, A., Bowler, S., Donovan, T., & Listhaug, O. (2005) · doi:10.1093/0199276382.001.0001 · Cited by 820
Ideological Realignment in the U.S. Electorate
Abramowitz, A. I., & Saunders, K. L. (1998) · The Journal of Politics · doi:10.2307/2647642 · Cited by 681
Carsey, T. M., & Layman, G. C. (2006) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2006.00196.x · Cited by 633
Does Media Coverage of Partisan Polarization Affect Political Attitudes?
Levendusky, M., & Malhotra, N. (2016) · Political Communication · doi:10.1080/10584609.2015.1038455 · Cited by 419
Metadata
- Authors
- Markus, G. B., & Converse, P. E.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 1979-12
- Volume
- 73
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 1055-1070
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W1982876170
- Cited by
- 679
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 63.84
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Markus, G. B., & Converse, P. E. (1979). A Dynamic Simultaneous Equation Model of Electoral Choice. American Political Science Review. https://doi.org/10.2307/1953989
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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