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Closeness, Expenditures, and Turnout in the 1982 U.S. House Elections
Abstract
Students of elections have repeatedly found that the closeness of an election is modestly correlated with turnout. This may be due to a direct response of instrumentally motivated voters, but recent theoretical work casts doubt on the adequacy of this explanation. Another possibility is that elite actors respond to closeness with greater effort at mobilization. We explore the latter possibility by using FEC and state data on campaign expenditures in House, Senate, and gubernatorial races. Our results indicate that closeness has an effect at both the mass and elite levels. We also provide quantitative estimates of the effect of Senate and gubernatorial expenditure on House turnout.
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Cites
On the psychology of prediction.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/h0034747 · Cited by 6,202
Cited by
Aldrich, J. H. (1993) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.2307/2111531 · Cited by 1,203
Explaining voter turnout: A review of aggregate-level research
Geys, B. (2006) · Electoral Studies · doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2005.09.002 · Cited by 860
Altman, D. (2010) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511933950 · Cited by 537
Attitudes, Opportunities and Incentives: A Field Essay on Political Participation
Leighley, J. E. (1995) · Political Research Quarterly · doi:10.1177/106591299504800111 · Cited by 462
The Myth of the Vanishing Voter
McDonald, M. P., & Popkin, S. L. (2001) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055400400134 · Cited by 448
Metadata
- Authors
- Cox, G. W., & Munger, M. C.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 1989-03
- Volume
- 83
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 217-231
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W2090873117
- Cited by
- 542
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 15.98
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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