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Time Series Tests of Endogenous Growth Models
Open accessAbstract
According to endogenous growth theory, permanent changes in certain policy variables have permanent effects on the rate of economic growth. Empirically, however, U. S. growth rates exhibit no large persistent changes. Therefore, the determinants of long-run growth highlighted by a specific growth model must similarly exhibit no large persistent changes, or the persistent movement in these variables must be offsetting. Otherwise, the growth model is inconsistent with time series evidence. This paper argues that many AK-style models and R&D-based models of endogenous growth are rejected by this criterion. The rejection of the R&D-based models is particularly strong.
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Cites
On the mechanics of economic development
Lucas, R. E. (1988) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-3932(88)90168-7 · Cited by 24,085
The Penn World Table (Mark 5): An Expanded Set of International Comparisons, 1950-1988
Summers, R., & Heston, A. (1991) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/2937941 · Cited by 3,429
Cited by
Temple, J. (1999) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.37.1.112 · Cited by 2,095
Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Role of Stock Markets
Arestis, P., Demetriades, P. O., & Luintel, K. B. (2001) · Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · doi:10.2307/2673870 · Cited by 1,110
The Burden of Knowledge and the “Death of the Renaissance Man”: Is Innovation Getting Harder?
JONES, B. F. (2009) · Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1467-937x.2008.00531.x · Cited by 1,058
Trade, Foreign Direct Investment, and International Technology Transfer: A Survey
Saggi, K. (2002) · The World Bank Research Observer · doi:10.1093/wbro/17.2.191 · Cited by 732
The missing link: knowledge diffusion and entrepreneurship in endogenous growth
Braunerhjelm, P., Acs, Z. J., Audretsch, D. B., & Carlsson, B. (2010) · Small Business Economics · doi:10.1007/s11187-009-9235-1 · Cited by 587
Metadata
- Authors
- Jones, C. I.
- Venue
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1995-05-01
- Volume
- 110
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 495-525
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W2026049404
- Cited by
- 1,462
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 67.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Jones, C. I. (1995). Time Series Tests of Endogenous Growth Models. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118448
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
