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The Effect of Liquor Taxes on Heavy Drinking
Abstract
In this article we present the strongest evidence to date that chronic heavy drinkers' consumption is responsive to changes in the price of liquor. We estimate that an increase in the liquor excise tax by one dollar (1967 prices) per proof gallon reduces the liver cirrhosis mortality rate by 5.4% in the short run and by perhaps twice that amount in the long run. (The liver cirrhosis mortality rate is a reliable proxy for the prevalence of chronic excess consumption.) Our estimate is based on an analysis of covariance of annual state-level data, for a 16-year panel of 30 states, with state excise taxes and per capita income as the covariates. Of course, our estimate is not sufficient to determine whether an increase in the liquor tax is worthwhile, much less to determine an "optimal" tax. It is, however, an important datum for making these determinations.
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Cites
Specification Tests in Econometrics
Hausman, J. A. (1978) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913827 · Cited by 18,820
Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects
Nickell, S. (1981) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1911408 · Cited by 8,735
Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods
Granger, C. W. J. (2010) · Essays in Econometrics · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511753978.002 · Cited by 4,762
Cited by
Hawkins, J. D., Catalano, R. F., & Miller, J. Y. (1992) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.112.1.64 · Cited by 5,428
Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation
Imbens, G. W., & Wooldridge, J. M. (2009) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.47.1.5 · Cited by 4,926
Natural and Quasi-Experiments in Economics
Meyer, B. D. (1995) · Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · doi:10.1080/07350015.1995.10524589 · Cited by 1,100
Hingson, R., Heeren, T., Winter, M., & Wechsler, H. (2005) · Annual Review of Public Health · doi:10.1146/annurev.publhealth.26.021304.144652 · Cited by 1,102
The Estimation of Causal Effects by Difference-in-Difference Methods
Lechner, M. (2011) · Foundations and Trends® in Econometrics · doi:10.1561/0800000014 · Cited by 935
“1 The already mentioned paper by Donald and Lang (2007) is also particularly interested in the case of a small number of treated and controls, while the study by Conley and Taber (2011) mentioned above provides an alternative analysis that is geared to the intermediate case of a larger number of nontreated and a small…”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Cook, P. J., & Tauchen, G.
- Venue
- The Bell Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- JSTOR
- Published
- 1982
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 379
- ISSN
- 0361-915X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1533505857
- Cited by
- 318
- References
- 3
- FWCI
- 6.55
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Cook, P. J., & Tauchen, G. (1982). The Effect of Liquor Taxes on Heavy Drinking. The Bell Journal of Economics. https://doi.org/10.2307/3003461
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
