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The Economic Impact of a Bioterrorist Attack: Are Prevention and Postattack Intervention Programs Justifiable?
Open accessAbstract
Understanding and quantifying the impact of a bioterrorist attack are essential in developing public health preparedness for such an attack. We constructed a model that compares the impact of three classic agents of biologic warfare (Bacillus anthracis, Brucella melitensis, and Francisella tularensis) when released as aerosols in the suburb of a major city. The model shows that the economic impact of a bioterrorist attack can range from an estimated $477.7 million per 100,000 persons exposed (brucellosis scenario) to $26.2 billion per 100,000 persons exposed (anthrax scenario). Rapid implementation of a postattack prophylaxis program is the single most important means of reducing these losses. By using an insurance analogy, our model provides economic justification for preparedness measures.
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Cited by
Anthrax as a Biological Weapon: Medical and Public Health Management
Inglesby, T. V., Henderson, D. A., Bartlett, J. G., Ascher, M. S., Eitzen, E., Friedlander, A. M., Hauer, J., McDade, J., Osterholm, M. T., O'Toole, T., et al. (1999) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.281.18.1735 · Cited by 892
Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza
Mills, C. E., Robins, J. M., & Lipsitch, M. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03063 · Cited by 796
Tularemia: History, Epidemiology, Pathogen Physiology, and Clinical Manifestations
SJÖSTEDT, A. (2007) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1196/annals.1409.009 · Cited by 593
The political economy of terrorism
(2006) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.43-5994 · Cited by 462
Overhage, J. M., Grannis, S., & McDonald, C. J. (2008) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.2006.092700 · Cited by 179
Metadata
- Venue
- Emerging Infectious Diseases
- Published
- 1997-06
- Volume
- 3
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 83-94
- ISSN
- 1080-6040 (ISSN-L)
- 1080-6059
- OpenAlex
- W2103989683
- Cited by
- 465
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 18.86
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
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