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Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation
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We document large, longer-term, joint regime shifts in asset valuations and the real federal funds rate-r* spread.To interpret these findings, we estimate a novel macro-finance model of monetary transmission and find that the documented regimes coincide with shifts in the parameters of a policy rule, with long-term consequences for the real interest rate.Estimates imply that two-thirds of the decline in the real interest rate since the early 1980s is attributable to regime changes in monetary policy.The model explains how infrequent changes in the monetary policy stance can generate persistent changes in asset valuations and the equity premium.
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“First, Bianchi, Lettau, and Ludvigson (2016) and Bianchi and Melosi (2017) present evidence of structural breaks in the conduct of monetary policy in the post-millennial period.”
From Threats to central bank independence: High-frequency identification with twitter (2023) · cites this paper as Bianchi, Lettau, and Ludvigson (2016)
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Threats to central bank independence: High-frequency identification with twitter
Bianchi, F., Gómez-Cram, R., Kind, T., & Kung, H. (2023) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.01.001 · Cited by 89
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Metadata
- Authors
- Bianchi, F., Lettau, M., & Ludvigson, S.
- Affiliations
- HEC Montréal (CA)
- Venue
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Publisher
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Published
- 2016-08
- OpenAlex
- W2605729788
- Cited by
- 37
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2024: 2 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 4
- Type
- report
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic theories and models
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
- Keywords
- monetary policy, asset valuation, monetary policy transmission, macro-finance model, equity premium, asset prices
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