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Intermediate Goods and Business Cycles: Implications for Productivity and Welfare

Open access
Basu, Susanto·1994·National Bureau of Economic Research

Abstract

This paper presents an aggregate demand-driven model of business cycles that provides a new explanation for the procyclicality of productivity, and simultaneously predicts large welfare losses from monetary non-neutrality.The key features of the model are an input-output production structure, imperfect competition, counteityclical markups, and, for some results, statedependent price rigidity.True technical efficiency is procyclical even though production takes place with constant returns, without technology shocks or technological externalities.The paper has observable implications that distinguish it empirically from related work.These implications are generally supported by data from U.S. manufacturing industries.

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Metadata

Authors
Basu, S.
Venue
National Bureau of Economic Research
Published
1994-08
OpenAlex
W1582605398
Cited by
414
References
0
Type
report
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Intermediate Goods and Business Cycles: Implications for Productivity and Welfare. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.3386/w4817
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Basu, S. (1994). Intermediate Goods and Business Cycles: Implications for Productivity and Welfare. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w4817

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.