Repercussions of absolute and time-rated BMI “yo-yo” fluctuations on cardiovascular stress-related morbidities within the vascular-metabolic CUN cohort
Open accessAbstract
Aims: The association between body mass index (BMI) fluctuation and BMI fluctuation rate with cardiovascular stress morbidities in a Caucasian European cohort was evaluated to ascertain the impact of weight cycling. Methods: A total of 4,312 patients of the Vascular-Metabolic CUN cohort (VMCUN cohort) were examined and followed up during 9.35 years ( ± 4.39). Cox proportional hazard ratio analyses were performed to assess the risk of developing cardiovascular stress-related diseases (CVDs) across quartiles of BMI fluctuation, measured as the average successive variability (ASV) (ASV = |BMIt0 − BMIt1| + |BMIt1 − BMIt2| + |BMIt2-BMIt3| +…+ |BMItn – 1 − BMItn|/ n − 1), and quartiles of BMI fluctuation rate (ASV/year). Results: There were 436 incident cases of CVD-associated events involving 40,323.32 person-years of follow-up. A progressively increased risk of CVD in subjects with greater ASV levels was found. Also, a higher level of ASV/year was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing CVD stress independent of confounding factors with a value of 3.71 (95% CI: 2.71-5.07) for those in the highest quartile and 1.82 (95% CI: 1.33-2.50) for those in the third quartile. Conclusions: The BMI fluctuation rate seems to be a better predictor than BMI fluctuation of the potential development of cardiovascular stress morbidities. The time-rated weight fluctuations are apparently more determinant in increasing the risk of a CVD than the weight fluctuation itself, which is remarkable in subjects under “yo-yo” weight patterns for precision medicine.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Given existing evidence that even non-MetS obese individuals face elevated cardiovascular risk, these false positives may represent a clinically meaningful subgroup who could benefit from earlier lifestyle or medical interventions.
“Given existing evidence that even non-MetS obese individuals face elevated cardiovascular risk [43–45], these so-called “false positives” may represent a clinically meaningful subgroup who could benefit from earlier lifestyle or medical interventions.”
From Machine learning with the body roundness index and associated indicators: a new approach to predicting metabolic syndrome (2025) · cites this paper as [44]
The Introduction (page unavailable) calls obesity a well-established cardiovascular risk factor. Neither that passage nor the Discussion passages distinguish obese people without metabolic syndrome, so the source does not establish the claim for the non-MetS subgroup. The suggestion about intervening for “false positives” is the citing authors’ own inference, not the point attributed to this source. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
No citation lists for this paper
No citation lists for this paper yet — checked again daily.
References 60 · Cited by 5
Research works printed but not linked: 57
- [1]Hruby A Manson JE Qi L Malik VS Rimm EB Sun Q. Determinants and consequences of obesity. Am J Public Health (2016) 106(9): 1656–62. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2016.303326 PMC4981805 27459460 · DOI
- [2]Arnett DK Blumenthal RS Albert MA Buroker AB Goldberger ZD Hahn EJ. ACC/AHA guideline on the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease: A report of the American college of Cardiology/American heart association task force on clinical practice guidelines. Circulation (2019) 140(11): e596–646. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0000000000000678 PMC7734661 30879355 · DOI · Paper page
- [3]Lavie CJ Milani RV Ventura HO. Obesity and cardiovascular disease: Risk factor, paradox, and impact of weight loss. J Am Coll Cardiol (2009) 53(21): 1925–32. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2008.12.068 19460605 · DOI · Paper page
- [4]Holvoet P. Stress in obesity and associated metabolic and cardiovascular disorders. Scientifica (Cairo). (2012) 2012: 205027. doi: 10.6064/2012/205027 24278677 PMC3820434 · DOI
- [5]Hjemdahl P. Stress and the metabolic syndrome: An interesting but enigmatic association. Circulation (2002) 106(21): 2634–6. doi: 10.1161/01.CIR.0000041502.43564.79 12438283 · DOI
- [6]Xiao Y Liu D Cline MA Gilbert ER. Chronic stress, epigenetics, and adipose tissue metabolism in the obese state. Nutr Metab (Lond). (2020) 17: 88. doi: 10.1186/s12986-020-00513-4 33088334 PMC7574417 · DOI
- [7]Contreras RE Schriever SC Pfluger PT. Physiological and epigenetic features of yoyo dieting and weight control. Front Genet (2019) 10: 1015. doi: 10.3389/fgene.2019.01015 31921275 PMC6917653 · DOI
- [8]Atkinson RL Dietz WH Foreyt JP Goodwin NJ Hill JO Hirsch J. Weight cycling. national task force on the prevention and treatment of obesity. JAMA (1994) 272(15): 1196–202. 7741844
- [9]Lissner L Odell PM D'Agostino RB Stokes J Kreger BE Belanger AJ. Variability of body weight and health outcomes in the framingham population. N Engl J Med (1991) 324(26): 1839–44. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199106273242602 2041550 · DOI
- [10]Yeboah P Hsu FC Bertoni AG Yeboah J. Body mass index, change in weight, body weight variability and outcomes in type 2 diabetes mellitus (from the ACCORD trial). Am J Cardiol (2019) 123(4): 576–81. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2018.11.016 30553512 · DOI
- [11]Bangalore S Messerli FH Waters DD. Body-weight fluctuations and outcomes in coronary disease. N Engl J Med (2017) 377(1): 95–6. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1606148 28679098 · DOI
- [12]Ceriello A Lucisano G Prattichizzo F Eliasson B Franzén S Svensson AM. Variability in body weight and the risk of cardiovascular complications in type 2 diabetes: Results from the Swedish national diabetes register. Cardiovasc Diabetol (2021) 20(1): 173. doi: 10.1186/s12933-021-01360-0 34446018 PMC8394543 · DOI
- [13]Youk TM Kang MJ Song SO Park EC. Effects of BMI and LDL-cholesterol change pattern on cardiovascular disease in normal adults and diabetics. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care (2020) 8(2): e001340. doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2020-001340 PMC7757466 33355207 · DOI
- [14]Oh TJ Moon JH Choi SH Lim S Park KS Cho NH. Body-weight fluctuation and incident diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular disease, and mortality: A 16-year prospective cohort study. J Clin Endocrinol Metab (2019) 104(3): 639–46. doi: 10.1210/jc.2018-01239 30500906 · DOI
- [15]Nam GE Kim W Han K Lee CW Kwon Y Han B. Body weight variability and the risk of cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: A nationwide cohort study. Diabetes Care (2020) 43(9): 2234–41. doi: 10.2337/dc19-2552 32641375 · DOI
- [16]Kaze AD Santhanam P Erqou S Ahima RS Bertoni AG Echouffo-Tcheugui JB. Body weight variability and risk of cardiovascular outcomes and death in the context of weight loss intervention among patients with type 2 diabetes. JAMA Netw Open (2022) 5(2): e220055. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.0055 35179583 PMC8857684 · DOI
- [17]Stienen S Ferreira JP Girerd N Duarte K Lamiral Z McMurray JJV. Visit-to-visit BMI variability and BMI changes during follow-up in patients with acute myocardial infarction with systolic dysfunction and/or heart failure: Insights from the high-risk myocardial infarction initiative. Clin Res Cardiol (2019) 108(11): 1215–25. doi: 10.1007/s00392-019-01453-7 30953180 · DOI
- [18]Zou H Yin P Liu L Liu W Zhang Z Yang Y. Body-weight fluctuation was associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). (2019) 10: 728. doi: 10.3389/fendo.2019.00728 31787929 PMC6856014 · DOI · Paper page
- [19]Kim MN Han K Yoo J Ha Y Chon YE Lee JH. Body weight variability and the risk of cardiovascular outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Sci Rep (2021) 11(1): 9154. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-88733-3 33911167 PMC8080815 · DOI
- [20]Stevens VL Jacobs EJ Sun J Patel AV McCullough ML Teras LR. Weight cycling and mortality in a large prospective US study. Am J Epidemiol. (2012) 175(8): 785–92. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwr378 22287640 · DOI
- [21]Atlantis E Browning C Kendig H. Body mass index and unintentional weight change associated with all-cause mortality in older australians: The Melbourne longitudinal studies on healthy ageing (MELSHA). Age Ageing. (2010) 39(5): 643–6. doi: 10.1093/ageing/afq073 20584733 · DOI
- [22]Field AE Malspeis S Willett WC. Weight cycling and mortality among middle-aged or older women. Arch Intern Med (2009) 169(9): 881–6. doi: 10.1001/archinternmed.2009.67 PMC2764352 19433700 · DOI
- [23]Xu L Li D. Body-weight fluctuations and outcomes in coronary disease. N Engl J Med (2017) 377(1): 94. 28691789
- [24]Sánchez-Íñigo L Navarro-Gonzalez D Fernández-Montero A Pastrana-Delgado J Martinez JA. The TyG index may predict the development of cardiovascular events. Eur J Clin Invest (2015) 46(2): 189-97. doi: 10.1111/eci.12583 26683265 · DOI
- [25]Declaration of helsinki. recommendations guiding medical doctors in biomedical research involving human subjects. Med J Aust (1976) 1(7): 206–7. 1272152
- [26]Chalmers L MacMahon S Mancia G Whitworth J Beilin L Hansson L. World health organization-international society of hypertension guidelines for the management of hypertension. guidelines subcommittee. J Hypertens (1999) 17(2): 151–83. 10067786
- [27]Guerrero-Romero F Simental-Mendía LE González-Ortiz M Martínez-Abundis E Ramos-Zavala MG Hernández-González SO. The product of triglycerides and glucose, a simple measure of insulin sensitivity. comparison with the euglycemic-hyperinsulinemic clamp. J Clin Endocrinol Metab (2010) 95(7): 3347–51. doi: 10.1210/jc.2010-0288 20484475 · DOI
- [28]World Health Organization Division of Noncommunicable Diseases. World health organization. programme of nutrition family and reproductive health. In: Obesity: preventing and managing the global epidemic: report of a WHO consultation on obesity, Geneva, 3-5 June 1997. Geneva: World Health Organization (1998). p. 276. 11234459
- [29]Youk TM Kang MJ Song SO Park EC. International classification of diseases, tenth revision. Epidemiol Bull (1995) 16(1): 14–6. 7794697
- [30]De Silva AP De Livera AM Lee KJ Moreno-Betancur M Simpson JA. Multiple imputation methods for handling missing values in longitudinal studies with sampling weights: Comparison of methods implemented in stata. Biom J (2021) 63(2): 354–71. doi: 10.1002/bimj.201900360 33103307 · DOI
- [31]Boston RC Sumner AE. STATA: A statistical analysis system for examining biomedical data. Adv Exp Med Biol (2003) 537: 353–69. doi: 10.1007/978-1-4419-9019-8_23 14995047 · DOI
- [32]Fuster JJ Ouchi N Gokce N Walsh K. Obesity-induced changes in adipose tissue microenvironment and their impact on cardiovascular disease. Circ Res (2016) 118(11): 1786–807. doi: 10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.115.306885 PMC4887147 27230642 · DOI
- [33]Strohacker K Carpenter KC McFarlin BK. Consequences of weight cycling: An increase in disease risk? Int J Exerc Sci (2009) 2(3): 191– 201. 25429313 PMC4241770
- [34]Strohacker K McFarlin BK. Influence of obesity, physical inactivity, and weight cycling on chronic inflammation. Front Biosci (Elite Ed). (2010) 2(1): 98– 104. 20036858
- [35]Yatsuya H Tamakoshi K Yoshida T Hori Y Zhang H Ishikawa M. Association between weight fluctuation and fasting insulin concentration in Japanese men. Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord (2003) 27(4): 478–83. doi: 10.1038/sj.ijo.0802221 12664081 · DOI
- [36]Cereda E Malavazos AE Caccialanza R Rondanelli M Fatati G Barichella M. Weight cycling is associated with body weight excess and abdominal fat accumulation: A cross-sectional study. Clin Nutr (2011) 30(6): 718–23. doi: 10.1016/j.clnu.2011.06.009 21764186 · DOI
- [37]Arner P. Not all fat is alike. Lancet (1998) 351(9112): 1301–2. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(05)79052-8 9643790 · DOI
- [38]Item F Konrad D. Visceral fat and metabolic inflammation: The portal theory revisited. Obes Rev (2012) 13 Suppl 2: 30–9. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-789X.2012.01035.x 23107257 · DOI
- [39]Poirier P Giles TD Bray GA Hong Y Stern JS Pi-Sunyer FX. Obesity and cardiovascular disease: Pathophysiology, evaluation, and effect of weight loss. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol (2006) 26(5): 968–76. doi: 10.1161/01.ATV.0000216787.85457.f3 16627822 · DOI
- [41]Shi Y Zhang H Huang S Yin L Wang F Luo P. Epigenetic regulation in cardiovascular disease: Mechanisms and advances in clinical trials. Signal Transduct Target Ther (2022) 7(1): 200. doi: 10.1038/s41392-022-01055-2 35752619 PMC9233709 · DOI
- [42]Mahmoud AM. An overview of epigenetics in obesity: The role of lifestyle and therapeutic interventions. Int J Mol Sci (2022) 23(3): 1341. doi: 10.3390/ijms23031341 35163268 PMC8836029 · DOI
- [43]Sarin HV Lee JH Jauhiainen M Joensuu A Borodulin K Männistö S. Substantial fat mass loss reduces low-grade inflammation and induces positive alteration in cardiometabolic factors in normal-weight individuals. Sci Rep (2019) 9(1): 3450. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-40107-6 30837600 PMC6400952 · DOI
- [44]Piening BD Zhou W Contrepois K Röst H Gu Urban GJ Mishra T. Integrative personal omics profiles during periods of weight gain and loss. Cell Syst (2018) 6(2): 157– 70.e8. doi: 10.1016/j.cels.2017.12.013 29361466 PMC6021558 · DOI
- [45]Goni L García-Granero M Milagro FI Cuervo M Martínez JA. Phenotype and genotype predictors of BMI variability among European adults. Nutr Diabetes. (2018) 8(1): 27. doi: 10.1038/s41387-018-0041-1 29795275 PMC5966508 · DOI
- [47]Kershaw EE Flier JS. Adipose tissue as an endocrine organ. J Clin Endocrinol Metab (2004) 89(6): 2548–56. doi: 10.1210/jc.2004-0395 15181022 · DOI · Paper page
- [48]Folkow B. Physiological aspects of the "defence" and "defeat" reactions. Acta Physiol Scand Suppl. (1997) 640: 34–7. 9401602
- [49]Long NM Nathanielsz PW Ford SP. The impact of maternal overnutrition and obesity on hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis response of offspring to stress. Domest Anim Endocrinol (2012) 42(4): 195– 202. doi: 10.1016/j.domaniend.2011.12.002 22264661 PMC4206411 · DOI
- [50]Nicolaides NC Kyratzi E Lamprokostopoulou A Chrousos GP Charmandari E. Stress, the stress system and the role of glucocorticoids. Neuroimmunomodulation (2015) 22(1-2): 6– 19. doi: 10.1159/000362736 25227402 · DOI · Paper page
- [51]Abraham SB Rubino D Sinaii N Ramsey S Nieman LK. Cortisol, obesity, and the metabolic syndrome: A cross-sectional study of obese subjects and review of the literature. Obes (Silver Spring). (2013) 21(1): E105–17. doi: 10.1002/oby.20083 PMC3602916 23505190 · DOI
- [52]Therrien F Drapeau V Lalonde J Lupien SJ Beaulieu S Tremblay A. Awakening cortisol response in lean, obese, and reduced obese individuals: Effect of gender and fat distribution. Obes (Silver Spring). (2007) 15(2): 377–85. doi: 10.1038/oby.2007.509 17299111 · DOI
- [53]Foreyt JP Brunner RL Goodrick GK Cutter G Brownell KD St Jeor ST. Psychological correlates of weight fluctuation. Int J Eat Disord (1995) 17(3): 263–75. doi: 10.1002/1098-108X(199504)17:3<263::AID-EAT2260170307>3.0.CO;2-N 7773263 · DOI
- [54]Pyykkönen AJ Räikkönen K Tuomi T Eriksson JG Groop L Isomaa B. Stressful life events and the metabolic syndrome: The prevalence, prediction and prevention of diabetes (PPP)-botnia study. Diabetes Care (2010) 33(2): 378–84. doi: 10.2337/dc09-1027 PMC2809287 19880581 · DOI
- [55]Ball GD Gingras JR Fimrite A Villetard K Kayman S McCargar LJ. Weight relapsers, maintainers, and controls: Metabolic and behavioural differences. Can J Appl Physiol (1999) 24(6): 548–58. doi: 10.1139/h99-036 10638342 · DOI
- [56]van der Valk ES Savas M van Rossum EFC. Stress and obesity: Are there more susceptible individuals? Curr Obes Rep (2018) 7(2): 193– 203. doi: 10.1007/s13679-018-0306-y 29663153 PMC5958156 · DOI · Paper page
- [57]Lee JS Kawakubo K Kobayashi Y Mori K Kasihara H Tamura M. Effects of ten year body weight variability on cardiovascular risk factors in Japanese middle-aged men and women. Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord (2001) 25(7): 1063–7. doi: 10.1038/sj.ijo.0801633 11443507 · DOI
- [58]Taylor CB Jatulis DE Fortmann SP Kraemer HC. Weight variability effects: A prospective analysis from the Stanford five-city project. Am J Epidemiol. (1995) 141(5): 461–5. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a117448 7879790 · DOI
- [59]Stovitz SD Banack HR Kaufman JS. Structural bias in studies of cardiovascular disease: Let's not be fooled by the "Obesity paradox". Can J Cardiol (2018) 34(5): 540–2. doi: 10.1016/j.cjca.2017.10.025 29289401 · DOI
- Authors
- Sánchez-Iñigo, L., Navarro-González, D., Martinez-Urbistondo, D., Pastrana, J. C., Fernandez-Montero, A., & Martinez, J. A.
- Venue
- Frontiers in Endocrinology
- Publisher
- Frontiers Media SA
- Published
- 2023-01-09
- Volume
- 13
- Pages
- 1087554-1087554
- ISSN
- 1664-2392 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9868691
- OpenAlex
- W4313889126
- Cited by
- 5
- References
- 60
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 1
- FWCI
- 1.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Frontiers in Endocrinology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Gobierno de Navarra
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Disease and Adiposity
- Keywords
- weight cycling, yo-yo dieting, cardiovascular risk, cardiovascular risk prediction
- MeSH terms
- Cardiovascular Diseases, Humans, Morbidity, Body Mass Index
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review