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An Evidential Software Risk Evaluation Model
Open accessAbstract
Software risk management is an important factor in ensuring software quality. Therefore, software risk assessment has become a significant and challenging research area. The aim of this study is to establish a data-driven software risk assessment model named DDERM. In the proposed model, experts’ risk assessments of probability and severity can be transformed into basic probability assignments (BPAs). Deng entropy was used to measure the uncertainty of the evaluation and to calculate the criteria weights given by experts. In addition, the adjusted BPAs were fused using the rules of Dempster–Shafer evidence theory (DST). Finally, a risk matrix was used to get the risk priority. A case application demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method. The proposed risk modeling framework is a novel approach that provides a rational assessment structure for imprecision in software risk and is applicable to solving similar risk management problems in other domains.
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Metadata
- Authors
- Chen, X., & Deng, Y.
- Affiliations
- Kunming University (CN)
- University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Chen, Xingyuan
- Deng, Yong
- Venue
- Mathematics
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2022-07-02
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 13
- Pages
- 2325
- ISSN
- 2227-7390 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4283793317
- Cited by
- 57
- References
- 76
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 29 · 2022: 13
- FWCI
- 6.74
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Mathematics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (61973332)
- JSPS Invitational Fellowships for Research in Japan (61973332)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Multi-Criteria Decision Making
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Information Systems › Software Engineering Techniques and Practices
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Information Systems › Advanced Decision-Making Techniques
- Keywords
- software risk assessment, software risk management, Dempster-Shafer theory, mass function, Deng entropy, criteria weighting, evidence combination, risk matrix, risk priority, expert opinion, uncertainty quantification
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