The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Peak Phosphorus: Clarifying the Key Issues of a Vigorous Debate about Long-Term Phosphorus Security
Open accessAbstract
This paper reviews the latest information and perspectives on global phosphorus scarcity. Phosphorus is essential for food production and modern agriculture currently sources phosphorus fertilizers from finite phosphate rock. The 2008 food and phosphate fertilizer price spikes triggered increased concerns regarding the depletion timeline of phosphate rock reserves. While estimates range from 30 to 300 years and are shrouded by lack of publicly available data and substantial uncertainty, there is a general consensus that the quality and accessibility of remaining reserves are decreasing and costs will increase. This paper clarifies common sources of misunderstandings about phosphorus scarcity and identifies areas of consensus. It then asks, despite some persistent uncertainty, what would it take to achieve global phosphorus security? What would a ‘hard-landing’ response look like and how could preferred ‘soft-landing’ responses be achieved?
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Citations
Cites
Environment: The disappearing nutrient
Gilbert, N. (2009) · Nature · doi:10.1038/461716a · Cited by 817
Vaccari, D. A. (2009) · Scientific American · doi:10.1038/scientificamerican0609-54 · Cited by 289 · cited 2×
“Peak phosphorus curve indicating a peak in production by 2033, derived from US Geological Survey and industry data.”
Background
Cited by
Transition towards Circular Economy in the Food System
Jurgilevich, A., Birge, T., Kentala-Lehtonen, J., Korhonen-Kurki, K., Pietikäinen, J., Saikku, L., & Schösler, H. (2016) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su8010069 · Cited by 607
Life's Bottleneck: Sustaining the World's Phosphorus for a Food Secure Future
Cordell, D., & White, S. (2014) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-010213-113300 · Cited by 587
Self-citationGérard, F. (2016) · Geoderma · doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2015.08.036 · Cited by 592
Owen, D., Williams, A. P., Griffith, G. W., & Withers, P. J. A. (2015) · Applied Soil Ecology · doi:10.1016/j.apsoil.2014.09.012 · Cited by 417
A better use of fertilizers is needed for global food security and environmental sustainability
Penuelas, J., Coello, F., & Sardans, J. (2023) · Agriculture & Food Security · doi:10.1186/s40066-023-00409-5 · Cited by 409
Metadata
- Authors
- Cordell, D., & White, S.
- Venue
- Sustainability
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2011-10-24
- Volume
- 3
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 2027-2049
- ISSN
- 2071-1050 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1968604082
- Cited by
- 653
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 34.20
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Cordell, D., & White, S. (2011). Peak Phosphorus: Clarifying the Key Issues of a Vigorous Debate about Long-Term Phosphorus Security. Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.3390/su3102027
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.