Exploring the processes controlling secondary inorganic aerosol: evaluating the global GEOS-Chem simulation using a suite of aircraft campaigns
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Abstract
Secondary inorganic aerosols (sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium, SNA) are major contributors to fine particulate matter. Predicting concentrations of these species is complicated by the cascade of processes that control their abundance, including emissions, chemistry, thermodynamic partitioning, and removal. In this study, we use 11 flight campaigns to evaluate the GEOS-Chem model performance for SNA. Across all the campaigns, the model performance is best for sulfate ( R 2 = 0.51; normalized mean bias (NMB) = 0.11) and worst for nitrate ( R 2 =0.22; NMB = 1.76), indicating substantive model deficiencies in the nitrate simulation. Thermodynamic partitioning reproduces the total particulate nitrate well ( R 2 =0.79; NMB = 0.09), but actual partitioning (i.e., ε (NO3-)= NO3- / TNO 3 ) is challenging to assess given the limited sets of full gas- and particle-phase observations needed for ISORROPIA II. In particular, ammonia observations are not often included in aircraft campaigns, and more routine measurements would help constrain sources of SNA model bias. Model performance is sensitive to changes in emissions and dry and wet deposition, with modest improvements associated with the inclusion of different chemical loss and production pathways (i.e., acid uptake on dust, N 2 O 5 uptake, and NO3- photolysis). However, these sensitivity tests show only modest reduction in the nitrate bias, with no improvement to the model skill (i.e., R 2 ), implying that more work is needed to improve the description of loss and production of nitrate and SNA as a whole.
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Chemical transport models are fundamentally limited in capturing the dynamical and chemical feedbacks relevant to SAI.
“While CTMs like GEOS-Chem have been widely applied to study air-pollution-related health outcomes (Norman et al., 2025), they are fundamentally limited in capturing the dynamical and chemical feedbacks relevant to SAI.”
From Air quality impacts of stratospheric aerosol injections are likely small and mainly driven by changes in climate, not aerosol settling (2026) · cites this paper as Norman et al., 2025
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References 119 · Cited by 8
- Authors
- Norman, O. G., Heald, C. L., Bililign, S., Campuzano-Jost, P., Coe, H., Fiddler, M. N., Green, J. R., Jimenez, J. L., Kaiser, K., Liao, J., Middlebrook, A. M., Nault, B. A., Nowak, J. B., Schneider, J., & Welti, A.
- Affiliations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
- ETH Zurich (CH)
- North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University (US)
- University of Manchester (GB)
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US)
- Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (US)
- Max Planck Institute for Chemistry (DE)
- Goddard Space Flight Center (US)
- NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory (US)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Langley Research Center (US)
- Finnish Meteorological Institute (FI)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
- Publisher
- Copernicus GmbH
- Published
- 2025-01-21
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 771-795
- ISSN
- 1680-7316 (ISSN-L)
- 1680-7324
- OpenAlex
- W4406679395
- Cited by
- 8
- References
- 119
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 3
- FWCI
- 3.48
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Atmospheric chemistry and physics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- NOAA Institutional Repository (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NA19OAR4310180)
- Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences (AGS-2223070)
- Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (NA)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
- Keywords
- secondary inorganic aerosol, sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, GEOS-Chem model evaluation, aircraft observations, particulate nitrate, model bias, N2O5 uptake, nitrate photolysis, wet deposition, PM2.5, ISORROPIA II
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