Mellers, Barbara

Emotion-based choice.

Mellers, B., Schwartz, A., & Ritov, I. (1999) · Journal of Experimental Psychology: General

Decision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsNeural and Behavioral Psychology Studies

Cited by 839

Decision Affect Theory: Emotional Reactions to the Outcomes of Risky Options

Mellers, B. A., Schwartz, A., Ho, K., & Ritov, I. (1997) · Psychological Science

Decision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsNeural and Behavioral Psychology Studies

Cited by 736

Do frequency representations eliminate conjunction effects? An exercise in adversarial collaboration

Mellers, B., Hertwig, R., & Kahneman, D. (2001) · Psychological Science

Decision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsPsychology Research and Bibliometrics

Cited by 448

Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament

Mellers, B., Ungar, L., Baron, J., Ramos, J., Gurcay, B., Fincher, K., Scott, S. E., Moore, D., Atanasov, P., Swift, S. A., et al. (2014) · Psychological Science

Forecasting Techniques and ApplicationsDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

Cited by 312

Income and emotional well-being: A conflict resolved

Killingsworth, M. A., Kahneman, D., & Mellers, B. (2023) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Psychological Well-being and Life SatisfactionIncome, Poverty, and Inequality

Cited by 190

Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme

Baron, J., Mellers, B. A., Tetlock, P. E., Stone, E., & Ungar, L. H. (2014) · Decision Analysis

Forecasting Techniques and ApplicationsSports Analytics and Performance

Cited by 130

“Improving Intelligence Analysis with Decision Science.”

Dhami, M. K., Mandel, D. R., Mellers, B. A., & Tetlock, P. E. (2015) · Perspectives on Psychological Science

Intelligence, Security, War StrategyDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

Cited by 104

Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments

Chang, W., Chen, E., Mellers, B., & Tetlock, P. (2016) · Judgment and Decision Making

Decision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsForecasting Techniques and Applications

Cited by 89

Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition

Moore, D. A., Swift, S. A., Minster, A., Mellers, B., Ungar, L., Tetlock, P., Yang, H. H. J., & Tenney, E. R. (2017) · Management Science

Forecasting Techniques and ApplicationsDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

Cited by 74

The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament

Friedman, J. A., Baker, J. D., Mellers, B. A., Tetlock, P. E., & Zeckhauser, R. (2018) · International Studies Quarterly

Forecasting Techniques and ApplicationsIntelligence, Security, War Strategy

Cited by 58

Forecasting tournaments, epistemic humility and attitude depolarization

Mellers, B., Tetlock, P., & Arkes, H. R. (2019) · Cognition

Social and Intergroup PsychologyDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

Cited by 46