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Retinal Arteriolar Narrowing and Risk of Diabetes Mellitus in Middle-aged Persons
Abstract
CONTEXT: Microvascular processes have been hypothesized to play a role in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes mellitus, but prospective clinical data regarding this hypothesis are unavailable. OBJECTIVE: To examine the relation of retinal arteriolar narrowing, a marker of microvascular damage from aging, hypertension, and inflammation, to incident diabetes in healthy middle-aged persons. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, an ongoing population-based, prospective cohort study in 4 US communities that began in 1987-1989. Included in this analysis were 7993 persons aged 49 to 73 years without diabetes, of whom retinal photographs were taken during the third examination (1993-1995). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident diabetes (defined as fasting glucose levels of > or =126 mg/dL [7.0 mmol/L], casual levels of > or =200 mg/dL [11.1 mmol/L], diabetic medications use, or physician diagnosis of diabetes at the fourth examination) by quartile of retinal arteriole-to-venule ratio (AVR). RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 291 persons (3.6%) had incident diabetes. The incidence of diabetes was higher in persons with lower AVR at baseline (2.4%, 3.1%, 4.0%, and 5.2%, from highest to lowest AVR quartile; P for trend < .001). After controlling for fasting glucose and insulin levels, family history of diabetes, adiposity, physical activity, blood pressure, and other factors, persons in the lowest quartile of AVR were 71% more likely to develop diabetes than those in the highest quartile (odds ratio [OR], 1.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-2.57; P for trend =.002). This association persisted with different diagnostic criteria (OR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.10-3.36; P for trend =.01, using a fasting glucose level of > or =141 mg/dL [7.8 mmol/L] as a cutoff), and was seen even in people at lower risk of diabetes, including those without a family history of diabetes, without impaired fasting glucose, and with lower measures of adiposity. CONCLUSIONS: Retinal arteriolar narrowing is independently associated with risk of diabetes, supporting a microvascular role in the development of clinical diabetes.
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“Prediabetes status may be associated with an increased risk of diabetic retinopathy although the findings vary depending on the method of detection.51,79–83”
From Prediabetes: a high-risk state for diabetes development (2012) · cites this paper as [82]
In the citing paper
“Measures of retinal vascular changes, such as lower arteriole-to-venule ratio, increased retinal arteriole or venular calibre, have also been shown to be related to prediabetes or increased risk of diabetes, but the evidence is not entirely consistent.81–83”
From Prediabetes: a high-risk state for diabetes development (2012) · cites this paper as [82]
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Triglyceride-Glucose Index in Central Retinal Artery Occlusion: A Metabolic Risk Factor?
Gündoğan, A. O., Oltulu, R., Belviranlı, S., Tezcan, A., Mirza, E., Adam, M., & Okka, M. (2025) · Genel Tıp Dergisi · doi:10.54005/geneltip.1683730 · Cited by 1
Retinal imaging in gestational diabetes mellitus: systematic review
Kitmiridou, D., Mitrogiannis, I., Charakida, M., & Nicolaides, K. H. (2026) · Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology · doi:10.1002/uog.70218 · Cited by 1
“However, current studies are inconsistent regarding which retinal metrics provide the greatest prognostic value 25,36,37 .”
Retinal Microvascular Alterations in Diabetic Patients Assessed with Novel Imaging Techniques
Liskiewicz-jankowska, M., Dąbrowska, E., Wolf, J., & Narkiewicz, K. (2026) · Life · doi:10.3390/life16071095 · Cited by 1
Zhong, X.-C., Wang, Y., Li, M., Liu, Y., & Hu, D. (2011) · International Conference on Intelligent Control and Information Processing · doi:10.1109/icicip.2011.6008236 · Cited by 1
Stehouwer, C. D. A., Huijberts, M. S., Houben, A. J. H. M., & Schaper, N. C. (2006) · Research Publications (Maastricht University) · Cited by 1
The Chronic Kidney Disease and Abnormal Retinal Blood Vessels
Huang, W., & Li, L. (2019) · Advances in visual science and eye diseases · doi:10.1007/978-981-13-7896-6_26 · Cited by 1
Geometrical and Topological Analysis of Vascular Branches from Fundus Retinal Images
Thom, S., Hughes, A. D., Martínez-Pérez, M. E., Witt, N., & Parker, K. H. (2009) · CRC Press eBooks · doi:10.1201/9781420037005.ch10 · Cited by 1
Charles, L. E., Gu, J. K., & Violanti, J. M. (2024) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph21040439 · Cited by 1
“We were unable to identify other published studies that investigated the impact of shiftwork on retinal arterioles and venules.”
ResultPrediabetes: A Benign Intermediate Stage or a Risk Factor in Itself?
Mulla, I. G., Anjankar, A. P., Pratinidhi, S. A., Agrawal, S. V., Gundpatil, D., & Lambe, S. D. (2024) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.63186 · Cited by 2
“…retinal vascular changes, such as increased retinal venular or arteriolar caliber and lower arteriole-to-venule ratio, have also been reported to be altered in prediabetes or in patients who presented with an elevated risk of diabetes; however, the supporting literature is inconsistent [56,57,59].”
ResultμCT imaging of a multi-organ vascular fingerprint in rats
Napieczyńska, H., Kedziora, S. M., Haase, N., Müller, D. N., Heuser, A., Dechend, R., & Kräker, K. (2024) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0308601 · Cited by 1
Wavelet Filter techniques for segmenting retinal blood vessels
Al-Marghilnai, A., & Mansour, R. F. (2017) · International Journal of ADVANCED AND APPLIED SCIENCES · doi:10.21833/ijaas.2017.09.022 · Cited by 1
“Retinal vessel narrowing can be related to incidents of coronary heart disease in women occurrence of stroke and diabetes in men and women (Wong et al., 2002).”
BackgroundArtery/Vein Vessel Tree Identification in Near-Infrared Reflectance Retinographies
de Moura, J., Novo, J., Rouco, J., Charlón, P., & Ortega, M. (2019) · Journal of Imaging Informatics in Medicine · doi:10.1007/s10278-019-00235-x · Cited by 1
“The analysis of these structures offers a set of biomarkers that allow the identification of several pathologies that may be present in the eye fundus, as glaucoma [8], diabetic retinopathy [42, 48], sclerosis [1], or cardiovascular complications [24].”
BackgroundRetinal Vascular Changes as Biomarkers of Systemic Cardiovascular Diseases
Cheung, N., Wong, T. Y., & Hodgson, L. (2009) · CRC Press eBooks · doi:10.1201/9781420037005.ch7 · Cited by 1
Self-citationDigital Imaging to Characterize Retinal Vascular Topography
Patton, N., & Aslam, T. M. (2006) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/3-540-33714-8_29
Li, V. V. (2006) · DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
BLOOD PRESSURE ELEVATION: IMPACT ON CARDIOVASCULAR STRUCTURE AND ENDOGENOUS FIBRINOLYSIS
Ridderstråle, W. (2008) · Gothenburg University Publications Electronic Archive (Gothenburg University)
Pang, A., Leo, S., Lim, T., & Wong, T. Y. (2011) · Journal of American Association for Pediatric Ophthalmology and Strabismus · doi:10.1016/j.jaapos.2011.01.102
Self-citationImportancia de la valoración del fondo de ojo en el paciente hipertenso
Suárez, C. R., de la Morena, J. S., Sien, C. C., & de la Ossa, J. M. A. (2004) · Hipertensión y Riesgo Vascular · doi:10.1016/s1889-1837(04)71819-x
New developments in diabetic retinopathy
Curtis, T. M., Stitt, A. W., McGahon, M. K., Scholfield, C. N., & McGeown, J. G. (2007) · Expert Review of Ophthalmology · doi:10.1586/17469899.2.6.947
de Tuero, G. C. (2010) · LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas)
Computer-assisted colour fundus image analysis
Chin, K. S. (2015)
Analysis of Retinal Vasculature Using a
Wang, L., Bhalerao, A. H., & Wilson, R. (2007)
Nephrologie, A. F., & Schwarz, S. (2010)
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Jelinek, H. F., & Al-Saedi, K. H. (2009)
Retinal Vascular Imaging in Clinical Research
Ikram, M. K., Sim, S. S., Ong, Y., Cheung, C. Y.-L., & Wong, T. Y. (2014) · CRC Press eBooks · doi:10.1201/b17026-2
Self-citationChildhood Obesity, Body Fatness Indices, and Retinal Vasculature
Li, L., Wong, T. Y., & Saw, S. (2014) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-401717-7.00020-4
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Wong, T. Y.
- Affiliations
- University of Wisconsin System (US)
- Corresponding author
- Wong, Tien Yin
- ORCID
- Wong, Tien Yin
- Venue
- JAMA
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2002-05-15
- Volume
- 287
- Issue
- 19
- Pages
- 2528
- ISSN
- 0002-9955 (ISSN-L)
- 0098-7484
- OpenAlex
- W2087898657
- Cited by
- 320
- References
- 32
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 13 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 12 · 2014: 9 · 2013: 16 · 2012: 18
- FWCI
- 7.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- JAMA (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- National University of Singapore (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (n01hc035126-003, n01hc55021-47-0-1, n01hc55020-39-0-0, n01hc55016-37-0-0, n01hc055022-024, n01hc035125-006, n01hc55019-35-0-1, n01hc55018-38-0-1, n01hc55015-48-0-1)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (N01-HC55022, N01-HC-55018, N01 HC 55020, N01 HC 55019, N01 HC-35125, NN01-HC-35126, N1-HC-55021, N01-HC55016, N01‐HC‐55015)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Ophthalmology › Retinal Diseases and Treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Retinal Imaging and Analysis
- Keywords
- retinal arteriolar narrowing, type 2 diabetes, incident diabetes risk, microvascular damage, middle-aged adults, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, fundus images, hypertension, aging, family history of diabetes, impaired fasting glucose, adiposity, physical activity, blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, insulin levels, diabetes prevention
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aging, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Humans, Hypertension, Inflammation, Male, Microcirculation, Middle Aged, Photography, Prospective Studies, Retinal Vessels, Risk Factors, Retinal Artery Occlusion, Logistic Models
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