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Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years for 29 Cancer Groups From 2010 to 2019: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

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Global Burden of Disease 2019 Cancer Collaboration, Kocarnik, Jonathan M., Compton, Kelly, Dean, Frances E., Fu, Weijia, Gaw, Brian L., Harvey, James D., Henrikson, Hannah Jacqueline, Lu, Dan, Pennini, Alyssa, Xu, Rixing, Ababneh, Emad, Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abd-Elsalam, Sherief M., Abdoli, Amir, Abedi, Aidin, Abidi, Hassan, Abolhassani, Hassan, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah, Advani, Shailesh M., Afzal, Muhammad Sohail, Aghaali, Mohammad, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Ahmad, Sajjad, Ahmad, Tauseef, Ahmadi, Ali, Ahmadi, Sepideh, Ahmed Rashid, Tarik, Ahmed Salih, Yusra, Akalu, Gizachew Taddesse, Aklilu, Addis, Akram, Tayyaba, Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet, Al Hamad, Hanadi, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Ali, Saqib, Alimohamadi, Yousef, Alipour, Vahid, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Alkhayyat, Motasem, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Almasri, Nihad A., Al-Maweri, Sadeq Ali Ali, Almustanyir, Sami, Alonso, Nivaldo, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amu, Hubert, Anbesu, Etsay Woldu, Ancuceanu, Robert, Ansari, Fereshteh, Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza, Antwi, Maxwell Hubert, Anvari, Davood, Anyasodor, Anayochukwu Edward, Aqeel, Muhammad, Arabloo, Jalal, Arab-Zozani, Morteza, Aremu, Olatunde, Ariffin, Hany, Aripov, Timur, Arshad, Muhammad, Artaman, Al, Arulappan, Judie, Asemi, Zatollah, Asghari Jafarabadi, Mohammad, Ashraf, Tahira, Atorkey, Prince, Aujayeb, Avinash, Ausloos, Marcel, Awedew, Atalel Fentahun, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Ayenew, Temesgen, Azab, Mohammed A., Azadnajafabad, Sina, Azari Jafari, Amirhossein, Azarian, Ghasem, Azzam, Ahmed Y., Badiye, Ashish D., Bahadory, Saeed, Baig, Atif Amin, Baker, Jennifer L., Balakrishnan, Senthilkumar, Banach, Maciej, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Barone-Adesi, Francesco, Barra, Fabio, Barrow, Amadou, Behzadifar, Masoud, Belgaumi, Uzma Iqbal, Bezabhe, Woldesellassie M. Mequanint, Bezabih, Yihienew Mequanint, Bhagat, Devidas S., Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhardwaj, Nikha, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhaskar, Sonu, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bhojaraja, Vijayalakshmi S., Bibi, Sadia, Bijani, Ali, Biondi, Antonio, Bisignano, Catherine, Bjørge, Tone, Bleyer, Archie, Blyuss, Oleg, Bolarinwa, Obasanjo Afolabi, Bolla, Srinivasa Rao, Braithwaite, Dejana, Brar, Amanpreet, Brenner, Hermann, Bustamante-Teixeira, Maria Teresa, Butt, Nadeem Shafique, Butt, Zahid A., Caetano dos Santos, Florentino Luciano, Cao, Yin, Carreras, Giulia, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Cembranel, Francieli, Cerin, Ester, Cernigliaro, Achille, Chakinala, Raja Chandra, Chattu, Soosanna Kumary, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chaturvedi, Pankaj, Chimed-Ochir, Odgerel, Cho, Daniel Youngwhan, Christopher, Devasahayam J., Chu, Dinh-Toi, Chung, Michael T., Conde, Joao, Cortés, Sanda, Cortesi, Paolo Angelo, Costa, Vera Marisa, Cunha, Amanda Ramos, Dadras, Omid, Dagnew, Amare Belachew, Dahlawi, Saad M. A., Dai, Xiaochen, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Darwesh, Aso Mohammad, das Neves, José, De la Hoz, Fernando Pio, Demis, Asmamaw Bizuneh, Denova-Gutiérrez, Edgar, Dhamnetiya, Deepak, Dhimal, Mandira Lamichhane, Dhimal, Meghnath, Dianatinasab, Mostafa, Diaz, Daniel, Djalalinia, Shirin, Do, Huyen Phuc, Doaei, Saeid, Dorostkar, Fariba, dos Santos Figueiredo, Francisco Winter, Driscoll, Tim Robert, Ebrahimi, Hedyeh, Eftekharzadeh, Sahar, El Tantawi, Maha, El-Abid, Hassan, Elbarazi, Iffat, Elhabashy, Hala Rashad, Elhadi, Muhammed, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I., Eshrati, Babak, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Esmaeilzadeh, Firooz, Etemadi, Arash, Ezzikouri, Sayeh, Faisaluddin, Mohammed, Faraon, Emerito Jose A., Fares, Jawad, Farzadfar, Farshad, Feroze, Abdullah Hamid, Ferrero, Simone, Ferro Desideri, Lorenzo, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Fisher, James L., Foroutan, Masoud, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Gaal, Peter Andras, Gad, Mohamed M., Gadanya, Muktar A., Gallus, Silvano, Gaspar Fonseca, Mariana, Getachew Obsa, Abera, Ghafourifard, Mansour, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Ghith, Nermin, Gholamalizadeh, Maryam, Gilani, Syed Amir, Ginindza, Themba G., Gizaw, Abraham Tamirat T., Glasbey, James C., Golechha, Mahaveer, Goleij, Pouya, Gomez, Ricardo Santiago, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Gorini, Giuseppe, Goudarzi, Houman, Grosso, Giuseppe, Gubari, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen, Guerra, Maximiliano Ribeiro, Guha, Avirup, Gunasekera, D. 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B., Khang, Young-Ho, Khater, Amir M., Khayamzadeh, Maryam, Kim, Gyu Ri, Kim, Yun Jin, Kisa, Adnan, Kisa, Sezer, Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna, Kopec, Jacek A., Koteeswaran, Rajasekaran, Koul, Parvaiz A., Koulmane Laxminarayana, Sindhura Lakshmi, Koyanagi, Ai, Kucuk Bicer, Burcu, Kugbey, Nuworza, Kumar, G. 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Emmanuel, Ong, Sokking, Onwujekwe, Obinna E., Orru, Hans, Ortega-Altamirano, Doris V., Otstavnov, Nikita, Otstavnov, Stanislav S., Owolabi, Mayowa O., P A, Mahesh, Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pakshir, Keyvan, Pana, Adrian, Panagiotakos, Demosthenes, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Pardhan, Shahina, Park, Eun-Cheol, Park, Eun-Kee, Pashazadeh Kan, Fatemeh, Patel, Harsh K., Patel, Jenil R., Pati, Siddhartha, Pattanshetty, Sanjay M., Paudel, Uttam, Pereira, David M., Pereira, Renato B., Perianayagam, Arokiasamy, Pillay, Julian David, Pirouzpanah, Saeed, Pishgar, Farhad, Podder, Indrashis, Postma, Maarten J., Pourjafar, Hadi, Prashant, Akila, Preotescu, Liliana, Rabiee, Mohammad, Rabiee, Navid, Radfar, Amir, Radhakrishnan, Raghu Anekal, Radhakrishnan, Venkatraman, Rafiee, Ata, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimzadeh, Shadi, Rahman, Mosiur, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rahmani, Amir Masoud, Rajai, Nazanin, Rajesh, Aashish, Rakovac, Ivo, Ram, Pradhum, Ramezanzadeh, Kiana, Ranabhat, Kamal, Ranasinghe, Priyanga, Rao, Chythra R., Rao, Sowmya J., Rawassizadeh, Reza, Razeghinia, Mohammad Sadegh, Renzaho, Andre M. N., Rezaei, Negar, Rezaei, Nima, Rezapour, Aziz, Roberts, Thomas J., Rodriguez, Jefferson Antonio Buendia, Rohloff, Peter, Romoli, Michele, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Rwegerera, Godfrey M., S, Manjula, Sabour, Siamak, Saddik, Basema, Saeed, Umar, Sahebkar, Amirhossein, Sahoo, Harihar, Salehi, Sana, Salem, Marwa Rashad, Salimzadeh, Hamideh, Samaei, Mehrnoosh, Samy, Abdallah M., Sanabria, Juan, Sankararaman, Senthilkumar, Santric-Milicevic, Milena M., Sardiwalla, Yaeesh, Sarveazad, Arash, Sathian, Brijesh, Sawhney, Monika, Saylan, Mete, Schneider, Ione Jayce Ceola, Sekerija, Mario, Seylani, Allen, Shafaat, Omid, Shaghaghi, Zahra, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsoddin, Erfan, Shannawaz, Mohammed, Sharma, Rajesh, Sheikh, Aziz, Sheikhbahaei, Sara, Shetty, Adithi, Shetty, Jeevan K., Shetty, Pavanchand H., Shibuya, Kenji, Shirkoohi, Reza, Shivakumar, K. M., Shivarov, Velizar, Siabani, Soraya, Siddappa Malleshappa, Sudeep K., Silva, Diego Augusto Santos, Singh, Jasvinder A., Sintayehu, Yitagesu, Skryabin, Valentin Yurievich, Skryabina, Anna Aleksandrovna, Soeberg, Matthew J., Sofi-Mahmudi, Ahmad, Sotoudeh, Houman, Steiropoulos, Paschalis, Straif, Kurt, Subedi, Ranjeeta, Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale, Sultan, Iyad, Sultana, Saima, Sur, Daniel, Szerencsés, Viktória, Szócska, Miklós, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tabuchi, Takahiro, Tadbiri, Hooman, Taherkhani, Amir, Takahashi, Ken, Talaat, Iman M., Tan, Ker-Kan, Tat, Vivian Y., Tedla, Bemnet Amare A., Tefera, Yonas Getaye, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Tesfay, Fisaha Haile, Tessema, Gizachew Assefa, Thapar, Rekha, Thavamani, Aravind, Thoguluva Chandrasekar, Viveksandeep, Thomas, Nihal, Tohidinik, Hamid Reza, Touvier, Mathilde, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Traini, Eugenio, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tran, Khanh Bao, Tran, Mai Thi Ngoc, Tripathy, Jaya Prasad, Tusa, Biruk Shalmeno, Ullah, Irfan, Ullah, Saif, Umapathi, Krishna Kishore, Unnikrishnan, Bhaskaran, Upadhyay, Era, Vacante, Marco, Vaezi, Maryam, Valadan Tahbaz, Sahel, Velazquez, Diana Zuleika, Veroux, Massimiliano, Violante, Francesco S., Vlassov, Vasily, Vo, Bay, Volovici, Victor, Vu, Giang Thu, Waheed, Yasir, Wamai, Richard G., Ward, Paul, Wen, Yi Feng, Westerman, Ronny, Winkler, Andrea Sylvia, Yadav, Lalit, Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Seyed Hossein, Yang, Lin, Yaya, Sanni, Yazie, Taklo Simeneh Yazie, Yeshaw, Yigizie, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Younis, Mustafa Z., Yousefi, Zabihollah, Yu, Chuanhua, Yuce, Deniz, Yunusa, Ismaeel, Zadnik, Vesna, Zare, Fariba, Zastrozhin, Mikhail Sergeevich, Zastrozhina, Anasthasia, Zhang, Jianrong, Zhong, Chenwen, Zhou, Linghui, Zhu, Cong, Ziapour, Arash, Zimmermann, Ivan R., Fitzmaurice, Christina, Murray, Christopher J. L., Force, Lisa M.·2022·JAMA Oncology

Abstract

IMPORTANCE: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019) provided systematic estimates of incidence, morbidity, and mortality to inform local and international efforts toward reducing cancer burden. OBJECTIVE: To estimate cancer burden and trends globally for 204 countries and territories and by Sociodemographic Index (SDI) quintiles from 2010 to 2019. EVIDENCE REVIEW: The GBD 2019 estimation methods were used to describe cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2019 and over the past decade. Estimates are also provided by quintiles of the SDI, a composite measure of educational attainment, income per capita, and total fertility rate for those younger than 25 years. Estimates include 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). FINDINGS: In 2019, there were an estimated 23.6 million (95% UI, 22.2-24.9 million) new cancer cases (17.2 million when excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and 10.0 million (95% UI, 9.36-10.6 million) cancer deaths globally, with an estimated 250 million (235-264 million) DALYs due to cancer. Since 2010, these represented a 26.3% (95% UI, 20.3%-32.3%) increase in new cases, a 20.9% (95% UI, 14.2%-27.6%) increase in deaths, and a 16.0% (95% UI, 9.3%-22.8%) increase in DALYs. Among 22 groups of diseases and injuries in the GBD 2019 study, cancer was second only to cardiovascular diseases for the number of deaths, years of life lost, and DALYs globally in 2019. Cancer burden differed across SDI quintiles. The proportion of years lived with disability that contributed to DALYs increased with SDI, ranging from 1.4% (1.1%-1.8%) in the low SDI quintile to 5.7% (4.2%-7.1%) in the high SDI quintile. While the high SDI quintile had the highest number of new cases in 2019, the middle SDI quintile had the highest number of cancer deaths and DALYs. From 2010 to 2019, the largest percentage increase in the numbers of cases and deaths occurred in the low and low-middle SDI quintiles. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The results of this systematic analysis suggest that the global burden of cancer is substantial and growing, with burden differing by SDI. These results provide comprehensive and comparable estimates that can potentially inform efforts toward equitable cancer control around the world.

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Global Burden of Disease 2019 Cancer Collaboration, Kocarnik, J. M., Compton, K., Dean, F. E., Fu, W., Gaw, B. L., Harvey, J. D., Henrikson, H. J., Lu, D., Pennini, A., Xu, R., Ababneh, E., Abbasi-Kangevari, M., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Elsalam, S. M., Abdoli, A., Abedi, A., Abidi, H., Abolhassani, H., Adedeji, I. A., Adnani, Q. E. S., Advani, S. M., Afzal, M. S., Aghaali, M., Ahinkorah, B. O., Ahmad, S., Ahmad, T., Ahmadi, A., Ahmadi, S., Ahmed Rashid, T., Ahmed Salih, Y., Akalu, G. T., Aklilu, A., Akram, T., Akunna, C. J., Al Hamad, H., Alahdab, F., Al-Aly, Z., Ali, S., Alimohamadi, Y., Alipour, V., Aljunid, S. M., Alkhayyat, M., Almasi-Hashiani, A., Almasri, N. A., Al-Maweri, S. A. A., Almustanyir, S., Alonso, N., Alvis-Guzman, N., Amu, H., Anbesu, E. W., Ancuceanu, R., Ansari, F., Ansari-Moghaddam, A., Antwi, M. H., Anvari, D., Anyasodor, A. E., Aqeel, M., Arabloo, J., Arab-Zozani, M., Aremu, O., Ariffin, H., Aripov, T., Arshad, M., Artaman, A., Arulappan, J., Asemi, Z., Asghari Jafarabadi, M., Ashraf, T., Atorkey, P., Aujayeb, A., Ausloos, M., Awedew, A. F., Ayala Quintanilla, B. P., Ayenew, T., Azab, M. A., Azadnajafabad, S., Azari Jafari, A., Azarian, G., Azzam, A. Y., Badiye, A. D., Bahadory, S., Baig, A. A., Baker, J. L., Balakrishnan, S., Banach, M., Bärnighausen, T. W., Barone-Adesi, F., Barra, F., Barrow, A., Behzadifar, M., Belgaumi, U. I., Bezabhe, W. M. M., Bezabih, Y. M., Bhagat, D. S., Bhagavathula, A. S., Bhardwaj, N., Bhardwaj, P., Bhaskar, S., Bhattacharyya, K., Bhojaraja, V. S., Bibi, S., Bijani, A., Biondi, A., Bisignano, C., Bjørge, T., Bleyer, A., Blyuss, O., Bolarinwa, O. A., Bolla, S. R., Braithwaite, D., Brar, A., Brenner, H., Bustamante-Teixeira, M. T., Butt, N. S., Butt, Z. A., Caetano dos Santos, F. L., Cao, Y., Carreras, G., Catalá-López, F., Cembranel, F., Cerin, E., Cernigliaro, A., Chakinala, R. C., Chattu, S. K., Chattu, V. K., Chaturvedi, P., Chimed-Ochir, O., Cho, D. Y., Christopher, D. J., Chu, D.-T., Chung, M. T., Conde, J., Cortés, S., Cortesi, P. A., Costa, V. M., Cunha, A. R., Dadras, O., Dagnew, A. B., Dahlawi, S. M. A., Dai, X., Dandona, L., Dandona, R., Darwesh, A. M., das Neves, J., De la Hoz, F. P., Demis, A. B., Denova-Gutiérrez, E., Dhamnetiya, D., Dhimal, M. L., Dhimal, M., Dianatinasab, M., Diaz, D., Djalalinia, S., Do, H. P., Doaei, S., Dorostkar, F., dos Santos Figueiredo, F. W., Driscoll, T. R., Ebrahimi, H., Eftekharzadeh, S., El Tantawi, M., El-Abid, H., Elbarazi, I., Elhabashy, H. R., Elhadi, M., El-Jaafary, S. I., Eshrati, B., Eskandarieh, S., Esmaeilzadeh, F., Etemadi, A., Ezzikouri, S., Faisaluddin, M., Faraon, E. J. A., Fares, J., Farzadfar, F., Feroze, A. H., Ferrero, S., Ferro Desideri, L., Filip, I., Fischer, F., Fisher, J. L., Foroutan, M., Fukumoto, T., Gaal, P. A., Gad, M. M., Gadanya, M. A., Gallus, S., Gaspar Fonseca, M., Getachew Obsa, A., Ghafourifard, M., Ghashghaee, A., Ghith, N., Gholamalizadeh, M., Gilani, S. A., Ginindza, T. G., Gizaw, A. T. T., Glasbey, J. C., Golechha, M., Goleij, P., Gomez, R. S., Gopalani, S. V., Gorini, G., Goudarzi, H., Grosso, G., Gubari, M. I. M., Guerra, M. R., Guha, A., Gunasekera, D. S., Gupta, B., Gupta, V. B., Gupta, V. K., Gutiérrez, R. A., Hafezi-Nejad, N., Haider, M. R., Haj-Mirzaian, A., Halwani, R., Hamadeh, R. R., Hameed, S., Hamidi, S., Hanif, A., Haque, S., Harlianto, N. I., Haro, J. M., Hasaballah, A. I., Hassanipour, S., Hay, R. J., Hay, S. I., Hayat, K., Heidari, G., Heidari, M., Herrera-Serna, B. Y., Herteliu, C., Hezam, K., Holla, R., Hossain, M. M., Hossain, M. B. H., Hosseini, M.-S., Hosseini, M., Hosseinzadeh, M., Hostiuc, M., Hostiuc, S., Househ, M., Hsairi, M., Huang, J., Hugo, F. N., Hussain, R., Hussein, N. R., Hwang, B.-F., Iavicoli, I., Ibitoye, S. E., Ida, F., Ikuta, K. S., Ilesanmi, O. S., Ilic, I. M., Ilic, M. D., Irham, L. M., Islam, J. Y., Islam, R. M., Islam, S. M. S., Ismail, N. E., Isola, G., Iwagami, M., Jacob, L., Jain, V., Jakovljevic, M. B., Javaheri, T., Jayaram, S., Jazayeri, S. B., Jha, R. P., Jonas, J. B., Joo, T., Joseph, N., Joukar, F., Jürisson, M., Kabir, A., Kahrizi, D., Kalankesh, L. R., Kalhor, R., Kaliyadan, F., Kalkonde, Y., Kamath, A., Kameran Al-Salihi, N., Kandel, H., Kapoor, N., Karch, A., Kasa, A. S., Katikireddi, S. V., Kauppila, J. H., Kavetskyy, T., Kebede, S. A., Keshavarz, P., Keykhaei, M., Khader, Y. S., Khalilov, R., Khan, G., Khan, M., Khan, M. N., Khan, M. A. B., Khang, Y.-H., Khater, A. M., Khayamzadeh, M., Kim, G. R., Kim, Y. J., Kisa, A., Kisa, S., Kissimova-Skarbek, K., Kopec, J. A., Koteeswaran, R., Koul, P. A., Koulmane Laxminarayana, S. L., Koyanagi, A., Kucuk Bicer, B., Kugbey, N., Kumar, G. A., Kumar, N., Kumar, N., Kurmi, O. 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Venue
JAMA Oncology
Published
2022-03-01
Volume
8
Issue
3
Pages
420
ISSN
2374-2437 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4200584507
Cited by
2,026
References
14
FWCI
103.87
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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Data sources

Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.

Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.