D elphi Method
Abstract
This article lays out the basic structure of the Delphi method, along with common modifications, and recently developed mixed‐model forecasting techniques. Delphi offers a basic structure that can be easily adapted to fit a group's needs, with respect to specific judgmental forecasting efforts.
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The FUTURE-AI guideline was established through international consensus over a 24 month period using a modified Delphi approach.
“This guideline was established through international consensus over a 24 month period using a modified Delphi approach.27 28”
From FUTURE-AI: international consensus guideline for trustworthy and deployable artificial intelligence in healthcare (2025) · cites this paper as [28]
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Lekadir, K., Frangi, A. F., Porras, A. R., Glocker, B., Cintas, C., Langlotz, C. P., Weicken, E., Asselbergs, F. W., Prior, F., Collins, G. S., et al. (2025) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj-2024-081554 · Cited by 957 · see citing works
Digital health competencies in medical school education: a scoping review and Delphi method study
Khurana, M. P., Raaschou-Pedersen, D. E., Kurtzhals, J., Bardram, J. E., Ostrowski, S. R., & Bundgaard, J. S. (2022) · BMC Medical Education · doi:10.1186/s12909-022-03163-7 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
- Authors
- Grime, M. M., & Wright, G.
- Affiliations
- University of Strathclyde (GB)
- ORCID
- Wright, George
- Venue
- Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2016-08-05
- Pages
- 1-6
- OpenAlex
- W3168259267
- Cited by
- 112
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 14 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 2
- Type
- other
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online (publishedVersion)
- Research Output (Edinburgh Napier University) (submittedVersion)
- Edinburgh Napier Research Repository (Edinburgh Napier University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Delphi Technique in Research
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Multi-Criteria Decision Making
- Keywords
- Delphi method, judgmental forecasting, group forecasting, expert consensus, forecasting methods
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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