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The nexus between atmospheric rivers and extreme precipitation across Europe
Abstract
Extreme precipitation and floods in Europe are a recurring natural hazard causing large socioeconomic damages. Here we investigate the connection between annual maxima (AM) daily precipitation at a pan‐European scale and atmospheric rivers (ARs), narrow filaments that convey the majority of the poleward water vapor transport within extratropical cyclones. We show that ARs are responsible for many AM precipitation days in Western Europe. The relationship is especially strong along the western European seaboard, with some areas having eight of their top 10 AM related to ARs. The effects of ARs are also seen as far inland as Germany and Poland. Southern Europe was most affected by ARs under negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) conditions, whereas northern Europe was more associated with a positive relationship between ARs and an NAO‐type pattern. Our results suggest that ARs are critical in explaining the upper tail of the extreme precipitation distribution in Western Europe.
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Cites
An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values
Coles, S. (2001) · Springer Series in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4471-3675-0 · Cited by 7,352
An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation
Hurrell, J. W., Kushnir, Y., Ottersen, G., & Visbeck, M. (2003) · Geophysical Monograph Series · doi:10.1029/134gm01 · Cited by 1,955
Cited by
Anthropogenic stresses on the world’s big rivers
Best, J. (2019) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0262-x · Cited by 1,315
Extreme winds and precipitation during landfall of atmospheric rivers
Waliser, D., & Guan, B. (2017) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo2894 · Cited by 432
Major Mechanisms of Atmospheric Moisture Transport and Their Role in Extreme Precipitation Events
Gimeno, L., Dominguez, F., Nieto, R., Trigo, R., Drumond, A., Reason, C. J. C., Taschetto, A. S., Ramos, A. M., Kumar, R., & Marengo, J. (2016) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-085558 · Cited by 308
Metadata
- Authors
- Lavers, D. A., & Villarini, G.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2013-06-28
- Volume
- 40
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 3259-3264
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W1868026556
- Cited by
- 388
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 15.36
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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