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Cited by 428

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Trends in extreme daily precipitation indices in India

Sen Roy, Shouraseni, Balling, Robert C.·2004·International Journal of Climatology

Abstract

We assembled daily precipitation records, initially for 3838 stations, throughout India and ultimately identified 129 stations with reasonably complete records over the period 1910 to 2000. From these daily records, we generated annual time series of seven different indices of extreme precipitation events, including total precipitation, largest 1, 5, and 30 day totals, and the number of daily events above the amount that marks the 90th, 95th, and 97.5th percentiles of all precipitation at each station. Of the 903 different time series (seven variables for 129 stations), 114 had a significant upward trend and 61 had a significant downward trend; overall, 61% of the time series showed an upward trend. The standard regression coefficients showing the strength and sign of the trend were highly correlated across the network. They generally showed increasing values in a contiguous region extending from the northwestern Himalayas in Kashmir through most of the Deccan Plateau in the south and decreasing values in the eastern part of the Gangetic Plain and parts of Uttaranchal. Our results are in general agreement with the prediction from numerical models for an increase in extreme precipitation events in India given the ongoing build‐up of greenhouse gases. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society

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Metadata

Authors
Sen Roy, S., & Balling, R. C.
Venue
International Journal of Climatology
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2004-03-16
Volume
24
Issue
4
Pages
457-466
ISSN
  • 0899-8418 (ISSN-L)
  • 1097-0088
OpenAlex
W2026465536
Cited by
428
References
31
FWCI
4.72
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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Sen Roy, S., & Balling, R. C. (2004). Trends in extreme daily precipitation indices in India. International Journal of Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.995

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