Cited by 54Pharmacology and Obesity TreatmentDiabetes Treatment and ManagementBariatric Surgery and Outcomes

Changes in weight and glycemic control following obesity treatment with semaglutide or tirzepatide by discontinuation status

Open access
Gasoyan, Hamlet, Butsch, W. Scott, Schulte, Rebecca, Casacchia, Nicholas J., Le, Phuc, Boyer, Christopher B., Griebeler, Marcio L., Burguera, Bartolome +1 more·2025·Obesity

Abstract

Objective: The objective of this study was to characterize changes in body weight and glycated hemoglobin (in those with prediabetes at baseline) through 12 months by obesity pharmacotherapy discontinuation status. Methods: This retrospective cohort study used electronic health record data from a large health system in Ohio and Florida to identify adults with overweight or obesity without type 2 diabetes who initiated injectable semaglutide or tirzepatide between 2021 and 2023. Treatment discontinuation was defined by a >90‐day gap between exhaustion of previous supply and next dispense or end of study follow‐up (December 2024) and was classified into early discontinuation (i.e., within 3 months of index date) and late discontinuation (i.e., within 3–12 months). Results: We identified 7881 patients; 6109 received semaglutide, and 1772 received tirzepatide. A total of 80.8% had low maintenance dosages. Mean (SD) percentage weight reduction at 1 year was 8.7% (9.6%); and it was 3.6% (8.1%) with early discontinuation, 6.8% (9.1%) with late discontinuation, and 11.9% (9.2%) with non‐discontinuation ( p < 0.001). The mean (SD) absolute reduction in percent glycated hemoglobin at 1 year was 0.1 (0.4) with early discontinuation, 0.2 (0.4) with late discontinuation, and 0.4 (0.4) with non‐discontinuation ( p < 0.001). Conclusions: The average weight reduction in this cohort was lower than that observed in the main phase 3 trials, likely because of higher rates of discontinuation and lower maintenance dosages.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

In a retrospective cohort of 7881 adults with overweight or obesity without type 2 diabetes who initiated injectable semaglutide or tirzepatide, treatment discontinuation was common and was associated with attenuated 1-year weight reduction and, among those with prediabetes at baseline, attenuated HbA1c reduction. Average weight reduction was lower than in phase 3 trials, likely reflecting higher discontinuation and lower maintenance dosages.

Key findings

  • Among 7881 patients, 20.4% discontinued early, 32.0% discontinued late, and 47.6% did not discontinue; 80.8% had low maintenance dosages.
  • Mean (SD) 1-year weight reduction was 8.7% (9.6%) overall: 3.6% (8.1%) with early discontinuation, 6.8% (9.1%) with late discontinuation, and 11.9% (9.2%) with non-discontinuation (p < 0.001); by medication, it was 7.7% (9.0%) with semaglutide and 12.4% (10.5%) with tirzepatide.
  • Among 895 patients with prediabetes at baseline and 1-year HbA1c data, mean (SD) absolute HbA1c reduction was 0.3% (0.4%) overall: 0.1% (0.4%) with early discontinuation, 0.2% (0.4%) with late discontinuation, and 0.4% (0.4%) with non-discontinuation (p < 0.001); 53.9% converted to normoglycemia and 3.4% progressed to type 2 diabetes.
  • In multivariable analysis, odds of ≥10% weight loss at 1 year were higher with non-discontinuation (AOR 4.68, 95% CI 3.97–5.55 vs. early discontinuation), late discontinuation (AOR 1.74, 95% CI 1.45–2.08 vs. early), tirzepatide (AOR 2.46, 95% CI 2.16–2.80 vs. semaglutide), high dosage (AOR 2.39, 95% CI 2.08–2.75 vs. low), and female sex (AOR 1.86, 95% CI 1.62–2.13 vs. male).

Methods

  • Retrospective cohort using Cleveland Clinic electronic health record data from Ohio and Florida linked to Surescripts pharmacy dispensation records from January 1, 2021, to December 31, 2024. Adults aged ≥18 years with overweight or obesity without type 2 diabetes who initiated injectable semaglutide or tirzepatide between 2021 and 2023 were included if they had baseline BMI ≥30.0 or BMI ≥27.0 with a weight-related comorbidity, plus baseline and at least one follow-up weight measurement 30–365 days after index.
  • Discontinuation was defined as a >90-day gap between exhaustion of previous supply and next dispense or end of follow-up; early discontinuation was within 3 months of index and late discontinuation within 3–12 months. Primary outcomes were percentage body weight reduction and, in patients with prediabetes at baseline, absolute HbA1c reduction through 12 months.
  • Analyses summarized weight and HbA1c trajectories in 1-month increments and used multivariable logistic regression for ≥10% weight loss at 1 year, adjusting for discontinuation status, medication, dosage, age, sex, race and ethnicity, primary payer, Area Deprivation Index quartile, baseline BMI, and age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index. Sensitivity analyses excluded patients who switched medications and those with prior FDA-approved obesity medication fills.

Limitations

  • Stated: the study included adults from Ohio and Florida in a single large integrated health system, which may limit generalizability; medication shortages during the study period could have contributed to temporary discontinuation; the study did not capture lifestyle interventions, nutritional counseling, or patient- and clinician-related factors such as adverse effects, coverage issues, or inadequate weight reduction.
  • Stated: some observed weight reductions may be associated with other interventions, although the studied medications are approved for use in addition to diet and exercise.
  • Evident from the text: this was an observational cohort that did not emulate a target trial, so residual confounding cannot be excluded; outcome analyses required available follow-up measurements, and missing data may affect estimates; discontinuation was inferred from pharmacy fill gaps, which may misclassify exposure.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1002/oby.24331

Cites

23 of 23 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 26 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    Among those who did not discontinue and were on a high maintenance dosage, mean weight loss at 1 year was 13.7% with semaglutide.

    “Those who did not discontinue and were on a high maintenance dosage of an OM (n = 967 with available weight at 1 year) lost a mean (SD) 14.7% (9.2%; 95% CI: 14.1%–15.3%) of weight at 1 year, including 13.7% (8.3%; 95% CI: 13.1%–14.3%) with semaglutide and 18.0% (10.8%; 95% CI: 16.6%–19.5%) with tirzepatide.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Mean percentage weight reduction at 1 year in the cohort was 8.7% (SD 9.6%).

    “Mean (SD) percentage weight reduction at 1 year was 8.7% (9.6%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In the multivariable model, the odds of achieving ≥10% weight loss at 1 year were higher in patients who discontinued late versus early (AOR 1.74; 95% CI 1.45-2.08).

    “who discontinued late (vs. early, AOR, 1.74; 95% CI: 1.45–2.08)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Mean absolute reduction in HbA1c at 1 year was 0.1% (SD 0.4) with early discontinuation.

    “The mean (SD) absolute reduction in percent glycated hemoglobin at 1 year was 0.1 (0.4) with early discontinuation”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Mean percentage weight reduction at 1 year was 3.6% (SD 8.1%) with early discontinuation.

    “it was 3.6% (8.1%) with early discontinuation”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 12
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 2
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    The study identified 7881 patients who initiated injectable semaglutide or tirzepatide for obesity between 2021 and 2023, of whom 6109 received semaglutide and 1772 received tirzepatide.

    “We identified 7881 patients; 6109 received semaglutide, and 1772 received tirzepatide.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    During the first year, 31.4% of patients who initiated semaglutide and 34.1% of those with tirzepatide discontinued obesity pharmacotherapy late.

    “whereas 31.4% (1917) with semaglutide and 34.1% (605) with tirzepatide discontinued later”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    During the first year, 47.0% of patients who initiated semaglutide and 49.4% of those with tirzepatide did not discontinue obesity pharmacotherapy.

    “47.0% (2874) and 49.4% (876) of patients on semaglutide and tirzepatide, respectively, did not discontinue”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    During the first year, 21.6% of patients who initiated semaglutide and 16.4% of those with tirzepatide discontinued obesity pharmacotherapy early.

    “During the first year, 21.6% (1318) of patients who initiated treatment with semaglutide and 16.4% (291) of those with tirzepatide discontinued obesity pharmacotherapy early”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In this retrospective cohort study of 7881 patients treated with injectable semaglutide or tirzepatide for obesity in a routine clinical setting, treatment discontinuation and lower maintenance dosages were common.

    “In this retrospective cohort study of 7881 patients treated with injectable forms of semaglutide or tirzepatide for obesity in a routine clinical setting, treatment discontinuation and lower maintenance dosages were common.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Although patients who discontinued obesity pharmacotherapy lost significantly less weight compared to those who persisted, weight trajectories remained surprisingly stable after discontinuation throughout the study follow-up period.

    “Interestingly, although patients who discontinued obesity pharmacotherapy lost significantly less weight compared to those who persisted, weight trajectories remained surprisingly stable after discontinuation throughout the study follow‐up period.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the STEP 1 trial extension study, patients on average regained two-thirds of their lost weight and cardiometabolic improvements reversed following discontinuation of semaglutide and lifestyle intervention.

    “In the Semaglutide Treatment Effect in People with Obesity (STEP) 1 trial extension study, patients, on average, regained two‐thirds of their lost weight and cardiometabolic improvements reversed following the discontinuation of semaglutide and lifestyle intervention [8].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [8] Wilding JPH, Batterham RL, Davies M, et al. Weight regain and cardiometabolic effects after withdrawal of semaglutide: the step 1 trial extension. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2022; 24(8): 1553‐ 1564. doi: 10.1111/dom.14725 35441470 PMC9542252 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The Surescripts prescription data service captures prescriptions paid for through insurance benefits, cash, coupons, or other methods from nearly all major pharmacies and pharmacy benefit managers in the United States.

    “The Surescripts prescription data service captures prescriptions paid for through insurance benefits, cash, coupons, or other methods from nearly all major pharmacies and pharmacy benefit managers in the United States [13].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [13] Surescripts dispensed prescription data service now covers nearly 240 million patients to advance population health. Press release. Surescripts; May 22, 2017. Accessed October 30, 2024. https://surescripts.com/news‐center/press‐releases/detail/surescripts‐dispensed‐prescription‐data‐service‐now‐covers‐nearly‐240‐million‐patients‐to‐advance‐population‐health

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the SURMOUNT-4 trial, discontinuation of tirzepatide resulted in substantial regain of lost weight, with only 17% of participants maintaining at least 80% of the weight loss achieved.

    “Similarly, discontinuation of tirzepatide resulted in a substantial regain of lost weight in the SURMOUNT‐4 trial, with only 17% of participants maintaining at least 80% of the weight loss achieved [9].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [9] Aronne LJ, Sattar N, Horn DB, et al. Continued treatment with tirzepatide for maintenance of weight reduction in adults with obesity: the SURMOUNT‐4 randomized clinical trial. JAMA. 2024; 331(1): 38‐ 48. doi: 10.1001/jama.2023.24945 38078870 PMC10714284 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The average weight reduction in this cohort was lower than that observed in the main phase 3 trials, likely because of higher rates of discontinuation and lower maintenance dosages.

    “The average weight reduction in this cohort was lower than that observed in the main phase 3 trials, likely because of higher rates of discontinuation and lower maintenance dosages.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The phase 3 trial populations and the current cohort are comparable enough that differences in weight reduction can be attributed to discontinuation and dosage.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The study included adult patients from Ohio and Florida in a single, large integrated health system, which may limit the generalizability of the findings.

    “We included adult patients from Ohio and Florida in a single, large integrated health system. Patient characteristics and health care delivery patterns vary across the United States, which may limit the generalizability of our findings.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The study did not capture participation in lifestyle interventions and nutritional counseling or patient- and clinician-related factors, and the impact of these factors could not be examined.

    “This study did not capture participation in lifestyle interventions and nutritional counseling or patient‐ and clinician‐related factors (such as discontinuation of the medication therapy owing to inadequate weight reduction, adverse effects, or coverage issues), and the impact of these factors could not be examined in this study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The effectiveness of these medications for prediabetes has been reported earlier.

    “The effectiveness of these medications for prediabetes has been reported earlier [24, 25].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [24] Perreault L, Davies M, Frias JP, et al. Changes in glucose metabolism and glycemic status with once‐weekly subcutaneous semaglutide 2.4 mg among participants with prediabetes in the STEP program. Diabetes Care. 2022; 45(10): 2396‐ 2405. doi: 10.2337/dc21-1785 35724304 PMC9862484

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [25] Hankosky ER, Wang H, Neff LM, et al. Tirzepatide reduces the predicted risk of developing type 2 diabetes in people with obesity or overweight: post hoc analysis of the surmount−1 trial. Diabetes Obesity Metab. 2023; 25(12): 3748‐ 3756. doi: 10.1111/dom.15269 37700443 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The study had a large and contemporaneous sample.

    “Strengths of this study include its large and contemporaneous sample, integration of prescription dispensation data from Surescripts with clinical information [12, 13], and inclusion of all patients who received the medication, regardless of whether they discontinued treatment.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
14 of 14
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Little is known regarding how discontinuation and its timing affect outcomes in clinical practice.

    “but little is known regarding how discontinuation and its timing affect outcomes in clinical practice.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The phase 3 trial populations and the current cohort are comparable enough that differences in weight reduction can be attributed to discontinuation and dosage.

    “The average weight reduction in this cohort was lower than that observed in the main phase 3 trials, likely because of higher rates of discontinuation and lower maintenance dosages.”
2 of 2

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Many patients on GLP-1 based therapies do not receive appropriate nutrition advice and struggle to maintain or achieve their intended weight reduction.

    “However, despite their impressive weight reduction capabilities, many patients on GLP-1 based therapies do not receive appropriate nutrition advice and struggle to maintain their weight reduction.”
  • Data from two retrospective cohort studies reported a positive association between achieving at least 10% weight reduction at 1 year and non-discontinuation or late discontinuation of GLP-1 based therapy.

    “data from two retrospective cohort studies reported a positive association with achieving at least 10 % weight reduction at 1 year and non-discontinuation of GLP-1 based therapy or late discontinuation (i.e. within 3–12 months of treatment initiation versus early discontinuation i.e. within 3 months of treatment initiation) [25,121].”

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 1

  1. Surescripts dispensed prescription data service now covers nearly 240 million patients to advance population health. Press release. Surescripts; May 22 2017. Accessed October 30 2024.https://surescripts.com/news‐center/press‐releases/detail/surescripts‐dispensed‐prescription‐data‐service‐now‐covers‐nearly‐240‐million‐patients‐to‐advance‐population‐health

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Gasoyan, H., Butsch, W. S., Schulte, R., Casacchia, N. J., Le, P., Boyer, C. B., Griebeler, M. L., Burguera, B., & Rothberg, M. B.
Affiliations
Cleveland Clinic (US)
Corresponding author
Gasoyan, Hamlet
Venue
Obesity
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2025-06-10
Volume
33
Issue
9
Pages
1657-1667
ISSN
  • 1930-7381 (ISSN-L)
  • 1930-739X
OpenAlex
W4411190461
Cited by
54
References
23
Citations by year
2026: 45 · 2025: 9
FWCI
30.54
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Obesity (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Funders
Cleveland Clinic
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Pharmacology and Obesity Treatment
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Treatment and Management
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Bariatric Surgery and Outcomes
Keywords
semaglutide, tirzepatide, obesity pharmacotherapy, treatment discontinuation, weight loss, HbA1c, glycemic control, prediabetes, overweight, GLP-1 receptor agonists, SGLT2 inhibitors, maintenance dose, real-world outcomes
MeSH terms
Glycemic Control, Tirzepatide, Semaglutide, Adult, Aged, Blood Glucose, Body Weight, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Glucagon-Like Peptides, Female, Glycated Hemoglobin, Humans, Hypoglycemic Agents, Male, Middle Aged, Obesity, Ohio, Retrospective Studies, Weight Loss, Glucagon-Like Peptide 1

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