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PBPK Models for CYP3A4 and P‐gp DDI Prediction: A Modeling Network of Rifampicin, Itraconazole, Clarithromycin, Midazolam, Alfentanil, and Digoxin
Open accessAbstract
According to current US Food and Drug Administration ( FDA ) and European Medicines Agency ( EMA ) guidance documents, physiologically based pharmacokinetic ( PBPK ) modeling is a powerful tool to explore and quantitatively predict drug‐drug interactions ( DDI s) and may offer an alternative to dedicated clinical trials. This study provides whole‐body PBPK models of rifampicin, itraconazole, clarithromycin, midazolam, alfentanil, and digoxin within the Open Systems Pharmacology ( OSP ) Suite. All models were built independently, coupled using reported interaction parameters, and mutually evaluated to verify their predictive performance by simulating published clinical DDI studies. In total, 112 studies were used for model development and 57 studies for DDI prediction. 93% of the predicted area under the plasma concentration‐time curve ( AUC ) ratios and 94% of the peak plasma concentration (C max ) ratios are within twofold of the observed values. This study lays a cornerstone for the qualification of the OSP platform with regard to reliable PBPK predictions of enzyme‐mediated and transporter‐mediated DDI s during model‐informed drug development. All presented models are provided open‐source and transparently documented.
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“These findings overall were within the regulatory acceptance margin of error which is 20% to 50% for these types of DDI assessments.12”
From GLP-1RA-induced delays in gastrointestinal motility: Predicted effects on coadministered drug absorption by PBPK analysis (2025) · cites this paper as [12]
In the citing paper
“For reference, PBPK models generally achieve AUC ratio predictions within 20% to 50% error for well-characterized DDIs.12”
From GLP-1RA-induced delays in gastrointestinal motility: Predicted effects on coadministered drug absorption by PBPK analysis (2025) · cites this paper as [12]
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“Furthermore, the DDI assessment could only be carried out with the adult PBPK model due to the fact that the incorporated perpetrator drug PBPK models were developed for the application in non-pediatric populations [22].”
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“to simulate DDI between CAB and RIF [36].”
InfluentialHybridML: Open source platform for hybrid modeling
Merkelbach, K., Schweidtmann, A. M., Müller, Y., Schwoebel, P., Mhamdi, A., Mitsos, A., Schuppert, A., Mrziglod, T., & Schneckener, S. (2022) · Computers & Chemical Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.compchemeng.2022.107736 · Cited by 32
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“Similarly, a successfully developed parent–metabolites PBPK model for itraconazole included its three metabolites that participated in the DDIs as well [22].”
BackgroundMethodSelf-citationOtsuka, Y., Choules, M. P., Bonate, P. L., & Komatsu, K. (2020) · CPT Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology · doi:10.1002/psp4.12562 · Cited by 26
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“The disappearance of the inducing effect is governed by the t1⁄2 of the perpetrator and by the degradation constant (Kdeg) of the enzyme, which correlates with t1⁄2 of the enzyme [31].”
BackgroundLiu, L., Li, W., Yang, L., Guo, Z., Xue, H., Xie, N., & Chen, X. (2021) · Acta Pharmacologica Sinica · doi:10.1038/s41401-021-00710-8 · Cited by 24
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“A sensitivity value of +1.0 denotes that a 10% increase of the examined parameter causes a 10% increase of the simulated AUC (Hanke et al., 2018).”
BackgroundInfluentialMontanha, M. C., Fàbrega, F., Howarth, A., Cottura, N., Kinvig, H., Bunglawala, F., Lloyd, A. W., Denti, P., Waitt, C. J., & Siccardi, M. (2021) · Clinical Pharmacokinetics · doi:10.1007/s40262-021-01067-1 · Cited by 23
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“Table S12: Drug-dependent parameters of the itraconazole PBPK model [7]”
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Self-citationMultiscale modelling of drug mechanism and safety
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“(a) (b) 1 The rifampicin-verapamil DDI was predicted as induction of CYP3A4 verapamil metabolism and Pgp verapamil transport by rifampicin, with simultaneous competitive inhibition of CYP3A4 and Pgp [49].”
MethodInfluentialSelf-citationThe Combination of Cell Cultured Technology and In Silico Model to Inform the Drug Development
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“These values for the midazolam and alfentanil models (Supplementary Table S2 and S3) were taken from the publication (14).”
BackgroundCicali, B., Lingineni, K., Cristofoletti, R., Wendl, T., Hoechel, J., Wiesinger, H., Chaturvedula, A., Vozmediano, V., & Schmidt, S. (2020) · CPT Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology · doi:10.1002/psp4.12572 · Cited by 22
“Sensitivity of a parameter was calculated as a ratio of AUC change to the relative variation of that parameter, as previously reported by Hanke et al.25 Briefly, local parameter sensitivity analysis was conducted by varying each parameter of interest by +/− 10%, while keeping all other parameters constant, and recordi…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citationNajjar, A., Hamadeh, A., Krause, S., Schepky, A. G., & Edginton, A. N. (2024) · CPT Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology · doi:10.1002/psp4.13256 · Cited by 21
Rodrigues, A. D., & Rowland, A. (2019) · Journal of Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics · doi:10.1124/jpet.119.262972 · Cited by 21
“As discussed in the following sections, there are examples of published reports describing biopsy data to assess CYP3A4 inhibition after dosing of a mechanism-based inhibitor drug, modeling of rifampicin autoinduction by considering the induction of P-glycoprotein (Pgp), and studying the impact of CYP3A5 genotype on P…”
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“For erythromycin [30], itraconazole [31], carbamazepine [32], and phenytoin (unpublished, in-house), we used available PBPK models that have been previously evaluated for DDI predictions as CYP3A4 perpetrator models.”
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“rifampicin [60], fluvoxamine [61], and voriconazole [59] are listed in the parameter tables in Section 4 of the Supplementary Materials.”
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“In contrast, mechanistic modeling can be used to extrapolate drug disposition from known settings to unstudied scenarios, such as unstudied populations and unstudied drug coadministration (Wagner et al., 2015; Huang et al., 2017; Zhang et al., 2017; Hanke et al., 2018) and likely unstudied urine pH conditions.”
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“Clinical PK studies of ketoconazole, delavirdine, and rifampicin were taken from the published literature2, 3(Hanke et al., 2018), which could be used in their respective PBPK model establishment and verification.”
BackgroundRüdesheim, S., Loer, H. L. H., Feick, D., Marok, F., Fuhr, L., Selzer, D., Teutonico, D., Schneider, A. R. P., Solodenko, J., Frechen, S., et al. (2025) · Clinical pharmacology and therapy · doi:10.1002/cpt.3604 · Cited by 16
Self-citationCho, C., Kang, P., Jang, C., Lee, S., Lee, Y. J., Bae, J., & Choi, C. (2024) · Archives of Pharmacal Research · doi:10.1007/s12272-024-01495-0 · Cited by 15
“In the present study, the template clarithromycin model which is available in PK-Sim ® (Hanke et al. 2018) was leveraged without any adjustment and the previously established paroxetine model by Rüdesheim et al. (2022) was utilized with slight modification to the inhibition constant (K i ) of…”
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“The parameter values to model these interactions were taken from literature (values and references are listed in the rifampicin drug-dependent parameter Table S17 in the Supplementary Materials) and have been evaluated in previous DDI analyses [21,22].”
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Shriya, V. A., Nayak, U. Y., Sathyanarayana, M. B., Chaudhari, B. B., & Bhat, K. (2025) · AAPS PharmSciTech · doi:10.1208/s12249-025-03093-9 · Cited by 15
“In such case the integration of Ki,u in PBPK model becomes necessary to address drugs impact on exposure of victim drug [98].”
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“In the drug development process, PBPK modeling is frequently applied to waive off drug-drug interaction studies [11, 61].”
BackgroundLoer, H. L. H., Kovar, C., Rüdesheim, S., Marok, F., Fuhr, L., Selzer, D., Schwab, M., & Lehr, T. (2024) · CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology · doi:10.1002/psp4.13127 · Cited by 7
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“…based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model for drug-drug interactions suggested that the inhibitor action cannot be fully explained by the parent compound (Lehr et al., unpublished data) and is possibly related to metabolites with inhibitory potential, as seen for itraconazole (Hanke et al., 2018).”
BackgroundSelf-citationSimon, F., Guyot, L., Garcia, J., Vilchez, G., Bardel, C., Chenel, M., Tod, M., & Payen, L. (2020) · Fundamental & Clinical Pharmacology · doi:10.1111/fcp.12596 · Cited by 11
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“Therefore, induction of CYP3A4 in the intestine versus liver by different agents has garnered the attention of various investigators [59, 61–66].”
Zhang, J., Song, C., Wu, M., Yue, J., Zhu, S., Zhu, P., Oo, C., Schlender, J., Lv, Z., Zhu, Y., et al. (2023) · European Journal of Pharmaceutical Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.ejps.2023.106443 · Cited by 12
Yin, X., Cicali, B., Rodríguez‐Vera, L., Lukáčová, V., Cristofoletti, R., & Schmidt, S. (2024) · Pharmaceutics · doi:10.3390/pharmaceutics16060737 · Cited by 12
“The sensitivity of a parameter was calculated based on Equation (2), reported by Hanke et al. [44].”
MethodDubinsky, S., Malik, P. R. V., Hajducek, D. M., & Edginton, A. N. (2022) · Clinical Pharmacokinetics · doi:10.1007/s40262-022-01121-6 · Cited by 13
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“Physiologically-based toxicokinetic (PBTK) models have demonstrated their capability to mechanistically understand the interplay of hepatic metabolism and transport (Hanke et al. 2018).”
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“Predictions for DD(G)I scenarios of (E)-Clom and the investigated metabolites were performed for all CYP2D6 AS by coupling the developed parent–metabolite PBPK model with previously published PBPK models of the perpetrator drugs clarithromycin [16] and paroxetine [30].”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Hanke, N., Frechen, S., Moj, D., Britz, H., Eissing, T., Wendl, T., & Lehr, T.
- Affiliations
- Saarland University (DE)
- Bayer (Germany) (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Lehr, Thorsten
- Venue
- CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2018-09-07
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 647-659
- ISSN
- 2163-8306 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6202474
- OpenAlex
- W2885852526
- Cited by
- 169
- References
- 48
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 23 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 24 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 27 · 2020: 18 · 2019: 12
- FWCI
- 15.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- CPT Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Publications of the UdS (Saarland University)
- Funders
- Bayer
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Pharmacology › Pharmacogenetics and Drug Metabolism
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health › Pharmaceutical studies and practices
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Drug Transport and Resistance Mechanisms
- Keywords
- physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling, drug-drug interactions, CYP3A4, P-glycoprotein, rifampicin, itraconazole, clarithromycin, midazolam, alfentanil, digoxin, model-informed drug development
- MeSH terms
- Digoxin, Drug Interactions, Humans, Midazolam, Models, Biological, Rifampin, Alfentanil, Clarithromycin, Itraconazole, ATP Binding Cassette Transporter, Subfamily B, Member 1, Cytochrome P-450 CYP3A
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