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Age, period and cohort models applied to cancer mortality rates
Abstract
We develop the application of age, period and cohort models to the representation of tables of age‐ and period‐specific rates. A derivation is given by way of a familiar graphical technique. The identifiability problem is discussed, identification techniques are reviewed and a new approach is recommended that is based upon the success of the three two‐variable submodels. Other constraints are introduced that enhance interpretation. Examples are given for two sites of cancer. This approach is contrasted with other methods designed to demonstrate trends. Finally, standard errors of the parameters and tests of goodness of fit are discussed.
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Citations
Cited by
Models for temporal variation in cancer rates. II: Age–period–cohort models
Clayton, D., & Schifflers, E. (1987) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.4780060406 · Cited by 916
The Intrinsic Estimator for Age‐Period‐Cohort Analysis: What It Is and How to Use It
Yang, Y., Schulhofer‐Wohl, S., Fu, W. J., & Land, K. C. (2008) · American Journal of Sociology · doi:10.1086/587154 · Cited by 503
Fu, T. S.-T., Lee, C.-S., Gunnell, D., Lee, W.-C., & Cheng, A. T.-A. (2013) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61264-1 · Cited by 131
Corrao, G., Ferrari, P., Zambon, A., Torchio, P., Arico, S., & Decarli, A. (1997) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/26.1.100 · Cited by 91
Metadata
- Authors
- Osmond, C., & Gardner, M. J.
- Venue
- Statistics in Medicine
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 1982-01
- Volume
- 1
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 245-259
- ISSN
- 0277-6715 (ISSN-L)
- 1097-0258
- OpenAlex
- W2000857598
- Cited by
- 244
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 2.67
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Age, period and cohort models applied to cancer mortality rates. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1002/sim.4780010306
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- Osmond, C., & Gardner, M. J. (1982). Age, period and cohort models applied to cancer mortality rates. Statistics in Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.4780010306
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