Quantifying Heterogeneous Causal Treatment Effects in World Bank Development Finance Projects
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
ML can play a role in causal inference, including in policy problems and in climate-relevant scenarios such as estimating the effects of temperature on human mortality and the effects of World Bank projects on vegetative cover.
“ML can play a role in causal inference [41,340,619], including in the context of policy problems [40,453] and in climate-relevant scenarios such as estimating the effects of temperature on human mortality [356] and the effects of World Bank projects on vegetative cover [883].”
From Tackling climate change with machine learning (2023) · cites this paper as [883]
Cites
Breiman, L. (2001) · Machine Learning · doi:10.1023/a:1010933404324 · Cited by 133,538 · see citing works
Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso
Tibshirani, R. (1996) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology · doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x · Cited by 51,482 · see citing works
Wu, Y., & Vapnik, V. N. (1999) · Technometrics · doi:10.2307/1271368 · Cited by 27,236 · see citing works
Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction
Imbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (2015) · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139025751 · Cited by 4,210 · see citing works
Efficient Estimation of Average Treatment Effects Using the Estimated Propensity Score
Hirano, K., Imbens, G. W., & Ridder, G. (2003) · Econometrica · doi:10.1111/1468-0262.00442 · Cited by 2,525 · see citing works
Recursive partitioning for heterogeneous causal effects
Athey, S., & Imbens, G. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1510489113 · Cited by 1,586 · see citing works
Meinshausen, N. (2006) · Cited by 1,522 · see citing works
Analysis of a Random Forests ModelPreprint
Gérard Biau, A. (2010) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1005.0208 · Cited by 672 · see citing works
Confidence Intervals for Random Forests: The Jackknife and the Infinitesimal Jackknife
Wager, S., Hastie, T. J., & Efron, B. (2013) · PubMed · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1311.4555 · Cited by 372 · see citing works
Subgroup Analysis via Recursive Partitioning
Su, X., Tsai, C., Wang, H., Nickerson, D. M., Li, B., & Rosset, S. (2009) · Cited by 315 · see citing works
Narrowing the Gap: Random Forests In Theory and In PracticePreprint
Denil, M., Matheson, D., & de Freitas, N. (2013) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1310.1415 · Cited by 200 · see citing works
Shepherd, B. E., Jarrett, R. T., & Fu, L. (2016) · Biometrics · doi:10.1111/biom.12615 · Cited by 152 · see citing works
A Nonparametric Bayesian Analysis of Heterogenous Treatment Effects in Digital Experimentation
Taddy, M. A., Gardner, M., Chen, L., & Draper, D. (2016) · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · doi:10.1080/07350015.2016.1172013 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Recursive Partitioning for Heterogeneous Causal EffectsPreprint
Athey, S. C., & Imbens, G. W. (2015) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1504.01132 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 15 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Tackling climate change with machine learning
Rolnick, D., Donti, P. L., Kaack, L. H., Kochanski, K., Lacoste, A., Sankaran, K., Ross, A. S., Milojevic-Dupont, N., Jaques, N., Waldman-Brown, A., et al. (2023) · ACM Computing Surveys · doi:10.1145/3485128 · Cited by 336 · see citing works
GeoQuery: Integrating HPC systems and public web-based geospatial data tools
Goodman, S., BenYishay, A., Lv, Z., & Runfola, D. M. (2018) · Computers & Geosciences · doi:10.1016/j.cageo.2018.10.009 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Self-citationPredicting road quality using high resolution satellite imagery: A transfer learning approach
Brewer, E., Lin, J., Kemper, P. F., Hennin, J., & Runfola, D. M. (2021) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0253370 · Cited by 60 · see citing works
Self-citationMachine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases
Džeroski, S., Vens, C., Todorovski, L., Hollmén, J., & Ceci, M. (2017) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-71246-8 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Marty, R., Goodman, S., LeFew, M. C., Dolan, C. B., BenYishay, A., & Runfola, D. M. (2018) · Development Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.deveng.2018.11.001 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Self-citationRunfola, D. M., Batra, G., Anand, A., Way, A., & Goodman, S. (2020) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su12083225 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Self-citationUsing big data for evaluating development outcomes: A systematic map
Rathinam, F., Khatua, S., Siddiqui, Z., Malik, M., Duggal, P., Watson, S., & Vollenweider, X. (2021) · Campbell Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/cl2.1149 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Heterogeneous Treatment and Spillover Effects Under Clustered Network InterferencePreprint
Bargagli-Stoffi, F. J., Tortù, C., & Forastiere, L. (2020) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3666101 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Using big data for evaluating development outcomes: a systematic map
Infonomics, A., Rathinam, F., Khatua, S., 3ie, Siddiqui, Z., 3ie, Malik, M., 3ie, Duggal, P., 3ie, et al. (2020) · doi:10.51744/cmwp2 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Heterogeneous treatment and spillover effects under clustered network interference
Bargagli-Stoffi, F. J., Tortù, C., & Forastiere, L. (2025) · The Annals of Applied Statistics · doi:10.1214/24-aoas1913 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Morley, J., Buchanan, G. M., Mitchard, E. T. A., & Keane, A. M. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102364 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Liu, R. (2021) · Chinese Sociological Review · doi:10.1080/21620555.2021.1948828 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
- Authors
- Zhao, J., Runfola, D. M., & Kemper, P.
- Affiliations
- William & Mary (US)
- Corresponding author
- Zhao, Jianing
- ORCID
- Runfola, Daniel M.
- Venue
- Lecture Notes in Computer Science
- Publisher
- Springer International Publishing
- Published
- 2017
- Pages
- 204-215
- ISSN
- 0302-9743 (ISSN-L)
- 1611-3349
- OpenAlex
- W2777482913
- Cited by
- 12
- References
- 15
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 3 · 2018: 2 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 3.34
- Type
- conference paper
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- Locations
- Lecture notes in computer science (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- Social Sciences › Development › International Development and Aid
- Keywords
- treatment effect heterogeneity, development finance, forest cover, environmental impact of development projects, causal trees, causal forest, geolocation data, geographic context
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review