Response of ENSO amplitude to global warming in CESM large ensemble: uncertainty due to internal variability
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Sampling ENSO SST variability over relatively short 30-year running periods is subject to a strong influence from decadal climate fluctuations such that stochastic noise and butterfly effect can obscure the impact of greenhouse forcing.
“However, sampling ENSO SST variability over relatively short 30-year running periods would be subject to a strong influence from decadal climate fluctuations such that stochastic noise and butterfly effect can obscure the impact of greenhouse forcing [14][15][16] .”
From Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios (2022) · cites this paper as [15]
Cites
Cai, W., Santoso, A., Wang, G., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Cobb, K. M., Collins, M., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Kug, J.-S., et al. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2743 · Cited by 891 · see citing works
Self-citationInterdecadal modulation of El Niño amplitude during the past millennium
Li, J., Xie, S.-P., Cook, E. R., Huang, G., D'Arrigo, R., Liu, F., Ma, J., & Zheng, X.-T. (2011) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1086 · Cited by 349 · see citing works
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Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios
Cai, W., Ng, B., Wang, G., Santoso, A., Wu, L., & Yang, K. (2022) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-022-01282-z · Cited by 263 · see citing works
Robust decrease in El Niño/Southern Oscillation amplitude under long-term warming
Callahan, C. W., Chen, C., Rugenstein, M., Bloch-Johnson, J., Yang, S., & Moyer, E. J. (2021) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01099-2 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
- Authors
- Zheng, X.-T., Hui, C., & Yeh, S.-W.
- Affiliations
- Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology (CN)
- Hanyang University (KR)
- Corresponding author
- Zheng, Xiao-Tong
- Venue
- Climate Dynamics
- Published
- 2017-08-21
- Volume
- 50
- Issue
- 11-12
- Pages
- 4019-4035
- ISSN
- 0930-7575 (ISSN-L)
- 1432-0894
- OpenAlex
- W2747570646
- Cited by
- 102
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 4.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Climate Dynamics (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- NSFC-Shandong Joint Fund for Marine Science Research (U1406401)
- the China Meteorological Public Welfare Scientific Research Project (GYHY201306027)
- the National Basic Research Program of China (2012CB955600, 2015CB954300)
- the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41476003)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Keywords
- ENSO, global warming, natural climate variability, inter-model uncertainty, CESM Large Ensemble, CMIP5 comparison, ensemble size, forced response
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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