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Studies based on CMIP5 models alone, or on a combination of CMIP5 and a smaller set of earlier available CMIP6 models, have found that models better simulating ENSO dynamics tend to generate increased ENSO SST variability.
“Studies based on CMIP5 models alone, or on a combination of CMIP5 and a smaller set of earlier available CMIP6 models 9,10 , have found that models better simulating ENSO dynamics tend to generate increased ENSO SST variability.”
From Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios (2022) · cites this paper as [9]
There was a lack of inter-model consensus among CMIP5 models unless model selection was applied on the basis of the realism of the simulated ENSO.
“There was a lack of inter-model consensus among available models that participated in the previous instalments of CMIP5, unless model selection was applied on the basis of the realism of the simulated ENSO 9,10 .”
From Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios (2022) · cites this paper as [9]
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Cai, W., Santoso, A., Wang, G., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Cobb, K. M., Collins, M., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Kug, J.-S., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M. J., Takahashi, K., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G., Watanabe, M., & Wu, L.
- Affiliations
- CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere (AU)
- Australian Research Council (AU)
- Hanyang University (KR)
- Yonsei University (KR)
- Georgia Institute of Technology (US)
- University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa (US)
- Pohang University of Science and Technology (KR)
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (US)
- Instituto Geofísico del Perú (PE)
- Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo (JP)
- Ocean University of China (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Cai, Wenju
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2015-08-17
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 849-859
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W1665721417
- Cited by
- 891
- References
- 102
- Citations by year
- 2026: 47 · 2025: 78 · 2024: 81 · 2023: 86 · 2022: 86 · 2021: 116 · 2020: 111 · 2019: 88 · 2018: 81 · 2017: 71 · 2016: 39 · 2015: 7
- FWCI
- 54.12
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- other-oa
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion)
- Open Access System for Information Sharing (Pohang University of Science and Technology) (submittedVersion)
- Open Research Exeter (University of Exeter) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Natural Environment Research Council (ncas10009, NE/I022841/1)
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (26247079)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- ENSO, global warming, Walker circulation, extreme El Niño, ocean warming, extreme weather events, climate model bias
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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