Cited by 37Pharmaceutical studies and practicesStatistical Methods in Clinical TrialsComputational Drug Discovery Methods

An industry perspective on current QSP trends in drug development

Open access
Cucurull-Sanchez, Lourdes·2024·Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics

Abstract

2023 marks the 10th anniversary of Natpara’s submission to the US FDA, which led to the first recorded regulatory interaction where a decision was supported by Quantitative and Systems Pharmacology (QSP) simulations. It had taken about 5 years for the timid QSP discipline to emerge as an effective Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD) tool with visible impact in the pharmaceutical industry. Since then, the presence of QSP in the regulatory environment has continued to increase, to the point that the Agency reported 60 QSP submissions in 2020 alone, representing ~ 4% of their annual IND submissions [1]. What sort of industry mindset has enabled QSP to reach this level of success? How does QSP fit within the MIDD paradigm? Does QSP mean the same to Discovery and to Clinical Development projects? How do ‘platforms’ compare to ‘fit-for-purpose’ QSP models in an industrial setting? Can QSP and empirical Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic (PKPD) modelling be complementary? What level of validation is required to inform drug development decisions? This article reflects on all these questions, in particular addressing those audiences with limited line-of-sight into the drug industry decision-making machinery.

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  • Examples of QSP contexts of use in early clinical development include first-in-human dose projections, recommended phase 2 or 3 dose optimization/justification, mechanistic biomarker-based patient stratification, and mechanistic insight into combination treatment or dose optimization across indications.

    “In this setting, examples of QSP CoU could be first in human (FIH) dose projections, recommended phase 2 or 3 dose (RP2D/RP3D) optimization/justification; mechanistic biomarker-based patient stratification or providing mechanistic insight into combination treatment or dose optimization across indications (8) (9).”

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Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Cucurull-Sanchez, L.
Affiliations
GlaxoSmithKline (United Kingdom) (GB)
Corresponding author
Cucurull-Sanchez, Lourdes
Venue
Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics
Published
2024-03-05
Volume
51
Issue
5
Pages
511-520
ISSN
  • 1567-567X (ISSN-L)
  • 1573-8744
OpenAlex
W4392450309
Cited by
37
References
6
Citations by year
2026: 12 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 10
FWCI
25.05
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health › Pharmaceutical studies and practices
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computational Theory and Mathematics › Computational Drug Discovery Methods
Keywords
quantitative systems pharmacology, model-informed drug development, regulatory submissions, FDA, industry perspectives, pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modeling, model validation, drug development decision-making
MeSH terms
Drug Development, Network Pharmacology, Drug Industry, Humans, Models, Biological, United States, United States Food and Drug Administration

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