Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Trade and Food Security in Emerging Economies: Case of Southern Africa
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Abstract Climate change has been a significant threat to sustainable agriculture impacting trade and food security. This research investigates the impacts of climate change on agricultural trade and food security in emerging economies focusing on Southern Africa. The research employed the dynamic panel Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) using panel data for the period 2012 to 2021 obtained from a sample of 12 Southern African countries selected based on data availability. The main independent variables to the research were climate change variables (temperature and precipitation). Other control variables included were population growth, food inflation and agricultural growth. The study found significant negative effects of climate change on agriculture trade. Whilst temperature changes were found to have insignificant effects, precipitation changes were found to have significant positive effects. The research recommends concerted efforts towards climate change adaptation and mitigation for sustainable agriculture. Based on the Findings, sustainable food security and agricultural trade Southern African emerging economies may be attained through effective climate change mitigation and adaptation approaches particularly promoting climate-smart agriculture (CSA).
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Climate change impacts on agricultural trade and food security are particularly concerning for emerging economies, where agriculture is a vital component of the economy.
“As highlighted by Sabola, the impacts of climate change on agricultural trade and food security are particularly concerning for emerging economies, where agriculture is a vital component of the economy (Sabola 2023).”
From Food Financialization: Impact of Derivatives and Index Funds on Agri-Food Market Volatility (2024) · cites this paper as Sabola 2023
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- Authors
- Sabola, G. A.
- Affiliations
- Zhejiang University of Technology (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Sabola, Gift Andrew
- ORCID
- Sabola, Gift Andrew
- Venue
- Discover Agriculture
- Published
- 2024-04-02
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 1
- ISSN
- 2731-9598 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4393434814
- Cited by
- 13
- References
- 21
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 2
- FWCI
- 5.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Discover Agriculture (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Keywords
- climate change impacts, agricultural trade, food security, Southern Africa, temperature change, precipitation change, climate change adaptation, climate change mitigation, climate-smart agriculture, emerging markets, food inflation, agricultural growth
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