The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets
Open accessAbstract
Several predetermined variables that reflect levels of bond and stock prices appear to predict returns on common stocks of firms of various sizes, long-term bonds of various default risks, and default-free bonds of various maturities. The returns on small-firm stocks and low-grade bonds are more highly correlated in January than in the rest of the year with previous levels of asset prices, especially prices of small-firm stocks. Seasonality is found in several conditional risk measures, but such seasonality is unlikely to explain, and in some cases is opposite to, the seasonal found in mean returns.
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Citations
Cites
CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*
Sharpe, W. F. (1964) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x · Cited by 19,441
Cited by
FAMA, E. F. (1991) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb04636.x · Cited by 5,350
A comprehensive look at the empirical performance of equity premium prediction
Welch, I., & Goyal, A. (2008) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhm014 · Cited by 3,987
Predicting excess stock returns out of sample: Can anything beat the historical average?
Campbell, J. Y., & Thompson, S. B. (2008) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhm055 · Cited by 2,919
The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics
Malkiel, B. G. (2003) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/089533003321164958 · Cited by 2,161
Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns: Alternative Procedures for Inference and Measurement
Hodrick, R. J. (1992) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/5.3.351 · Cited by 1,523
Metadata
- Authors
- Keim, D. B., & Stambaugh, R. F.
- Venue
- Journal of Financial Economics
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1986-12
- Volume
- 17
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 357-390
- ISSN
- 0304-405X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1975161917
- Cited by
- 1,711
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 37.76
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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