Fifteen-Year Outcome Trends for Valve Surgery in North America
Open accessAbstract
Background Although results in valvular heart surgery may be improving, too few cases are available in most centers to quantify changes, especially for uncommon procedural categories. This study examined comprehensively national trends in valve surgery outcomes over the past 15 years.Methods From 1993 through 2007, 623,039 valve procedures were grouped into single aortic (A), mitral (M), and tricuspid (T) operations, along with AM, MT, AT, and AMT multiple valves ± coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Pulmonary valve surgery was excluded. Trends in baseline characteristics were documented, and logistic regression adjusted for differences in patient profiles. Outcomes were expressed as unadjusted operative mortality, adjusted odds ratios for mortality, and a composite of mortality and major complications.Results Single valves comprised 89% of valve surgery and multiple valves, 11%. Preoperative patient risk profiles worsened over time. Mortality rates were higher for multiple valves, but all mortality rates fell significantly over the 15 years (p <0.001). The composite of mortality and major morbidity did not improve, however, largely because of increasing pulmonary/infectious complications. Overall, cardiac etiology accounted for 54% of deaths, and pulmonary/infectious etiologies for 16%. Cardiac etiology of death fell by 16% over time, but pulmonary death and complications increased by 78% and 39%, respectively.Conclusions Preoperative patient profiles for cardiac valve procedures have worsened over time. Risk-adjusted mortalities have fallen for all valve surgery, but remain higher for multiple valves. The finding of increasing pulmonary deaths and complications suggests that prevention and improved management of pulmonary and infectious complications could be an important focus for quality improvement.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Mortality associated with aortic valve replacement has decreased dramatically over the past two decades despite increasing age and comorbidities.
“Despite increasing age and comorbidities, the mortality associated with AVR has decreased dramatically during the past two decades208;209.”
From Calcific aortic stenosis (2016) · cites this paper as [208]
The Trends in Mortality section and Table 2 report that mortality for isolated aortic valve surgery fell from 5.6% to 4.4%, while Trends in Patient Demographics reports increasing age and several worsening risk factors. The study covers 1993–2007, however, so it supports a decline over 15 years, not the claimed two decades. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Obesity and Cardiovascular Disease
Lavie, C. J., Milani, R. V., & Ventura, H. O. (2009) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2008.12.068 · Cited by 2,326 · see citing works
Childhood Body-Mass Index and the Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in Adulthood
Baker, J. L., Olsen, L. W., & Sørensen, T. I. A. (2007) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa072515 · Cited by 1,679 · see citing works
Brown, J. M., O'Brien, S. M., Wu, C., Sikora, J. A. H., Griffith, B. P., & Gammie, J. S. (2009) · The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.jtcvs.2008.08.015 · Cited by 937 · see citing works
Self-citationAdolescent Overweight and Future Adult Coronary Heart Disease
Bibbins-Domingo, K. B., Coxson, P. G., Pletcher, M. J., Lightwood, J. M., & Goldman, L. (2007) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmsa073166 · Cited by 524 · see citing works
Gammie, J. S., Sheng, S., Griffith, B. P., Peterson, E. D., Rankin, J. S., O’Brien, S. M., & Brown, J. M. (2009) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.athoracsur.2009.01.064 · Cited by 510 · see citing works
Self-citationDeterminants of operative mortality in valvular heart surgery
Rankin, J. S., Hammill, B. G., Ferguson, T. B., Glower, D. D., O’Brien, S. M., DeLong, E. R., Peterson, E. D., & Edwards, F. H. (2006) · Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.jtcvs.2005.10.041 · Cited by 331 · see citing works
Self-citationKang, D., Kim, J. H., Rim, J. H., Kim, M., Yun, S., Song, J., Song, H., Choi, K., Song, J., & Lee, J. (2009) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.108.802314 · Cited by 305 · see citing works
Gammie, J. S., O’Brien, S. M., Griffith, B. P., Ferguson, T. B., & Peterson, E. D. (2007) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.106.634436 · Cited by 296 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database: Current Risk Assessment
Edwards, F. H., Grover, F. L., Shroyer, A. L., Schwartz, M., & Bero, J. W. (1997) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/s0003-4975(97)00017-9 · Cited by 220 · see citing works
Self-citationNowicki, E. R., Birkmeyer, N. J. O., Weintraub, R. W., Leavitt, B. J., Sanders, J. H., Dacey, L. J., Clough, R. A., Quinn, R. D., Charlesworth, D. C., Sisto, D., et al. (2004) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.athoracsur.2003.12.035 · Cited by 204 · see citing works
Savage, E. B., Ferguson, T. B., & DiSesa, V. J. (2003) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/s0003-4975(02)04645-3 · Cited by 155 · see citing works
Campbell, R. K. (2009) · Journal of the American Pharmacists Association · doi:10.1331/japha.2009.09077 · Cited by 149 · see citing works
Gruberg, L., Mercado, N. F., Milo, S., Boersma, E. H., Disco, C. M. C., van Es, G., Lemos, P. A., Bentzvi, M., Wijns, W. C., Unger, F., et al. (2005) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.amjcard.2004.10.007 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Mitral valve repair with aortic valve replacement is superior to double valve replacement
Gillinov, A. M., Blackstone, E. H., Cosgrove, D. M., White, J. A., Kerr, P., Marullo, A. G. M., McCarthy, P. M., & Lytle, B. W. (2003) · Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery · doi:10.1016/s0022-5223(02)73225-x · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Self-citationObesity and hypertension: mechanisms, cardio-renal consequences, and therapeutic approaches.
Reisin, E., & Jack, A. (2009) · The Medical clinics of North America · doi:10.1016/j.mcna.2009.02.010 · Cited by 114 · see citing works
Bhudia, S. K., McCarthy, P. M., Kumpati, G. S., Helou, J., Hoercher, K. J., Rajeswaran, J., & Blackstone, E. H. (2007) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2007.01.026 · Cited by 101 · see citing works
Self-citationIs Surgery Getting Safer? National Trends in Operative Mortality1,2
Goodney, P. P., Siewers, A. E., Stukel, T. A., Lucas, L., Wennberg, D. E., & Birkmeyer, J. D. (2002) · Journal of the American College of Surgeons · doi:10.1016/s1072-7515(02)01228-0 · Cited by 83 · see citing works
The causes, prevalence, and treatment of obesity revisited in 2009: what have we learned so far?
Apovian, C. M. (2009) · American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.3945/ajcn.2009.28473a · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Is Mitral Valve Repair Superior to Replacement in Elderly Patients?
Ailawadi, G., Swenson, B. R., Girotti, M. E., et al. (2008) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.athoracsur.2008.03.020 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Talwar, S., Mathur, A., Choudhary, S. K., et al. (2007) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.athoracsur.2007.04.115 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Catenacci, V. A., Hill, J. O., & Wyatt, H. (2009) · Clinics in Chest Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.ccm.2009.05.001 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Filsoufi, F., Rahmanian, P. B., Castillo, J. G., et al. (2008) · European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.ejcts.2008.07.061 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Song, H. K., Diggs, B. S., Slater, M. S., et al. (2009) · Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.jtcvs.2008.09.053 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Practical considerations in the management of large multiinstitutional databases
Edwards, F. H., Clark, R. E., & Schwartz, M. (1994) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/0003-4975(94)91724-8 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Self-citationDecreasing mortality for coronary artery bypass surgery in octogenarians
Maganti, M. D., Rao, V., Brister, S. J., & Ivanov, J. (2009) · Canadian Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0828-282x(09)70481-7 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Han, Q., Xu, Z., Zhang, B., et al. (2007) · European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.ejcts.2007.02.005 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Trends in mitral valve surgery: a single practice experience.
Rankin, J. S., Burrichter, C. A., Walton‐Shirley, M., et al. (2009) · PubMed · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Self-citationClinical outcomes of combined aortic root replacement with mitral valve surgery
David, T. E., Armstrong, S. M., Maganti, M. D., et al. (2008) · Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.jtcvs.2008.02.038 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Similarity between the STS and New York State databases for valvular heart disease
Grover, F. L., & Edwards, F. H. (2000) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/s0003-4975(00)02168-8 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Self-citationPanda, B. R., Shankar, R., Kuruvilla, K. T., et al. (2009) · PubMed · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Simultaneous Aortic and Mitral Valve Replacement in Octogenarians: A Viable Option?
Maleszka, A., Kleikamp, G., Zittermann, A., et al. (2008) · The Annals of Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.athoracsur.2008.07.116 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Outcomes after aortic and mitral valve replacement surgery in Canada: 1994/95 to 1999/2000.
Hassan, A., Quan, H., Newman, A. M., et al. (2004) · PubMed · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Rankin, J. S., Dd, G., Teichmann, T. L., et al. (2005) · PubMed · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Self-citationLong-Term Results of Triple-Valve Procedure
Sakamoto, Y., Hashimoto, K., Okuyama, H., et al. (2006) · Asian Cardiovascular and Thoracic Annals · doi:10.1177/021849230601400112 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Bolling, S. F., Dickstein, M. L., Levy, J. H., et al. (2000) · PubMed · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- [31]31. Lavie CJ, Milani RV, Ventura HO. Obesity and cardiovascu- lar disease: risk factor, paradox, and impact of weight loss. J Am Coll Cardiol 2009;53:1925-32.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Otto, C. M., Nishimura, R. A., Bonow, R. O., Carabello, B. A., Erwin, J. P., Gentile, F., Jneid, H., Krieger, E. V., Mack, M., McLeod, C., et al. (2021) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0000000000000923 · Cited by 3,686 · see citing works
2014 AHA/ACC Guideline for the Management of Patients With Valvular Heart Disease
Nishimura, R. A., Otto, C. M., Bonow, R. O., Carabello, B. A., Erwin, J. P., Guyton, R. A., O’Gara, P. T., Ruiz, C. E., Skubas, N. J., Sorajja, P., et al. (2014) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2014.02.536 · Cited by 3,523 · see citing works
Lindman, B. R., Clavel, M.-A., Mathieu, P., Iung, B., Lancellotti, P., Otto, C. M., & Pibarot, P. (2016) · Nature Reviews Disease Primers · doi:10.1038/nrdp.2016.6 · Cited by 982 · see citing works
2020 ACC/AHA guideline for the management of patients with valvular heart disease
Otto, C. M., Nishimura, R. A., Bonow, R. O., Carabello, B. A., Erwin, J. P., Gentile, F., Jneid, H., Krieger, E. V., Mack, M., McLeod, C., et al. (2021) · The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.jtcvs.2021.04.002 · Cited by 279 · see citing works
Current Management of Calcific Aortic Stenosis
Lindman, B. R., Bonow, R. O., & Otto, C. M. (2013) · Circulation Research · doi:10.1161/circresaha.111.300084 · Cited by 175 · see citing works
Steinberg, B. A., Zhao, Y., He, X., Hernandez, A. F., Fullerton, D. A., Thomas, K. L., Mills, R., Klaskala, W., Peterson, E. D., & Piccini, J. P. (2014) · Clinical Cardiology · doi:10.1002/clc.22230 · Cited by 127 · see citing works
Self-citationFleury, M.-A., & Clavel, M.-A. (2021) · Canadian Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.cjca.2021.02.003 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
- Authors
- Lee, R., Li, S., Rankin, J. S., O'Brien, S. M., Gammie, J. S., Peterson, E. D., McCarthy, P. M., & Edwards, F. H.
- Affiliations
- Northwestern University (US)
- Duke University (US)
- Vanderbilt University (US)
- University of Maryland, Baltimore (US)
- UF Health Shands Hospital (US)
- Corresponding author
- Rankin, J. Scott
- Venue
- The Annals of Thoracic Surgery
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2011-03
- Volume
- 91
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 677-684
- ISSN
- 0003-4975 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2043180642
- Cited by
- 176
- References
- 35
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 6 · 2021: 18 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 17 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 13 · 2013: 16 · 2012: 10
- FWCI
- 9.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Annals of Thoracic Surgery (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac Valve Diseases and Treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Cardiac and Coronary Surgery Techniques
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Aortic Disease and Treatment Approaches
- Keywords
- heart valve surgery, surgical outcomes trends, postoperative mortality, multiple valve replacement, aortic valve surgery, mitral valve surgery, tricuspid valve surgery, pulmonary complications, infectious complications, coronary artery bypass grafting, quality improvement
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Follow-Up Studies, Cardiac Surgical Procedures, Heart Valve Diseases, Humans, Middle Aged, North America, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Time Factors, Survival Rate
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review