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Machine learning applications in cancer prognosis and prediction
Open accessAbstract
Cancer has been characterized as a heterogeneous disease consisting of many different subtypes. The early diagnosis and prognosis of a cancer type have become a necessity in cancer research, as it can facilitate the subsequent clinical management of patients. The importance of classifying cancer patients into high or low risk groups has led many research teams, from the biomedical and the bioinformatics field, to study the application of machine learning (ML) methods. Therefore, these techniques have been utilized as an aim to model the progression and treatment of cancerous conditions. In addition, the ability of ML tools to detect key features from complex datasets reveals their importance. A variety of these techniques, including Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Bayesian Networks (BNs), Support Vector Machines (SVMs) and Decision Trees (DTs) have been widely applied in cancer research for the development of predictive models, resulting in effective and accurate decision making. Even though it is evident that the use of ML methods can improve our understanding of cancer progression, an appropriate level of validation is needed in order for these methods to be considered in the everyday clinical practice. In this work, we present a review of recent ML approaches employed in the modeling of cancer progression. The predictive models discussed here are based on various supervised ML techniques as well as on different input features and data samples. Given the growing trend on the application of ML methods in cancer research, we present here the most recent publications that employ these techniques as an aim to model cancer risk or patient outcomes.
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![Fig. 5 A simplified illustration of a linear SVM classification of the input data. Figure was reproduced from the ML lectures of [21]. Tumors are classified according to their size and the patient's age. The depicted arrows display the misclassified tumors.](/paper-figures/8ee8a89387a74b59bd3ce7aabe596c9c/machine-learning-applications-in-cancer-prognosis-and-prediction-figure-5.jpg)


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“traditional ML models, such as support vector machines (SVM), decision trees, and random forests, have supported tumor classification, survival prediction, and risk stratification using structured clinical or genomic data [6,12,13,14].”
From Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Oncology: From Productivity Enhancement to Creative Discovery (2025) · cites this paper as [13]
In the citing paper
“A second well-known challenge is that modern machine learning models, including deep neural networks, are black boxes, devices which focus on predicting outputs from inputs without regard for the mechanism or rationale by which a particular outcome is brought about.”
From Visible Machine Learning for Biomedicine (2018) · cites this paper as Kourou et al., 2014
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“Similarly, in biomedicine, many machine-learning methods are being developed to predict patient outcomes (Kourou et al., 2014), but these approaches typically do not link predictions to underlying mechanisms (Figure 1B).”
From Visible Machine Learning for Biomedicine (2018) · cites this paper as Kourou et al., 2014
In the citing paper
“Machine-learning systems face two recognized challenges that become particularly acute in biomedical applications. The first is input heterogeneity.”
From Visible Machine Learning for Biomedicine (2018) · cites this paper as Kourou et al., 2014
In the citing paper
“For example, cancer can arise as the result of many different combinations of genetic alterations involving many potential genes, any one of which may be mutated only rarely; as a consequence, each new patient presents a distinct constellation of molecular changes never before seen in nature (Alvarez et al., 2016; Kourou et al., 2014).”
From Visible Machine Learning for Biomedicine (2018) · cites this paper as Kourou et al., 2014
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Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Kourou, K., Exarchos, T. P., Exarchos, K. P., Karamouzis, M. V., & Fotiadis, D. I.
- Affiliations
- University of Ioannina (GR)
- National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (GR)
- Corresponding author
- Fotiadis, Dimitrios I.
- Venue
- Computational and Structural Biotechnology Journal
- Published
- 2014-11-15
- Volume
- 13
- Pages
- 8-17
- ISSN
- 2001-0370 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4348437
- OpenAlex
- W2111547563
- Cited by
- 3,338
- References
- 72
- Citations by year
- 2026: 302 · 2025: 406 · 2024: 401 · 2023: 405 · 2022: 393 · 2021: 433 · 2020: 425 · 2019: 274 · 2018: 158 · 2017: 80 · 2016: 49 · 2015: 11 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 4.98
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Computational and Structural Biotechnology Journal (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- funded by the project NEOMARK (FP7-ICT 224483)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › AI in cancer detection
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Gene expression and cancer classification
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Keywords
- cancer prognosis, cancer risk prediction, prediction model, artificial neural networks, Bayesian networks, support vector machine, decision tree, supervised learning, clinical decision support, tumor heterogeneity
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