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Employees recruitment: A prescriptive analytics approach via machine learning and mathematical programming
Open accessAbstract
In this paper, we propose a comprehensive analytics framework that can serve as a decision support tool for HR recruiters in real-world settings in order to improve hiring and placement decisions. The proposed framework follows two main phases: a local prediction scheme for recruitments' success at the level of a single job placement, and a mathematical model that provides a global recruitment optimization scheme for the organization, taking into account multilevel considerations. In the first phase, a key property of the proposed prediction approach is the interpretability of the machine learning (ML) model, which in this case is obtained by applying the Variable-Order Bayesian Network (VOBN) model to the recruitment data. Specifically, we used a uniquely large dataset that contains recruitment records of hundreds of thousands of employees over a decade and represents a wide range of heterogeneous populations. Our analysis shows that the VOBN model can provide both high accuracy and interpretability insights to HR professionals. Moreover, we show that using the interpretable VOBN can lead to unexpected and sometimes counter-intuitive insights that might otherwise be overlooked by recruiters who rely on conventional methods. We demonstrate that it is feasible to predict the successful placement of a candidate in a specific position at a pre-hire stage and utilize predictions to devise a global optimization model. Our results show that in comparison to actual recruitment decisions, the devised framework is capable of providing a balanced recruitment plan while improving both diversity and recruitment success rates, despite the inherent trade-off between the two.
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“Regarding gender equality (SDG 5); predictive analytics have enabled people analytics teams to effectively enhance their recruitment practices; becoming more diverse and inclusive when screening and selecting candidates (Pessach et al., 2020).”
From Reframing people analytics value creation: Balancing organizational performance and common good HRM values (2026) · cites this paper as Pessach et al., 2020
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Bozlar, İ. U., Ateş, Y., Sayar, A., Ertuğrul, S., & Ertuğrul, B. (2026) · International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Computer, Data Sciences and Applications (ACDSA) · doi:10.1109/acdsa67686.2026.11467601
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“In the field of suitability prediction, Amazian et al. [1] and Pessach et al. [18] employ statistical models and Bayesian networks to estimate a candidate’s likelihood of success within the organisation.”
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“[7 ].”
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Modernizing the creation of enlisted qualification standards for the United States Air Force
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Metadata
- Authors
- Pessach, D., Singer, G., Avrahami, D., Chalutz Ben-Gal, H., Shmueli, E., & Ben-Gal, I.
- Affiliations
- Tel Aviv University (IL)
- Bar-Ilan University (IL)
- Corresponding author
- Pessach, Dana
- Venue
- Decision Support Systems
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-07
- Volume
- 134
- Pages
- 113290
- ISSN
- 0167-9236 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7252110
- OpenAlex
- W3014109009
- Cited by
- 304
- References
- 61
- Citations by year
- 2026: 46 · 2025: 62 · 2024: 74 · 2023: 57 · 2022: 32 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 7
- FWCI
- 32.96
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Decision Support Systems (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Koret Foundation
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › AI and HR Technologies
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › Employer Branding and e-HRM
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computer Science Applications › Online Learning and Analytics
- Keywords
- personnel selection, hiring decisions, model interpretability, prescriptive analytics, recruitment optimization, diversity in hiring
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