Selection of Lithium-ion Battery Technologies for Electric Vehicles under China’s New Energy Vehicle Credit Regulation
Open accessAbstract
Electric vehicle, as the most promising innovative solution for energy transition, has gained high priority globally. The newly issued Chinese new energy vehicle (NEV) credit regulation is expected to have a dramatic impact on the development of Chinese and even global electric vehicle market as well as energy structure. This paper focuses on the development of Li-ion batteries for electric vehicles under the regulation and establishes a bottom-up model to compare different batteries from the perspective of credit cost-effectiveness. The results suggest that small BEVs will always have the highest credit cost-effectiveness and midsize BEVs can obtain the highest credit quickly before 2020. As for different Li-ion batteries, the LFP battery is losing superiority compared to NCM batteries, and the NCA battery is slightly inferior to NCM811 because of the technical difficulties through 2020. Under the guidance of policies, the larger the vehicle and AER, the higher nickel batteries will be applied. It’s predictable that with the rapid development of batteries, the credit cost-effectiveness will be higher and higher. Moreover, the capacity of high nickel batteries will continue to expand, which will have a great influence on the demand and price of different materials.
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Battery research agendas in the US, EU, and China include targets to increase the lifespan of batteries.
“Battery research agendas in the US 58 , EU 25 , and China 60 include targets to increase the lifespan of batteries, which is why we assume that after 2020 batteries will have the same lifespan distributions as EVs and no replacement of batteries is required (Supplementary Table 16).”
From Future material demand for automotive lithium-based batteries (2020) · cites this paper as [60]
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- Authors
- Chen, K., Zhao, F., Hao, H., & Liu, Z.
- Affiliations
- Tsinghua University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Liu, Zongwei
- Venue
- Energy Procedia
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2019-02
- Volume
- 158
- Pages
- 3038-3044
- ISSN
- 1876-6102 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2921204910
- Cited by
- 40
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 5 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 2
- FWCI
- 7.16
- Type
- conference paper
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Energy Procedia (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (71690241, 71403142, 71774100)
- Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Automotive Engineering › Advanced Battery Technologies Research
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Advancements in Battery Materials
- Keywords
- lithium-ion batteries, electric vehicles, battery technology selection, lithium iron phosphate batteries, NCM batteries, NCM811, battery energy density, vehicle size
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