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World oil prices and agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from an emerging market

Open access
Nazlioglu, Saban, Soytas, Ugur·2011·Energy Economics

Abstract

Oil prices are thought to have direct effect on agricultural prices followed by an indirect effect through the exchange rate. This paper examines the short- and long-run interdependence between world oil prices, lira-dollar exchange rate, and individual agricultural commodity prices (wheat, maize, cotton, soybeans, and sunflower) in Turkey. To this end, the Toda-Yamamoto causality approach and generalized impulse-response analysis for identification of the long- and short-run interrelationships are applied to the monthly data spanning from January 1994 to March 2010. The impulse-response analysis suggests the Turkish agricultural prices do not significantly react to oil price and exchange rate shocks in the short-run. The long-run causality analysis reveals that the changes in oil prices and appreciation/depreciation of the Turkish lira are not transmitted to agricultural commodity prices in Turkey. Hence, our results support neutrality of agricultural commodity markets in Turkey to both direct and indirect effects of oil price changes.

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Metadata

Authors
Nazlioglu, S., & Soytas, U.
Venue
Energy Economics
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2011-05
Volume
33
Issue
3
Pages
488-496
ISSN
0140-9883 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2026576569
Cited by
332
References
28
FWCI
24.66
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: World oil prices and agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from an emerging market. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1016/j.eneco.2010.11.012
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Nazlioglu, S., & Soytas, U. (2011). World oil prices and agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from an emerging market. Energy Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2010.11.012

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

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