EU land use futures: modelling food, bioenergy and carbon dynamics
Open accessAbstract
This paper presents an original system dynamics model, which aims to assess how changes in diet, agricultural practices, bioenergy and forestry could help reduce greenhouse gas emissions. We demonstrate that changes in types and quantities of food consumed and reductions in food wastes along with sustainable bioenergy and forestry dynamics would materially assist the EU in meeting its 2050 climate mitigation obligations. We find that overall rates of EU-28 greenhouse gas emissions are highly sensitive to the food trade balance, both within and outside the EU. Land use itself is often under-represented as a major option for carbon mitigation in policy strategies, but our results show that it must become a central component aligned with energy system decarbonization if material levels of warming mitigation are to be achieved.
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Shifting to a more vegetarian diet, consuming less meat, and reducing food waste will mitigate climate change.
“The study concluded that shifting to a more vegetarian diet, consuming less meat, and reducing food waste will mitigate climate change.”
From Strategies to achieve a carbon neutral society: a review (2022) · cites this paper as Strapasson et al. 2020
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References 43 · Cited by 34
Research works printed but not linked: 10
- G.J. Nabuurs, P. Delacote, D. Ellison, M. Hanewinkel, M. Lindner, M. Nesbit, M. Ollikainen, A. Savaresi, A New Role for Forests and the Forest Sector in the EU Post- 2020 Climate Targets, from Science to Policy, vol. 2, European Forest Institute, 2015, p. 32p.
- A.B. Strapasson, The Limits of Bioenergy: A Complex Systems Approach to Land Use Dynamics and Constraints, PhD Thesis, vol. 233p, Imperial College, London, UK, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/19269. (Accessed 8 October 2018).
- J. Scurlock, Producing more food, fuel and fibre: the challenge of sustainable intensification, National Farmers Union, in: Anaerobic Digestion & Biogas Association's Annual Expo & Conference, July 2013, pp. 3-4. Birmingham.
- D. Jones, Northumberland Grower Breaks World Wheat Yield Record, edition, Farmers Weekly, UK, 21 Sep 2015.
- UNCTAD -United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Second Generation Biofuel Markets: State of Play, Trade and Developing Country Perspectives, technical report ref. UNCTAD/DITC/TED/2015/8, United Nations, Geneve, 2016, p. 61p.
- EEA, European environmental agency, chapter 3, sub-chapter 3.6: soil degradation, in: Environmental Issues, Brussels, 2011.
- S. Bringezu, Global land use and soil management in a climate change world, in: Soil Remediation and Soil Sealing Conference, DG Environment, Brussels, 11 May 2012.
- S. Wirsenius, Human Use of Land and Organic Materials: Modeling the Turnover of Biomass in the Global Production System, PhD Thesis, Chalmers University of Technology and Goteborg University, Sweden, 2000.
- J. Woods, L.R. Lynd, M. Batistella, D.C. Victoria, K. Klein, A. Faaij, Chapter 1: land and biomass, in: Bioenergy & Sustainability: Bridging the Gaps, Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment (SCOPE), Paris, 2014.
- P. Modak, Chapter 5: municipal solid waste management: turning waste into resources, in: Shanghai Manual: A Guide for Sustainable Urban Development of the 21st Century, United Nations, Bureau International des Expositions, Shanghai, 2010.
- Authors
- Strapasson, A., Woods, J., Meessen, J., Mwabonje, O., Baudry, G., & Mbuk, K.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Strapasson, Alexandre
- Venue
- Energy Strategy Reviews
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-09
- Volume
- 31
- Pages
- 100545
- ISSN
- 2211-467X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3080526166
- Cited by
- 34
- References
- 43
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 2
- FWCI
- 2.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Energy Strategy Reviews (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- Foreign and Commonwealth Office
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Keywords
- greenhouse gas emissions, climate change mitigation, bioenergy, forestry, dietary intake, dietary change, food waste, agricultural practices, energy decarbonization, carbon mitigation, system dynamics modeling, EU climate policy, 2050 climate targets
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