From theory to policy with gravitas: A solution to the mystery of the excess trade balances
Open accessThe claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The use of output and expenditure weights reflects the presence of trade imbalances, which is a necessary condition for the empirical performance of the gravity model.
“the use of output and expenditure weights reflects the presence of trade imbalances, which, as recently demonstrated by Felbermayr and Yotov (2021), is a necessary condition for the empirical performance of the gravity model.”
From Estimating the effects of trade agreements: Lessons from 60 years of methods and data (2024) · cites this paper as Felbermayr and Yotov (2021)
Section 3.1 (p. 15) says gross output and expenditure let the model capture aggregate trade imbalances, and the Introduction (p. 7) calls properly accounting for those balances necessary but not sufficient to explain bilateral balances. The paper does not say that the presence of trade imbalances is necessary for the gravity model’s empirical performance generally; its necessity claim concerns accounting for them when predicting bilateral balances. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Anderson, J. E., & van Wincoop, E. (2004) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/0022051042177649 · Cited by 2,524 · see citing works
An Advanced Guide to Trade Policy Analysis: The Structural Gravity Model
Yotov, Y. V., Piermartini, R., Monteiro, J.-A., & Larch, M. (2016) · doi:10.30875/abc0167e-en · Cited by 959 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Estimating the effects of trade agreements: Lessons from 60 years of methods and data
Larch, M., & Yotov, Y. V. (2024) · The World Economy · doi:10.1111/twec.13569 · Cited by 56 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Felbermayr, G., & Yotov, Y. V.
- Affiliations
- Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel (DE)
- Drexel University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Yotov, Yoto V.
- Venue
- European Economic Review
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2021-10
- Volume
- 139
- Pages
- 103875
- ISSN
- 0014-2921 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3123619694
- Cited by
- 38
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 6.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- European Economic Review (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (submittedVersion)
- Econstor (Econstor) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Global trade and economics
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Strategy and Management › Global Trade and Competitiveness
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic and Technological Innovation
- Keywords
- bilateral trade balance, gravity model, trade barriers, trade costs, trade policy
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
