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Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study
Open accessAbstract
The literature on tourism and climate change lacks an analysis of the global changes in tourism demand. Here a simulation model of international tourism is presented that fills that gap. The current pattern of international tourist flows is modelled using 1995 data on departures and arrivals for 207 countries. Using this basic model the impact on arrivals and departures through changes in population, per capita income and climate change are analysed. In the medium to long term, tourism will grow, however the growth from climate change is smaller than for population and income changes.
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Citations
Cited by
Implications of Global Climate Change for Tourism Flows and Seasonality
Amelung, B., Nicholls, S., & Viner, D. (2007) · Journal of Travel Research · doi:10.1177/0047287506295937 · Cited by 599
Sea-level rise and its possible impacts given a ‘beyond 4°C world’ in the twenty-first century
Nicholls, R. J., Marinova, N., Lowe, J. A., Brown, S., Vellinga, P., de Gusmão, D., Hinkel, J., & Tol, R. S. J. (2011) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2010.0291 · Cited by 555
Self-citationSong, H., Qiu, R. T. R., & Park, J. (2019) · Annals of Tourism Research · doi:10.1016/j.annals.2018.12.001 · Cited by 523
International tourism and climate change
Scott, D., Gössling, S., & Hall, C. M. (2012) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.165 · Cited by 444
Climate change and tourism: a scientometric analysis using CiteSpace
Fang, Y., Yin, J., & Wu, B. (2018) · Journal of Sustainable Tourism · doi:10.1080/09669582.2017.1329310 · Cited by 405
Metadata
- Authors
- Hamilton, J. M., Maddison, D. J., & Tol, R. S. J.
- Venue
- Global Environmental Change
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2005-10
- Volume
- 15
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 253-266
- ISSN
- 0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2172229093
- Cited by
- 440
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 73.84
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Hamilton, J. M., Maddison, D. J., & Tol, R. S. J. (2005). Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study. Global Environmental Change. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.009
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.