The DOI matches its Crossref record; 60 of the 60 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Disruption, not displacement: Environmental variability and temporary migration in Bangladesh
Open accessAbstract
Mass migration is one of the most concerning potential outcomes of global climate change. Recent research into environmentally induced migration suggests that relationship is much more complicated than originally posited by the 'environmental refugee' hypothesis. Climate change is likely to increase migration in some cases and reduce it in others, and these movements will more often be temporary and short term than permanent and long term. However, few large-sample studies have examined the evolution of temporary migration under changing environmental conditions. To address this gap, we measure the extent to which temperature, precipitation, and flooding can predict temporary migration in Matlab, Bangladesh. Our analysis incorporates high-frequency demographic surveillance data, a discrete time event history approach, and a range of sociodemographic and contextual controls. This approach reveals that migration declines immediately after flooding but quickly returns to normal. In contrast, optimal precipitation and high temperatures have sustained positive effects on temporary migration that persist over one to two year periods. Building on previous studies of long-term migration, these results challenge the common assumption that flooding, precipitation extremes and high temperatures will consistently increase temporary migration. Instead, our results are consistent with a livelihoods interpretation of environmental migration in which households draw on a range of strategies to cope with environmental variability.
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“Such temporary migration is a common strategy to cope with economic stress in Bangladesh (Call et al., 2017; Martin et al., 2014).”
From Environmental shocks and migration among a climate-vulnerable population in Bangladesh (2025) · cites this paper as Call et al., 2017
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“The latter finding is in line with recent studies from Bangladesh reporting that flooding has an insignificant or even negative effect on migration (Call et al., 2017; Chen et al., 2017; Gray & Mueller, 2012; Chen & Mueller, 2018).”
From Environmental shocks and migration among a climate-vulnerable population in Bangladesh (2025) · cites this paper as Call et al., 2017
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Cites
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Adger, W. N. (2006) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.02.006 · Cited by 5,417
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Ellis, F. (2000) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198296959.001.0001 · Cited by 3,999
World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (2019) · doi:10.18356/b9e995fe-en · Cited by 2,758
The effect of environmental change on human migration
Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. W., Dercon, S., Geddes, A., & Thomas, D. (2011) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.001 · Cited by 1,279 · cited 1×
“Further, rather than being displaced by climate shocks, it is possible that individuals may find themselves trapped due to a loss of resources to migrate (Black et al., 2011).”
BackgroundWhat's Driving Mexico-U.S. Migration? A Theoretical, Empirical, and Policy Analysis
Massey, D. S., & Espinosa, K. E. (1997) · American Journal of Sociology · doi:10.1086/231037 · Cited by 1,264
Environmental refugees: a growing phenomenon of the 21st century.
Myers, N. (2002) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2001.0953 · Cited by 893 · cited 2×
“This finding is in opposition with the current discourse on “environmental refugees”, which suggests that extreme weather events (increased by climate change) may spur mass migration for this population (IOM, 2010; Myers, 2002).”
BackgroundResultKolenikov, S., & Ángeles, G. (2009) · Review of Income and Wealth · doi:10.1111/j.1475-4991.2008.00309.x · Cited by 775
Underinvestment in a Profitable Technology: The Case of Seasonal Migration in Bangladesh
Bryan, G., Chowdhury, S., & Mobarak, A. M. (2014) · Econometrica · doi:10.3982/ecta10489 · Cited by 714
Natural disasters and population mobility in Bangladesh
Gray, C. L., & Mueller, V. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1115944109 · Cited by 687 · cited 9×
“However, this narrative is increasingly being challenged by a growing body of empirical research which finds that climatic effects vary considerably over space and can even reduce migration by removing necessary household resources (Bohramishra et al., 2014; Gray and Mueller, 2012; Gray and Wise, 2016; Gray and Muelle…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citation
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Afsar, 2003, Internal migration and the development nexus: the case of Bangladesh, Regional Conference on Migration, Development and Pro-Poor Policy Choices in Asia, 22
- Del Ninno, 2001, vol. 122
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Sea Level Rise and Implications for Low-Lying Islands, Coasts and Communities
(IPCC), I. P. O. C. C. (2022) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009157964.012 · Cited by 864
Sea-level rise and human migration
Hauer, M. E., Fussell, E., Mueller, V., Burkett, M., Call, M., Abel, K., McLeman, R. A., & Wrathall, D. J. (2019) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-019-0002-9 · Cited by 445
Self-citationCoastal climate change, soil salinity and human migration in Bangladesh
Chen, J., & Mueller, V. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0313-8 · Cited by 406
Sea Level Rise and Implications for Low-Lying Islands, Coasts and Communities
(IPCC), I. P. O. C. C. (2022) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009157964.006 · Cited by 456
Poverty, Livelihoods and Sustainable Development
(IPCC), I. P. O. C. C. (2023) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009325844.010 · Cited by 250
Metadata
- Authors
- Call, M. A., Gray, C., Yunus, M., & Emch, M.
- Affiliations
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US)
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research (BD)
- Corresponding author
- Call, Maia A.
- Venue
- Global Environmental Change
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-09
- Volume
- 46
- Pages
- 157-165
- ISSN
- 0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5784445
- OpenAlex
- W2755039270
- Cited by
- 166
- References
- 60
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 23 · 2021: 21 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 5
- FWCI
- 32.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/legal/tdmrep-license (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/ (am, 384 d)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-017 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-037 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-012 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-029 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-004 (stm-asf)
- Locations
- Global Environmental Change (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Carolina Digital Repository (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) (submittedVersion)
- UNC Libraries
- Funders
- Population Research Training (T32 HD007168)
- Population Research Infrastructure Program (R24 HD050924)
- Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh (BCS-1560970)
- Global Affairs Canada (GAC)
- Swedish International Development Cooperative Agency (SIDA)
- Department for International Development (UK Aid)
- National Science Foundation
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change Communication and Perception
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Keywords
- temporary migration, environmental migration, climate change, environmental variability, floods, precipitation, temperature, livelihoods, environmental refugees, Matlab, Bangladesh, demographic surveillance, event history analysis
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