Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty
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Exploratory modelling uses computational experiments to identify robust policies and to pinpoint the uncertainties that most significantly influence the system.
“Exploratory modelling uses computational experiments to identify 'robust' policies—those that maintain satisfactory outcomes across a wide range of deep uncertainties—and to pinpoint the uncertainties that most significantly influence the system (Moallemi et al., 2020).”
From Towards integrated management of sandy anthropogenic shores: Developing tools for the exploration of human-natural interactions (2025) · cites this paper as Moallemi et al., 2020
Cites
Modelling complex systems of heterogeneous agents to better design sustainability transitions policy
Mercure, J.-F., Pollitt, H., Bassi, A. M., Viñuales, J. E., & Edwards, N. R. (2016) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.02.003 · Cited by 204 · see citing works
Glynn, P. D., Voinov, A. A., Shapiro, C. D., & White, P. A. (2017) · Earth's Future · doi:10.1002/2016ef000487 · Cited by 98 · see citing works
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- Authors
- Moallemi, E. A., Kwakkel, J., de Haan, F. J., & Bryan, B. A.
- Affiliations
- Deakin University (AU)
- Delft University of Technology (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Moallemi, Enayat A.
- Venue
- Global Environmental Change
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-11
- Volume
- 65
- Pages
- 102186
- ISSN
- 0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3104598716
- Cited by
- 130
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 20 · 2024: 30 · 2023: 20 · 2022: 36 · 2021: 12 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 10.98
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- figshare.com
- Licence
- Locations
- Global Environmental Change (publishedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Research Repository (Delft University of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- Ian Potter Foundation
- Deakin University
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Complex Systems and Decision Making
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Keywords
- exploratory modeling, coupled human-natural systems, uncertainty, robust inference, decision support, stakeholder engagement, transdisciplinary research, model assumptions, complexity
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