The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Transmission potential and severity of COVID-19 in South Korea
Open accessAbstract
OBJECTIVES: Since the first case of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) identified on Jan 20, 2020, in South Korea, the number of cases rapidly increased, resulting in 6284 cases including 42 deaths as of Mar 6, 2020. To examine the growth rate of the outbreak, we present the first study to report the reproduction number of COVID-19 in South Korea. METHODS: The daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 in South Korea were extracted from publicly available sources. By using the empirical reporting delay distribution and simulating the generalized growth model, we estimated the effective reproduction number based on the discretized probability distribution of the generation interval. RESULTS: We identified four major clusters and estimated the reproduction number at 1.5 (95% CI: 1.4-1.6). In addition, the intrinsic growth rate was estimated at 0.6 (95% CI: 0.6, 0.7), and the scaling of growth parameter was estimated at 0.8 (95% CI: 0.7, 0.8), indicating sub-exponential growth dynamics of COVID-19. The crude case fatality rate is higher among males (1.1%) compared to females (0.4%) and increases with older age. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate an early sustained transmission of COVID-19 in South Korea and support the implementation of social distancing measures to rapidly control the outbreak.
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Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia
Li, Q., Guan, X., Wu, P., Wang, X., Zhou, L., Tong, Y., Ren, R., Leung, K. S. M., Lau, E. H. Y., Wong, J. Y., et al. (2020) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2001316 · Cited by 16,575
Estimation of the time-varying reproduction number of COVID-19 outbreak in China
You, C., Deng, Y., Hu, W., Sun, J., Lin, Q., Zhou, F., Pang, C. H., Zhang, Y., Chen, Z., & Zhou, X.-H. (2020) · International Journal of Hygiene and Environmental Health · doi:10.1016/j.ijheh.2020.113555 · Cited by 310
Cited by
Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of COVID-19 epidemics
Davies, N. G., Klepac, P., Liu, Y., Prem, K., Jit, M., CMMID COVID-19 working group, Pearson, C. A. B., Quilty, B. J., Kucharski, A. J., Gibbs, H., et al. (2020) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41591-020-0962-9 · Cited by 1,759
Time series forecasting of COVID-19 transmission in Canada using LSTM networks
Chimmula, V. K. R., & Zhang, L. (2020) · Chaos, Solitons & Fractals · doi:10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109864 · Cited by 1,075
Coronavirus: Why Men are More Vulnerable to Covid-19 Than Women?
Bwire, G. M. (2020) · SN Comprehensive Clinical Medicine · doi:10.1007/s42399-020-00341-w · Cited by 573
The COVID-19 Pandemic: Effects on Low- and Middle-Income Countries
Bong, C.-L., Brasher, C., Chikumba, E., McDougall, R., Mellin-Olsen, J., & Enright, A. (2020) · Anesthesia & Analgesia · doi:10.1213/ane.0000000000004846 · Cited by 438
Kassania, S. H., Kassanib, P. H., Wesolowskic, M. J., Schneidera, K. A., & Detersa, R. (2021) · Biocybernetics and Biomedical Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.bbe.2021.05.013 · Cited by 375
Metadata
- Authors
- Shim, E., Tariq, A., Choi, W., Lee, Y., & Chowell, G.
- Venue
- International Journal of Infectious Diseases
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-04
- Volume
- 93
- Pages
- 339-344
- ISSN
- 1201-9712 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3011262980
- Cited by
- 705
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 25.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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