Future trends in ophthalmology health human resources in Canada
Abstract
Projections of future Canadian ratios of ophthalmologists to population have fluctuated because of changes in numbers of residency spots and retirement rates. Although this ratio plateaued in recent years, the ratio of ophthalmologists to the population over 65 years of age is projected to steadily deteriorate. All graduating residents are going to be needed to meet the upcoming workload, yet current graduates are finding increasing difficulty obtaining full-time positions with operating room privileges. This problem is affecting all specialties who require hospital facilities, and exploration of this problem by the Royal College, Canadian Medical Association (CMA), Resident Doctors of Canada, and council of the Provincial Deputy Ministers of Health is presented. Proposed solutions to the current job shortages include residents starting in positions outside of major metropolitan areas, clinicians in practice giving up some operating room time to make way for new graduates, government increasing infrastructure commensurate with the increased number of medical school positions, and optimizing use of current resources by running operating rooms for longer hours and on the weekends.
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Given projected shortages of ophthalmologists in Canada and long wait lists, decreasing the number of patients requiring specialist time relieves additional health system challenges.
“Given the projected shortages of ophthalmologists28 in Canada and long wait lists,29 decreasing the number of patients requiring specialist time relieves additional health system challenges”
From Screening for diabetic retinopathy with artificial intelligence in a primary care setting: a comparative cost analysis (2026) · cites this paper as [28]
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Di Matteo, L., Whitestone, N., & Bhambhwani, V. (2026) · BMJ Open Ophthalmology · doi:10.1136/bmjophth-2026-002904
“Given the projected shortages of ophthal-mologists 28 in Canada and long wait lists, 29 decreasing the number of patients requiring specialist time relieves additional health system challenges and has been shown to increase specialist productivity, 30 while also increasing adherence to recommended…”
- Authors
- Bellan, L.
- Affiliations
- University of Manitoba (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Bellan, Lorne
- ORCID
- Bellan, Lorne
- Venue
- Canadian Journal of Ophthalmology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2016-06
- Volume
- 51
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 136-141
- ISSN
- 0008-4182 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2352882052
- Cited by
- 9
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2024: 2 · 2019: 1 · 2018: 2 · 2016: 2
- FWCI
- 2.87
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Canadian Journal of Ophthalmology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Emergency Medical Services › Global Health Workforce Issues
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Healthcare Systems and Challenges
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Diversity and Career in Medicine
- Keywords
- ophthalmologist workforce, physician-to-population ratio, ophthalmology residency, physician retirement, job shortage, older adults, medical school expansion, Canada
- MeSH terms
- Ophthalmologists, Forecasting, Health Workforce, Health Resources, Health Services Needs and Demand, Humans, Ophthalmology
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