Cited by 0Retinal Imaging and AnalysisHealth Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of LifeOphthalmology and Visual Health Research

Screening for diabetic retinopathy with artificial intelligence in a primary care setting: a comparative cost analysis

Open access
Di Matteo, Livio, Whitestone, Noelle, Bhambhwani, Vishaal·2026·BMJ Open Ophthalmology

Abstract

Objective: Cost analysis of autonomous artificial intelligence (AI)-based screening of diabetic retinopathy (DR) for adults with diabetes at a primary care clinic. Methods and analysis: This study provides a comparative cost analysis of actual results using AI-based DR screening with counterfactual results based on all patients going through the physician-based referral system. A cost analysis is conducted using cost data from published sources, provincial billing codes, statistical sources, and patient characteristics from a clinical study to compare autonomous AI-based screening for DR versus physician-based screening. Costs considered include direct costs of operating the AI system, physician fees, and indirect costs to patient time. Along with total cost comparisons, a cost per DR case detected is estimated and a sensitivity analysis based on variations in AI costs is provided. Results: Over the study period, 202 participants were screened for DR using autonomous AI. The majority (93.6%, n=189) of AI-based DR screening exams were completed successfully. The AI-based scenario results in total direct costs of $C7919.04 and indirect costs of $C5728.80, resulting in total costs of $C13 647.84 per 100 patients. The traditional physician-based approach results in total direct costs of $C8240 and indirect costs of $C19 998.09, resulting in total costs of $C28 238.09 for 100 patients. When costs are converted to costs per unit outcome, the total cost per diagnosed DR case is $C620.36 for the AI-based approach and $C1283.55 for the physician-based approach; the AI-based cost per diagnosed case was 52% lower. Conclusion: Given the lower cost per diagnosed case of the AI-based approach, there are advantages to the implementation of AI-based screening for DR.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This comparative cost analysis used real-world autonomous AI-based diabetic retinopathy screening data from 202 primary care patients in Thunder Bay, Ontario, alongside a counterfactual physician-based referral scenario. It found lower total costs and lower cost per diagnosed DR case for AI-based screening than for traditional physician-based screening.

Key findings

  • Among 202 participants, 93.6% (n=189) of AI-based DR screening exams were completed successfully; 22.2% (42/189) of completed exams detected referrable DR, and 55 patients were referred to ophthalmology, including 13 whose exams could not be completed.
  • In the base case per 100 patients, AI-based screening had total costs of $C13,647.84 (direct $C7,919.04; indirect $C5,728.80), versus $C28,238.09 for traditional physician-based screening (direct $C8,240; indirect $C19,998.09).
  • Cost per diagnosed DR case was $C620.36 for AI-based screening versus $C1,283.55 for physician-based screening, 52% lower. With OCT added, costs were $C634.58 versus $C1,336.05, 53% lower; with the AI fee 50% lower, AI was $C505.50 versus $C1,336.58, 62% lower.
  • The paper reports that the bulk of the cost difference was in indirect costs to patients and caregivers, mainly income foregone and opportunity cost of time.

Methods

  • Comparative cost analysis from health system and societal perspectives, comparing actual AI-based DR screening results with counterfactual results in which all patients went through the traditional physician-based referral system; the study states it generally conforms to CHEERS 2022 reporting guidelines.
  • Data came from a prospective cohort of adults aged 18 years and older with type 1 or type 2 diabetes presenting for routine primary care in Thunder Bay, Ontario, from December 2022 through October 2023; 202 participants were screened using the iCare DRSPlus fundus imaging system and EyeArt autonomous AI.
  • Costs included direct AI operating costs, physician fees, and indirect patient/caregiver time; results were estimated per 100 patients, with sensitivity analyses varying AI fees and adding retinal OCT.

Limitations

  • The paper states that the study is based on a single primary care office, has a relatively small sample, and included predominantly older Caucasian patients, limiting generalisability to broader Canadian populations, remote communities, Indigenous populations, or younger working-age cohorts.
  • The paper states that the cost analysis relies on assumptions about sunk costs, time foregone for appointments, and US billing codes for AI fees, with sensitivity analyses provided; it also notes that cost-effectiveness depends on AI test accuracy and population characteristics, and that the study does not evaluate diagnostic accuracy.
  • Evident from the text: the traditional physician-based comparator is counterfactual rather than observed, and the AI fee was estimated from a US Medicare code because no Canadian reimbursement rate existed, introducing uncertainty.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1136/bmjophth-2026-002904

Cites

20 of 20 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

10 of 14 cited sources checked · 7 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    Using autonomous AI for diabetic retinopathy screening has been shown to be lower cost in other countries.

    “using autonomous AI for DR screening has been shown to be lower cost in other countries.13–16”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 4 sources checked
    • cites [13] Xie, 2020, Artificial intelligence for teleophthalmology-based diabetic retinopathy screening in a national programme: an economic analysis modelling study, Lancet Digit Health source
    • cites [14] Huang, 2022, Cost-effectiveness of artificial intelligence screening for diabetic retinopathy in rural China, BMC Health Serv Res source
    • cites [15] Wolf, 2020, Cost-effectiveness of autonomous point-of-care diabetic retinopathy screening for pediatric patients with diabetes, JAMA Ophthalmol source

      The Results report that autonomous AI screening was cost-saving compared with eye care professional screening when adherence exceeded 23%, but not in the 20% baseline scenario. The Discussion places the pediatric patient-and-caregiver model in a US context; it does not establish lower costs in other countries. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [16] Hu, 2024, Population impact and cost-effectiveness of artificial intelligence-based diabetic retinopathy screening in people living with diabetes in Australia: a cost effectiveness analysis, EClinicalMedicine source
  • Premisecitation

    The AI-based approach has high levels of patient satisfaction.

    “Given the cost per case advantage of the AI-based approach, combined with its feasibility and high levels of patient satisfaction, this suggests significant advantages to the implementation of AI-based screening for DR for both physicians and patients.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [6] Bhambhwani, 2025, Feasibility and Patient Experience of a Pilot Artificial Intelligence-Based Diabetic Retinopathy Screening Program in Northern Ontario, Ophthalmic Epidemiol source
  • Premisecitation

    Decreasing the number of patients requiring specialist time has been shown to increase specialist productivity.

    “and has been shown to increase specialist productivity,30”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [30] Abramoff, 2023, Autonomous artificial intelligence increases real-world specialist clinic productivity in a cluster-randomized trial, NPJ Digit Med source
  • Premisecitation

    The AI-based approach is feasible.

    “Given the cost per case advantage of the AI-based approach, combined with its feasibility and high levels of patient satisfaction, this suggests significant advantages to the implementation of AI-based screening for DR for both physicians and patients.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [6] Bhambhwani, 2025, Feasibility and Patient Experience of a Pilot Artificial Intelligence-Based Diabetic Retinopathy Screening Program in Northern Ontario, Ophthalmic Epidemiol source
  • Findingown data

    In the traditional physician-based approach, total direct costs were $C8240 per 100 patients.

    “The traditional physician-based approach results in total direct costs of $C8240 (all for ophthalmologist fees) and indirect costs of $C19 998.09, resulting in total costs of $C28 238.09 for 100 patients.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Sunk costs for both the AI-based and physician-based approaches are zero.
  • May combine two claims. 7
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 9
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    An initial study in Australia demonstrated net savings for the health system and the potential for improved equity in access to care and health outcomes from AI-based diabetic retinopathy screening.

    “Notably, one of the initial studies to evaluate cost-effectiveness of AI-based DR screening in Australia, a country with universal, publicly funded healthcare similar to Canada, demonstrated net savings for the health system and the potential for improved equity in access to care and health outcomes.16”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [16] Hu, 2024, Population impact and cost-effectiveness of artificial intelligence-based diabetic retinopathy screening in people living with diabetes in Australia: a cost effectiveness analysis, EClinicalMedicine source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Patients like not having to wait or come in for an additional specialist visit and not having to use dilating eyedrops with its consequences on their productivity for the next few hours.

    “Patients like not having to wait or come in for an additional specialist visit and not having to use dilating eyedrops with its consequences on their productivity for the next few hours.6”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [6] Bhambhwani, 2025, Feasibility and Patient Experience of a Pilot Artificial Intelligence-Based Diabetic Retinopathy Screening Program in Northern Ontario, Ophthalmic Epidemiol source

      The Results report that participants highly valued not waiting for a separate eye-exam visit and not using dilating drops; the Discussion links both to satisfaction. The paper also says some participants refused drops because they needed to drive home, but it does not report an effect on productivity over the next few hours. No page numbers are available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.87)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The autonomous AI screening strategy has high sensitivity and good specificity for the detection of referrable diabetic retinopathy compared with the traditional ophthalmologist approach.

    “Our study, the first based in Canada, demonstrates a screening strategy using autonomous AI that has a high sensitivity and good specificity for the detection of referrable DR,27 compared with the traditional ophthalmologist approach, and is shown to result in lower cost per case diagnosis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [27] Lim, 2023, Artificial Intelligence Detection of Diabetic Retinopathy: Subgroup Comparison of the EyeArt System with Ophthalmologists’ Dilated Examinations, Ophthalmol Sci source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    The autonomous AI platform used (EyeArt by Eyenuk) was Health Canada-approved.

    “Images were uploaded to a Health Canada-approved autonomous AI platform, EyeArt by Eyenuk. (Woodland Hills, California, USA),18”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [18] Ipp, 2021, Pivotal Evaluation of an Artificial Intelligence System for Autonomous Detection of Referrable and Vision-Threatening Diabetic Retinopathy, JAMA Netw Open source

      The Introduction identifies EyeArt as an Eyenuk system, and the Methods describe it as an autonomous AI system. The Introduction says EyeArt is FDA-cleared, but our copy does not state that it was approved by Health Canada; the approval claim is unsupported. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the revised AI fee scenario (50% lower AI fee plus OCT), the AI-based direct costs were $C5392.21, a 32% reduction from $C7919.04.

    “The results as presented in online supplemental appendix A2 show that the direct costs of the AI-based approach are now $C5392.21—a 32% reduction from $C7919.04.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The AI system detects macular oedema without any additional costs, whereas the traditional approach incurs an additional OCT cost.
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Up to one-third of patients need to be scanned with OCT.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Diabetic retinopathy screening programmes have been shown to be cost-effective.

    “DR screening programmes have been shown to be cost-effective,26”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [26] source
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The sample size is relatively small and the cohort included predominantly older Caucasian patients.

    “The sample size is relatively small and our cohort included predominantly older Caucasian patients.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    This study is the first based in Canada to demonstrate a screening strategy using autonomous AI that results in lower cost per case diagnosis.

    “Our study, the first based in Canada, demonstrates a screening strategy using autonomous AI that has a high sensitivity and good specificity for the detection of referrable DR,27 compared with the traditional ophthalmologist approach, and is shown to result in lower cost per case diagnosis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    AI-based screening has the potential to improve access to care for more remote and under-served communities.

    “AI-based screening also has the potential to improve access to care for more remote and under-served communities.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The study generally conforms to the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards 2022 reporting guidelines for economic evaluations.

    “This study generally conforms to the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards 2022 reporting guidelines for economic evaluations.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The cost-effectiveness of the AI-based approach is dependent both on the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of the AI platform and on the characteristics of the population being screened.

    “Third, the cost-effectiveness of the AI-based approach is dependent both on the sensitivity/specificity/positive and negative predictive values of the AI platform as well as the characteristics of the population being screened.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Screening a younger population with a higher employment rate would likely mean additional savings in terms of both direct and indirect costs.

    “While the mean age of the population screened in this study was 70.5 years, screening a younger population with a higher employment rate would likely mean additional savings in terms of both direct and indirect costs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    This study is one of the first comparative cost studies on AI-based diabetic retinopathy detection in Canada using real-world data.

    “Despite these limitations, our study is still one of the first comparative cost studies on AI-based DR detection in Canada using real-world data, which can support the increased uptake and implementation of AI-based DR screening programmes in the country.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Patients aged 18 years and older with type 1 or type 2 diabetes presenting to a primary care provider in Thunder Bay, Ontario, from December 2022 through October 2023 were consecutively offered a screening exam for diabetic retinopathy using autonomous AI.

    “Patients aged 18 years and older, diagnosed with type 1 or type 2 diabetes, presenting to their primary care provider for a routine appointment at a clinic in Thunder Bay, Ontario, from December 2022 through October 2023 were consecutively offered a screening exam for DR using autonomous AI.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    The study does not evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the AI programme used.

    “Our study does not evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the AI programme used; however, as discussed in the manuscript, these have been widely published in the literature before.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
15 of 15
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Sunk costs for both the AI-based and physician-based approaches are zero.

    “Thus realistically, both physician-based and AI approaches have sunk costs; we are assuming they are zero for both.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The AI system detects macular oedema without any additional costs, whereas the traditional approach incurs an additional OCT cost.

    “The AI system detects macular oedema without any additional costs whereas for the traditional approach, an additional cost for the OCT is incurred.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Up to one-third of patients need to be scanned with OCT.

    “This is not needed for all patients, but conservatively we can assume that up to one-third of patients need to be scanned.24”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The remaining 5.5% of participants took public transit.

    “of which 94.5% (n=189) arrived using a private vehicle (and we will assume the remaining 5.5% took public transit).”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Decreasing the number of patients requiring specialist time increases adherence to recommended screening guidelines.

    “while also increasing adherence to recommended screening guidelines.”
5 of 5

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Two different mean ages are reported for the cohort

    Minor

    The results and Table 1 report a mean age of 70.8 years, but the limitations section says it was 70.5 years.

  • Indigenous percentage does not match the count

    Minor

    Of 202 participants, 5 is 2.48%, not 2.98%.

    Reported 2.98 · recomputed 2.475248

  • Percentage requiring eyedrops does not match the count

    Minor

    Three of 202 participants is approximately 1.49%, rather than 1.56%.

    Reported 1.56 · recomputed 1.485149

  • Traditional-approach costs change when only the AI fee is revised

    Minor

    The revised calculation is said to change only the AI test fee relative to the modified base case. Nevertheless, Table 3 changes the traditional approach's direct costs from $C9395.00 to $C9406.67.

4 of 4

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. International Diabetes Federation . IDF diabetes atlas. 2021. Available: https://diabetesatlas.org/atlas/tenth-edition/ [Accessed 20 Aug 2024].
  2. Drummond MF , O’Brien B , Stoddart GL , et al . Methods for the Economic Evaluation of Health Care Programmes 2nd Edition. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000.

Authors
Di Matteo, L., Whitestone, N., & Bhambhwani, V.
Affiliations
  • Lakehead University, Thunder Bay, Ontario, Canada
  • Orbis International, New York City, New York, USA
  • Thunder Bay Regional Health Sciences Centre (CA)
Venue
BMJ Open Ophthalmology
Publisher
BMJ
Published
2026-07
Volume
11
Issue
3
Pages
e002904
ISSN
2397-3269 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W7171868654
Cited by
0
References
20
FWCI
0.00
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • BMJ Open Ophthalmology (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
Funders
  • Orbis Canada (N/A)
  • Northern Ontario Academic Medicine Association (A-23-02)
  • Eyenuk (N/A)
  • iCare Inc (N/A)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Retinal Imaging and Analysis
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Ophthalmology › Ophthalmology and Visual Health Research
Keywords
diabetic retinopathy, artificial intelligence, retinopathy screening, primary care, cost analysis, diabetes mellitus, indirect costs
MeSH terms
Adult, Aged, Artificial Intelligence, Costs and Cost Analysis, Diabetic Retinopathy, Female, Humans, Male, Mass Screening, Middle Aged, Primary Health Care, Health Care Costs

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