A review of cluster randomized trials found statistical evidence of selection bias
Abstract
Objectives To assess markers of selection bias risk in a sample of recently published cluster randomized controlled trials compared with individually randomized trials. Study design and setting We used OVID Medline and the online archives of the Journal of the American Medical Association to search for cluster randomized trials published between January 2015 and June 2017 from four high-impact journals and compared them to a matched sample of individually randomized trials. Results We identified 23 cluster trials: 57% (n = 13) described a robust allocation method and 17% (n = 4) recruited all participants before randomization. Four (17%), eight (35%), and 11 (48%) were classified as at low, medium, and high bias risk, respectively. Meta-analysis showed significant age imbalance (-0.05, 95% CI = -0.057 to -0.043, I 2 = 93.2%) in cluster trials, while the matched individually randomized trials showed no imbalance (0.005, 95% CI = -0.026 to 0.035, I 2 = 0%). Cluster trials finding a statistically significant outcome in their primary measure showed a larger age imbalance (0.082, 95% CI = -0.091 to -0.073, I 2 = 87%) than trials finding a nonstatistically significant outcome (0.022, 95% CI = 0.008 to 0.035, I 2 = 83%). Conclusions There is strong evidence in this sample of an effect of selection bias seen in an imbalance in baseline participant age, something not seen in a comparable sample of individually randomized trials.
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Cluster-randomized designs are known to be at increased risk of bias compared to the individually randomized design.
“Cluster-randomized designs are known to be at increased risk of bias compared to the individually randomized design [1], [2], [7], [10], [13], [16], [28], [37].”
From Cluster randomized trials of individual-level interventions were at high risk of bias (2021) · cites this paper as [1]
Recruitment and identification biases are a unique source of bias under cluster randomization, with trials being particularly vulnerable to this bias when it is necessary to identify or recruit individuals into the study after randomization.
“Recruitment and identification biases are a unique source of bias under cluster randomization, with trials being particularly vulnerable to this bias when it is necessary to identify or recruit individuals into the study after randomization [1,11].”
From Cluster randomized trials of individual-level interventions were at high risk of bias (2021) · cites this paper as [1]
Knowledge of treatment condition at the time of patient recruitment is known to be a risk factor for differential identification and recruitment of participants across treatment arms, unless recruitment and identification are conducted by someone blind to the treatment allocation or the inclusion criteria are broad.
“Knowledge of treatment condition at the time of patient recruitment is known to be a risk factor for differential identification and recruitment of participants across treatment arms [1,14,16,37], unless recruitment and identification are conducted by someone blind to the treatment allocation or the inclusion criteria are broad [2,11,14].”
From Cluster randomized trials of individual-level interventions were at high risk of bias (2021) · cites this paper as [1]
Methodological reviews have identified that many cluster trials are at risk of these identification and recruitment biases because they recruit participants with knowledge of allocated treatment and this often manifests in baseline imbalances.
“Methodological reviews have identified that many cluster trials are at risk of these identification and recruitment biases because they recruit participants with knowledge of allocated treatment and this often manifests in baseline imbalances [1,2,28].”
From Cluster randomized trials of individual-level interventions were at high risk of bias (2021) · cites this paper as [1]
In a review of recent randomized trials, cluster trials were reported to be more likely to have a significant baseline imbalance on age, whereas individually randomized trials were not.
“in a review of recent randomized trials, cluster trials were reported to be more likely to have a significant baseline imbalance on age, whereas individually randomized trials were not [1].”
From Cluster randomized trials of individual-level interventions were at high risk of bias (2021) · cites this paper as [1]
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- Authors
- Bolzern, J., Mnyama, N., Bosanquet, K., & Torgerson, D. J.
- Affiliations
- University of York (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Bolzern, Jaime
- Venue
- Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2018-07
- Volume
- 99
- Pages
- 106-112
- ISSN
- 0895-4356 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2792037397
- Cited by
- 48
- References
- 12
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 2
- FWCI
- 3.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Clinical Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Keywords
- selection bias, allocation concealment, baseline imbalance, risk of bias assessment
- MeSH terms
- Age Factors, Humans, Risk, Selection Bias, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Patient Selection
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