The DOI matches its Crossref record; 33 of the 33 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Internal and external effects of social distancing in a pandemic
Open accessAbstract
We develop a quantitative framework for exploring how individuals trade off the utility benefit of social activity against the internal and external health risks that come with social interactions during a pandemic. We calibrate the model to external targets and then compare its predictions with daily data on social activity, fatalities, and the estimated effective reproduction number R ( t ) from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. While the laissez-faire equilibrium is consistent with much of the decline in social activity in March in the US before any formal stay-at-home orders, optimal policy further imposes immediate and highly persistent social distancing. The expected cost of COVID-19 in the US is substantial, $12,700 in the laissez-faire equilibrium and $8,100 per person under an optimal policy. Optimal policy generates this large welfare gain by shifting the composition of costs from fatalities to persistent social distancing that largely suppresses the outbreak.
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Cites
A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics
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What Will Be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios
Atkeson, A. (2020) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w26867 · Cited by 888
A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown
Alvarez, F., Argente, D., & Lippi, F. (2020) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3569911 · Cited by 725
The Macroeconomics of Epidemics
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Does Social Distancing Matter?
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Integrating Behavioral Choice into Epidemiological Models of AIDS
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Cited by
Optimal Targeted Lockdowns in a Multi-Group SIR Model
Acemoglu, D., Chernozhukov, V., Werning, I., & Whinston, M. (2020) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w27102 · Cited by 490
The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending
Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Weber, M. (2020) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w27141 · Cited by 477
Anticipation of COVID-19 vaccines reduces willingness to socially distance
Andersson, O., Campos-Mercade, P., Meier, A. N., & Wengström, E. (2021) · Journal of Health Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102530 · Cited by 97
Antràs, P., Redding, S., & Rossi-Hansberg, E. (2020) · doi:10.3386/w27840 · Cited by 69
Metadata
- Authors
- Farboodi, M., Jarosch, G., & Shimer, R.
- Venue
- Journal of Economic Theory
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2021-09
- Volume
- 196
- Pages
- 105293
- ISSN
- 0022-0531 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4285368685
- Cited by
- 283
- References
- 33
- FWCI
- 16.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.