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“A number of challenges remain for integrating stakeholder participation with scenario analyses and quantitative modeling to support decision making at subnational and national scales (Rounsevell et al. 2012, Sohl and Claggett 2013, Verburg et al. 2013, Castella et al. 2014).”
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“This should be addressed 418 in future research, since the location of change may be highly relevant for the performance of certain 419 ecosystem services (Bryan and Crossman, 2008; Rounsevell et al., 2012).”
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“…dimension of GI must be focused, on one hand, on the promotion of compact urban development using innovative planning, and, on the other hand, on the improvement of environmental quality and socio-economic and ecological processes by involving policy makers and through stakeholder engagement [27].”
BackgroundLocal Wisdom for Ensuring Agriculture Sustainability: A Case from Indonesia
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“Smaller plots can also lead to the loss of natural land and wildlife populations, modifications on local climate, flora, and fauna [17,18].”
BackgroundA backcasting approach for matching regional ecosystem services supply and demand
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“To complement our short-term study and account for possible differential impacts on longer time scales, we suggest applying the same model, but with more attention given to the global level interactions and consequences on ES provision (Rounsevell et al., 2012; Br€andle et al., 2015).”
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Societal breakdown as an emergent property of large-scale behavioural models of land use change
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“However, the representation of human behavior in existing large scale land change models is generally simplistic, which reduces its applicability for a wide range of scenario applications that critically depend on human decisions, including climate change adaptation (Arneth et al., 2014; Rounsevell et al., 2012).”
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“However, these large-scale, gridbased empirical analyses provide limited insights into the human–environment interactions underlying the observed patterns (Rounsevell et al., 2012).”
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“Combining explorative scenarios with normative visions is an interesting approach for land system science (Castella et al. 2007; Rounsevell et al. 2012; Seppelt et al. 2013), because such an approach combines the credibility of explorative scenarios, as perceived by stakeholders, with the perceived…”
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“This link implies the driving forces of land use change, so it can provide the knowledge of transition inertia to future land use optimization (An et al., 2015; Rounsevell et al., 2012).”
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“ecology [27], modelling methods in relation to environmental change [28], and the shared methodologies between complex systemsscienceand landscapeecology [20].”
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“It is widely acknowledged that the current state of a SES is the outcome of patterns, processes, and decisions in the past (Foster et al. 2003, Kirch 2007, Rounsevell et al. 2012, Steen-Adams et al. 2015).”
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“Participatory scenario planning is one of the tools to achieve this (Rounsevell et al. 2012).”
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“Whether this is a powerful approach for land use modelling at large scales still has to be proven though (Rounsevell et al., 2012).”
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BackgroundGrand Challenges in Understanding the Interplay of Climate and Land Changes
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“…the theoretical lenses of land system science (Global Land Project (GLP), 2005; Lambin & Geist, 2006; Turner et al., 2007; Reenberg et al., 2012; Rounsevell et al., 2012; Verburg et al., 2013) and livelihood analysis (Chambers & Conway, 1992; Carney, 1999, 2002; De Haan & Zoomers, 2005;…”
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“Any innovation in this direction must face, though, the complex relationships between multiple land managers that pursue different – even conflicting – goals (Papy & Torre, 2002; Primdahl, 1999; Rounsevell et al., 2012; Tassinari, Torreggiani, & Benni, 2013).”
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“Initiating the transition towards the sustainable management of land resources, with the aim to sustain ES supply and human well being in general, depends on understanding the consequences of LU change on ecosystems (Rounsevell et al. 2012).”
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The second industrial transformation of Australian landscapes
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“Great advances have been made in understanding the biophysical and economic processes operating in agro-ecosystems [90].”
BackgroundApplying Occam's razor to global agricultural land use change
Engström, K., Rounsevell, M., Murray-Rust, D., Hardacre, C. J., Alexander, P. M., Cui, X., Palmer, P. I., & Arneth, A. (2015) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.015 · Cited by 35
“Transparency is important in communicating results, especially where the purpose of a model is to inform policy making (Giupponi et al., 2013; Rounsevell et al., 2012).”
BackgroundSelf-citationUse of Landsat and MODIS data to remotely estimate Russia’s sown area
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“…kdebeurs@ou.edu © 2013 Taylor & Francis In general, agricultural intensification is used to refer to a number of different processes: (1) an increase in inputs such as fertilizers or water; (2) management practices, such as crop rotation, fallow and cropping intensity (Rounsevell et al., 2012).”
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“In this regard, the challenge is to reduce land use change dynamics to a sufficiently simple state, so as to avoid becoming lost in (potentially) unimportant detail, yet capture enough information about these dynamics to develop policies capable of achieving management goals (Rounsevell et al., 2012).”
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“Unprecedented rates of global environmental change require understanding the modifications of the natural environment, as well as human responses to these changes that, together, influence the vulnerability of people and places (Lambin et al. 2006, Turner et al. 2007, Rounsevell et al. 2012).”
BackgroundIntegrating macro and micro scale approaches in the agent-based modeling of residential dynamics
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“The advantages of empirical analysis combined with multiscale models help expand and innovate the space for land system science to serve practice and help provide a solid basis for a multi-disciplinary intersection that serves land management [10].”
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“To date, empirical studies have mainly focused on investigating multi-objective cultivated land use benefits [57,58].”
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“However, better understanding of land governance networks in complex telecoupled situations is needed for robust empirical land governance and land policy [39,40].”
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“…integration aspect, has emerged as the most promising approach for reconciling the complexity and dynamics of land-use change (Lambin, 1994; Rounsevell et al., 2012), projecting alternative pathways into the future, and conducting experiments that test our understanding (Veldkamp et al.,…”
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“Therefore, studies on how land-use changes affect the ecosystems and their ES provisioning capacity are essential (Rounsevell et al. 2012).”
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“and International Human Dimensions Programmes [14,15] as an earth system science approach for assessing critical thresholds of sustainable resource management [7].”
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“The spatio-temporal patterns, processes, and causes of LULCC are still not well understood in land system science (Rounsevell et al., 2012; Verburg et al., 2013; Sun, 2018).”
BackgroundExperiments in Globalisation, Food Security and Land Use Decision Making
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How do Europeans want to live in 2040? Citizen visions and their consequences for European land use
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“Land system science has made major progress in understanding land use change (Rounsevell et al. 2012) and has highlighted the need to manage natural capital to ensure a continued provision of ecosystem services (Bateman et al.”
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Sustainability impact assessment of peatland-use scenarios: Confronting land use supply with demand
Hermanns, T., Helming, K., König, H. J., Schmidt, K., Li, Q., & Faust, H. (2017) · Ecosystem Services · doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.02.002 · Cited by 26
“But, the operationalization of SD of land use is challenged by the lack of decision-relevant and operationally functioning assessment methods (Pintér et al., 2012; Rounsevell et al., 2012; De Groot et al., 2010; Turner and Daily, 2008; Hacking and Guthrie, 2006; Wiggering et al., 2006).”
BackgroundMethodA role for data richness mapping in exploration decision making
Aitken, A., Occhipinti, S. A., Lindsay, M., & Trench, A. (2018) · Ore Geology Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.oregeorev.2018.07.002 · Cited by 25
The parallel trajectories and increasing integration of landscape ecology and land system science
Chowdhury, R. R., & Turner, B. L. (2019) · Journal of Land Use Science · doi:10.1080/1747423x.2019.1597934 · Cited by 26
“…the view that land systems are axiomatically SESs, land system science (hereafter, LSS) originally sought to understand the drivers of land change, emphasizing processes of human land-use and their consequences for land-cover and human well-being (Rounsevell et al., 2012; Turner et al., 2007).”
BackgroundInfluentialLand system science and its contributions to sustainable development goals: A systematic review
Zhao, Q., Yu, L., & Chen, X. (2024) · Land Use Policy · doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107221 · Cited by 26
Simulation of Land Use Pattern Based on Land Ecological Security: A Case Study of Guangzhou, China
Zhao, L., Liu, G., Xian, C., Nie, J., Xiao, Y., Zhou, Z., Li, X., & Wang, H. (2022) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph19159281 · Cited by 24
“Third is the integrated model; however, it is difficult to integrate the complex change characteristics of land use simulation with a single model, so most scholars use comprehensive or improved models for land use pattern simulation [19], such as the Markov–FLUS model [20], the CLUE–S model [21], the CA–Markov model…”
MethodLotze‐Campen, H., Verburg, P. H., Popp, A., Lindner, M., Verkerk, P. J., Moiseyev, A., Schrammeijer, E. A., Helming, J. F. M., Tabeau, A., Schulp, C. J. E., et al. (2017) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-017-1167-8 · Cited by 25
Self-citationLand Use Dynamics and Optimization from 2000 to 2020 in East Guangdong Province, China
Lai, Y., Huang, G., Chen, S., Lin, S., Wenjun, L., & Lyu, J.-X. (2021) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su13063473 · Cited by 24
“It is widely acknowledged that the greater the intensity of built-up land expansion, the greater the correlated ecological and social problems [10,99,100].”
BackgroundBeyond Inputs and Outputs: Opening the Black-Box of Land-Use Intensity
Erb, K., Fetzel, T., Haberl, H., Kästner, T., Kroisleitner, C., Lauk, C., Niedertscheider, M., & Plutzar, C. (2016) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-33326-7_4 · Cited by 24
Self-citationSynthesis of agricultural land system change in China over the past 40 years
Sun, Z., You, L., & Müller, D. (2018) · Journal of Land Use Science · doi:10.1080/1747423x.2019.1571120 · Cited by 23
“Understanding the patterns, processes, and causes of land use changes remains the core task and challenge of land system science (Rounsevell et al., 2012; Turner, Lambin, & Reenberg, 2007; Verburg, Erb, Mertz, & Espindola, 2013).”
BackgroundThe theories and methods for systematically understanding land resource
Liu, Y., & Fu, B. (2019) · Chinese Science Bulletin (Chinese Version) · doi:10.1360/n972018-01149 · Cited by 22
Zhu, Y., & Ling, G. H. T. (2024) · Ecological Informatics · doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2024.102763 · Cited by 22
Assessing hydrological and provisioning ecosystem services in a case study in Western Central Brazil
Koschke, L., Lorz, C., Fürst, C., Lehmann, T., & Makeschin, F. (2014) · Ecological Processes · doi:10.1186/2192-1709-3-2 · Cited by 22
“Further, the location of land use and land cover change (LULCC) is highly relevant for the performance of certain ES (Bryan and Crossman 2008; Rounsevell et al. 2012).”
BackgroundChen, S., Li, G., Xu, Z., Zhuo, Y., Wu, C., & Ye, Y. (2019) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su11092622 · Cited by 22
Busck-Lumholt, L. M., Coenen, J., Persson, J., Pedersen, A. F., Mertz, O., & Corbera, E. (2022) · Journal of Land Use Science · doi:10.1080/1747423x.2022.2086640 · Cited by 25
Dynamic Landscape Modelling: The Quest for a Unifying Theory
Gaucherel, C., Houllier, F., Auclair, D., & Houet, T. (2014) · Living Reviews in Landscape Research · doi:10.12942/lrlr-2014-2 · Cited by 21
“Scientists model landscapes for at least two reasons: to better understand landscape dynamics themselves (hereafter called intrinsic needs ), and to offer realistic frames to host other ecological, biological, sociological and/or physical processes ( extrinsic needs ) (Rounsevell et al. , 2012).”
A classification to align social-ecological land systems research with policy in Europe
Winkler, K. J., Scown, M., & Nicholas, K. A. (2018) · Land Use Policy · doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.06.034 · Cited by 24
Esgalhado, C., Guimarães, M. H., Lardon, S., Debolini, M., Balzan, M. V., Gennai-Schott, S., Rojo, M. S., Mekki, I., & Bouchemal, S. (2021) · Landscape and Urban Planning · doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2021.104134 · Cited by 21
A connectivity-based assessment framework for river basin ecosystem service management
Zhao, Y., Wei, Y., Wu, B., Lu, Z., & Fu, L. (2018) · Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability · doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2018.03.010 · Cited by 23
Proswitz, K., Edward, M. C., Evers, M., Mombo, F. M., Mpwaga, A., Näschen, K., Sesabo, J. K., & Höllermann, B. (2021) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su13126552 · Cited by 20
“Therefore, an approach is required that enables the systematic portrayal and analysis of the cause and effect relationships and feedbacks between the socio-economic, political, and ecological factors contributing to LULCC in the Kilombero catchment [8,45].”
BackgroundUsing ABM to Study the Potential of Land Use Change for Mitigation of Food Deserts
Gebrehiwot, A. A., Hashemi-Beni, L., Kurkalova, L. A., Liang, C. L., & Jha, M. K. (2022) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su14159715 · Cited by 20
König, H. J., Podhora, A., Helming, K., Zhen, L., Wang, C., Wübbeke, J., Baumeister, T., Du, B., & Yan, H. (2014) · iForest - Biogeosciences and Forestry · doi:10.3832/ifor1172-007 · Cited by 20
Determinants of Land Use/Cover Change in the Iberian Peninsula (1990–2012) at Municipal Level
Nogueira, D. F., & Rico, E. C. (2019) · Land · doi:10.3390/land9010005 · Cited by 20
König, H. J., Podhora, A., Zhen, L., Helming, K., Yan, H., Bingzhen, D., Wübbeke, J., Wang, C., Klinger, J. M., Chen, C., et al. (2015) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su7055027 · Cited by 20
“In research, land use systems are often described as a complex system of human-environmental interlinkages [13,14], which implies that sustainability-oriented land management cannot be based only on quantitative tools.”
Investigating the underlying drivers of vegetation dynamics in cold-arid mountainous
Xiao, X., Guan, Q., Zhang, Z., Liu, H., Du, Q., & Yuan, T. (2024) · CATENA · doi:10.1016/j.catena.2024.107831 · Cited by 19
Metadata
- Authors
- Rounsevell, M. D. A., Pedroli, B., Erb, K.-H., Gramberger, M., Busck, A. G., Haberl, H., Kristensen, S., Kuemmerle, T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, M., Lotze-Campen, H., Metzger, M. J., Murray-Rust, D., Popp, A., Pérez-Soba, M., Reenberg, A., Vadineanu, A., Verburg, P. H., & Wolfslehner, B.
- Affiliations
- University of Edinburgh (GB)
- Wageningen University & Research (NL)
- University of Klagenfurt (AT)
- Prospex (Belgium) (BE)
- University of Copenhagen (DK)
- Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (DE)
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- European Forest Institute (FI)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL)
- BOKU University (AT)
- Corresponding author
- Rounsevell, Mark D.A.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Land Use Policy
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2012-10
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 899-910
- ISSN
- 0264-8377 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2153036505
- Cited by
- 393
- References
- 181
- Citations by year
- 2026: 17 · 2025: 20 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 21 · 2022: 32 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 29 · 2019: 39 · 2018: 27 · 2017: 27 · 2016: 36 · 2015: 30 · 2014: 28 · 2013: 33 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 25.79
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- research.wur.nl
- Locations
- Land Use Policy (publishedVersion)
- VU Research Portal (publishedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion)
- Digital Academic REpository of VU University Amsterdam (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam) (submittedVersion)
- Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion)
- Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- European Commission
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Social Sciences › Development › Agriculture, Land Use, Rural Development
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Keywords
- land system science, land use change, multiscale modeling, complex systems thinking, scenario analysis, stakeholder engagement, land use intensity
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