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Geopolitical risk, uncertainty and Bitcoin investment

Al Mamun, Md, Uddin, Gazi Salah, Suleman, Muhammad Tahir, Kang, Sang Hoon·2020·Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

Abstract

We investigate the impact of geopolitical risk, global and US economic policy uncertainty on the structure of Bitcoin correlation with various financial and commodities asset classes. We further investigate the impact of the aforementioned factors on the volatility and risk premium of Bitcoin investment. We find that both geopolitical risk and global economic policy uncertainty command a risk premium, particularly in distress market conditions. Moreover, during the period of high policy uncertainty and worsening economic conditions, Bitcoin investors can only hedge their portfolio with gold, not with other financial assets. Our results highlight that the effect of geopolitical risk, global and US economic policy uncertainty is far more significant during unfavorable economic conditions.

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Metadata

Authors
Al Mamun, M., Uddin, G. S., Suleman, M. T., & Kang, S. H.
Venue
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2020-02
Volume
540
Pages
123107
ISSN
0378-4371 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2981084728
Cited by
163
References
4
FWCI
17.77
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Geopolitical risk, uncertainty and Bitcoin investment. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1016/j.physa.2019.123107
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Al Mamun, M., Uddin, G. S., Suleman, M. T., & Kang, S. H. (2020). Geopolitical risk, uncertainty and Bitcoin investment. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2019.123107

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.