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Diurnal cortisol slopes and mental and physical health outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Open accessAbstract
Changes in levels of the stress-sensitive hormone cortisol from morning to evening are referred to as diurnal cortisol slopes. Flatter diurnal cortisol slopes have been proposed as a mediator between chronic psychosocial stress and poor mental and physical health outcomes in past theory and research. Surprisingly, neither a systematic nor a meta-analytic review of associations between diurnal cortisol slopes and health has been conducted to date, despite extensive literature on the topic. The current systematic review and meta-analysis examined associations between diurnal cortisol slopes and physical and mental health outcomes. Analyses were based on 179 associations from 80 studies for the time period up to January 31, 2015. Results indicated a significant association between flatter diurnal cortisol slopes and poorer health across all studies (average effect size, r=0.147). Further, flatter diurnal cortisol slopes were associated with poorer health in 10 out of 12 subtypes of emotional and physical health outcomes examined. Among these subtypes, the effect size was largest for immune/inflammation outcomes (r=0.288). Potential moderators of the associations between diurnal cortisol slopes and health outcomes were examined, including type of slope measure and study quality indices. The possible roles of flatter slopes as either a marker or a mechanism for disease etiology are discussed. We argue that flatter diurnal cortisol slopes may both reflect and contribute to stress-related dysregulation of central and peripheral circadian mechanisms, with corresponding downstream effects on multiple aspects of biology, behavior, and health.
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“suggesting cortisol regulation plays a key mediating role in the relationship between stress exposure and later negative health outcomes (Adam et al., 2017; Chrousos and Gold, 1992; O ' Connor et al., 2021).”
From Effectiveness of stress management interventions to change cortisol levels: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2024) · cites this paper as Adam et al., 2017
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“Determining the quality of the cortisol measurements in the included studies was imperative to consider because the methods of cortisol collection are likely to impact study findings of intervention effective ness (Adam et al., 2017).”
From Effectiveness of stress management interventions to change cortisol levels: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2024) · cites this paper as Adam et al., 2017
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
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“exposure to chronic stress is a major contributor that leads to slope flattening”
From Strong Enough to Suffer: Emotional Suppression, Stress Exposure, and Physiological Health Among Men Across the Life Course (2026) · cites this paper as Adam et al., 2017
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
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“In a meta-analysis of diurnal cortisol slope and mental and physical health outcomes in 72 studies, Adam et al. (2017) found that flatter slopes in the morning were predictors of a higher mortality risk, adverse cardiovascular outcomes, and higher levels of mental health symptoms.”
From Strong Enough to Suffer: Emotional Suppression, Stress Exposure, and Physiological Health Among Men Across the Life Course (2026) · cites this paper as Adam et al., 2017
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“Loneliness affects youth’s diurnal cortisol, a key stress hormone [83, 84], potentially causing chronic increases in cortisol in young adulthood, leading to higher risks of depression, anxiety, inflammation, and other adverse health outcomes [85–87].”
From The prospective association of adolescent loneliness and low resilience with anxiety and depression in young adulthood: The HUNT study (2025) · cites this paper as [83]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Adam, E. K., Quinn, M. E., Tavernier, R., McQuillan, M. T., Dahlke, K. A., & Gilbert, K. E.
- Affiliations
- Northwestern University (US)
- Wesleyan University (US)
- American Institutes for Research (US)
- Washington University in St. Louis (US)
- Corresponding author
- Adam, Emma K.
- Venue
- Psychoneuroendocrinology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-09
- Volume
- 83
- Pages
- 25-41
- ISSN
- 0306-4530 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5568897
- OpenAlex
- W2618888428
- Cited by
- 905
- References
- 161
- Citations by year
- 2026: 113 · 2025: 115 · 2024: 104 · 2023: 100 · 2022: 133 · 2021: 112 · 2020: 128 · 2019: 59 · 2018: 38 · 2017: 2
- FWCI
- 5.47
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- europepmc.org
- Locations
- Psychoneuroendocrinology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (R21AA021073)
- National Institute of Mental Health (T32MH100019)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Behavioral Neuroscience › Stress Responses and Cortisol
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Adrenal Hormones and Disorders
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Endocrine and Autonomic Systems › Circadian rhythm and melatonin
- Keywords
- diurnal cortisol slope, cortisol, psychosocial stress, mental health, physical health, immune function, inflammation, circadian rhythm, health outcomes
- MeSH terms
- Circadian Rhythm, Emotions, Female, Humans, Hydrocortisone, Hypothalamo-Hypophyseal System, Male, Mental Health, Pituitary-Adrenal System, Saliva, Stress, Psychological
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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