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Cited by 153Hydrology and Watershed Management StudiesHydrology and Drought AnalysisSoil Moisture and Remote Sensing

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Investigating the impact of climate and land-use land cover changes on hydrological predictions over the Krishna river basin under present and future scenarios

Chanapathi, Tirupathi, Thatikonda, Shashidhar·2020·Science of The Total Environment
DOI 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137736
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Abstract

The climate and Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) changes evince the considerable impact on water balance components by altering the hydrological processes. So, the present work focuses on the evaluation of the combined impact of both the climate and LULC changes along with and without water storage structures on water balance components of the Krishna river basin, India under present and future scenarios with the help of Soil Water and Assessment Tool (SWAT). Sequential Uncertainty Fitting algorithm (SUFI-2) was used for the model calibration and validation, which were carried out at the Vijayawada gauge station. The coefficient of determination (R 2 ) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) values obtained during the calibration period were 0.63 and 0.61, respectively, whereas, in validation, these values were found to be 0.61 and 0.56, indicates satisfactory results. The results showed that the model simulations and performance were significantly influenced by the presence of water storage structures, whereas the LULC changes were effective at the sub-watershed level. Future LULC maps of 2025, 2055, and 2085 were simulated from the Cellular Automata (CA) Markov Chain model, and they were used along with future climate projections to investigate its impact on water balance components. The climate model projects an increase of water balance components specifically, surface runoff, streamflow, and water yield, except for evapotranspiration in the future. Whereas, the future LULC changes…

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Metadata

Authors
Chanapathi, T., & Thatikonda, S.
Affiliations
Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad (IN)
Corresponding author
Thatikonda, Shashidhar
ORCID
Venue
Science of The Total Environment
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2020-06
Volume
721
Pages
137736
ISSN
0048-9697 (ISSN-L)
DOI
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137736
OpenAlex
W3010591963
Cited by
153
References
0
Citations by year
2026: 18 · 2025: 28 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 35 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 17 · 2020: 5
FWCI
6.14
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Licence
Locations
  • The Science of The Total Environment (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Research Archive of Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad (Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad) (submittedVersion)
Funders
Ministry of Human Resource Development
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Soil Moisture and Remote Sensing
Keywords
climate change impacts, land use and land cover change, hydrological forecasting, Krishna River basin, water balance components, water storage structures, surface runoff, river discharge, water yield, evapotranspiration, future climate scenarios, RCP4.5, RCP8.5, SWAT model

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