Future mobility and land use scenarios: impact assessment with an urban case study
Open accessAbstract
In recent years the interest in urban mobility has grown considerably, not only due to the local increase in negative externalities generated by transport, but also because recent technological innovations are offering effective solutions especially in urban context. In particular, the introduction of Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) could radically change the mobility scenario allowing, on the one hand, a widespread diffusion of shared vehicles that could feed the stations of the mass rapid transit network, improving the attractiveness of Public Transportation (PT), and on the other, the implementation of Travel Demand Management (TDM) measures on large areas of the most densely urbanized (and congested) territory of a city, without reducing accessibility and creating social exclusion. The present study aims at evaluating, through a system of Land-Use Transportation Interaction (LUTI) models, the impacts on transport demand and on population and activities location, of transportation policies oriented to both enhancing PT and restricting the individual use of the car. The case study analyzed is represented by the urban area of Rome. Several scenarios have been simulated and compared by means of sustainability indicators. Preliminary results show that the improvement of PT services, combined with the introduction of car use restriction and car free areas, do induce not only a significant modal shift towards more sustainable transportation modes, but also a limitation of urban sprawl.
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Ride-sourcing AV systems and automated PT services are expected to play a key role in accessibility polarization.
“Ride-sourcing AV systems and automated PT services are expected to play a key role in accessibility polarization (e.g., [17,38,39]).”
From Implications of Autonomous Vehicles for Accessibility and Transport Equity: A Framework Based on Literature (2021) · cites this paper as [17]
The Introduction (page unavailable) says unequal accessibility can result from car-access pricing, but presents connected and automated vehicles as a way to make PT and car-sharing affordable and overcome social exclusion. The Conclusions (page unavailable) likewise describe shared automated vehicles feeding PT, including in low-demand areas. The paper therefore points toward reducing accessibility disparities, not the claimed polarization. (LLM, conf=0.80)
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Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredCombining ride-sourcing AV systems with management measures such as car use restrictions, car-free areas, and road-pricing schemes may provide the highest urban accessibility benefits.
“Combining such ride-sourcing AV systems with management measures such as car use restrictions, car-free areas, and road-pricing schemes may provide the highest urban accessibility benefits [17,18,40,41].”
From Implications of Autonomous Vehicles for Accessibility and Transport Equity: A Framework Based on Literature (2021) · cites this paper as [17]
The Results and Conclusions (page unavailable) support combining shared automated vehicles with car-use restrictions or car-free areas; the Results also report increased accessibility in one area from improved public transport and shared-vehicle services. The paper does not show that these combinations provide the highest urban accessibility benefits, and its discussion of road pricing in the Introduction is not an assessment of road pricing combined with shared AVs. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIntegration of ride-sourcing AVs with automated PT may also play a positive role in alleviation of existing inequities affecting users who cannot drive or own a car.
“This suggests that the integration of ride-sourcing AVs with automated PT may also play a positive role in the alleviation of existing inequities affecting users who cannot drive or own a car [17,34,39].”
From Implications of Autonomous Vehicles for Accessibility and Transport Equity: A Framework Based on Literature (2021) · cites this paper as [17]
The Introduction (page unavailable) says shared automated vehicles could make public transport and car-sharing more affordable and help overcome social exclusion for people who cannot afford a car. The Abstract and Conclusions describe shared automated vehicles feeding public transport. The paper does not specifically address inequities affecting people who cannot drive, so that part of the attributed claim remains unsupported. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe improvement of public transportation, large-scale restricted traffic areas, and pedestrian areas induces a significant modal shift towards better environmentally friendly alternatives.
“The improvement of public transportation large-scale restricted traffic areas and pedestrian areas induces a significant modal shift towards better environmentally friendly alternatives [54].”
From Assessing the Role of Autonomous Vehicles in Urban Areas: A Systematic Review of Literature (2024) · cites this paper as [54]
The Abstract and Conclusions report a significant shift toward more sustainable modes when improved public transport is combined with car restrictions and car-free areas. The claim omits that this is a result of simulated scenarios involving innovative shared-mobility solutions, and states the effect unconditionally; the Conclusions say it 'may induce' the shift and note that less stringent interventions did not substantially reduce transport-related harms. (LLM, conf=0.87)
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Research works printed but not linked: 8
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Dianin, A., Ravazzoli, E., & Hauger, G. (2021) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su13084448 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
“Combining such ride-sourcing AV systems with management measures such as car use restrictions, car-free areas, and road-pricing schemes may provide the highest urban accessibility benefits [17,18,40,41].”
BackgroundInfluentialAssessing the Role of Autonomous Vehicles in Urban Areas: A Systematic Review of Literature
Makahleh, H. Y., Ferranti, E. J. S., & Dissanayake, D. (2024) · Future Transportation · doi:10.3390/futuretransp4020017 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
- Authors
- Coppola, P., & Silvestri, F.
- Affiliations
- University of Rome Tor Vergata (IT)
- Corresponding author
- Coppola, Pierluigi
- Venue
- Transportation Research Procedia
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2019
- Volume
- 42
- Pages
- 53-63
- ISSN
- 2352-1457 (ISSN-L)
- 2352-1465
- OpenAlex
- W2999641439
- Cited by
- 18
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 5
- FWCI
- 0.80
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Transportation research procedia (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Virtual Community of Pathological Anatomy (University of Castilla La Mancha) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- INFM-OAR (INFN Catania) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (cc-by)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Automotive Engineering › Transportation and Mobility Innovations
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Transportation Planning and Optimization
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Urban Transport and Accessibility
- Keywords
- land use and transport interaction, connected and automated vehicles, shared vehicles, public transport, travel demand management, modal shift, urban sprawl, land use scenarios, Rome, sustainability indicators, transport policy
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