Cited by 76COVID-19 epidemiological studiesCOVID-19 and healthcare impactsCOVID-19 Clinical Research Studies

Reduced mortality in New Zealand during the COVID-19 pandemic

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Kung, Stacey, Doppen, Marjan, Black, Melissa, Hills, Tom, Kearns, Nethmi·2021·The Lancet

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Crossref · 10.1016/s0140-6736(20)32647-7

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  • The deficit in excess mortality in many high-quality reporting countries is due to decreases in non-natural and natural deaths during the analysed period and less severe influenza seasons in 2020 and 2021 relative to previous years.

    “The greater number of these countries have high-quality reporting systems and this deficit is due to deaths from non-natural and natural causes decreasing during the analysed period13 and there having been less severe influenza seasons in 2020 and 2021 relative to previous years19.”

    From The WHO estimates of excess mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic (2023) · cites this paper as [19]

    In “Reduced mortality in New Zealand during the COVID-19 pandemic,” the paper reports an 11% reduction in New Zealand’s all-cause mortality during weeks 13–42 of 2020. It explicitly says cause-specific death data were unavailable and only suggests that factors such as fewer road-traffic deaths might have contributed. It therefore does not establish the cited sentence’s explanation in terms of decreases in natural and non-natural deaths across multiple countries. The influenza comparison is attached to a different citation in the citing sentence. (LLM, conf=0.87)

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  • Non-pharmaceutical interventions may have played a role in reducing individuals' risk of death due to unintentional injuries and cirrhosis and related liver conditions.

    “Non-pharmaceutical interventions may have played a role in reducing individuals’ risk of death due to these causes, consistent with findings in several high-income settings59.”

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Authors
Kung, S., Doppen, M., Black, M., Hills, T., & Kearns, N.
Affiliations
  • Medical Research Institute of New Zealand (NZ)
  • Capital and Coast District Health Board (NZ)
Corresponding author
Kearns, Nethmi
Venue
The Lancet
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2021-01
Volume
397
Issue
10268
Pages
25
ISSN
  • 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
  • 0140-6736
OpenAlex
W3112541024
Cited by
76
References
2
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 1
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • The Lancet (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Modeling and Simulation › COVID-19 epidemiological studies
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
Keywords
COVID-19 pandemic, all-cause mortality, excess mortality, lockdown, public health interventions, New Zealand, mortality trends, border closures, self-isolation, pandemic impact on mortality, 2020-2021 pandemic period
MeSH terms
COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, Humans, Influenza, Human, New Zealand, Pandemics

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