The DOI matches its Crossref record; 12 of the 14 references it cites were found in a registry or an index, and 2 are not checked yet.
Optimistic bias in adolescent and adult smokers and nonsmokers
Abstract
Optimistic biases regarding the risks of smoking were examined among 200 adolescents (aged 12-17) and 203 adults (aged 30-50). Strong majorities of adolescent and adult smokers and nonsmokers agreed that smoking is addictive and causes death for "most people" who smoke. However, for themselves personally, adolescent and adult smokers were more likely than nonsmokers to doubt that they would die from smoking even if they smoked for 30 or 40 years. Furthermore, 60% of adolescent and 48% of adult smokers believed that they "could smoke for a few years and then quit" if they wished, figures far higher than for nonsmokers. Thus an optimistic bias regarding smoking risks appears to be held by both adolescent and adult smokers, especially by adolescents and especially regarding addiction. Implications for smoking prevention programs are discussed.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“The same applies to estimation of health risks of smoking—adolescents have a more optimistic attitude regarding their smoking behavior than adults, believing that they “could smoke for a few years and then quit” if they wished (Arnett 2000).”
From Short- and Long-Term Consequences of Nicotine Exposure during Adolescence for Prefrontal Cortex Neuronal Network Function (2012) · cites this paper as Arnett 2000
Citations
Cites
Optimistic Biases About Personal Risks
Weinstein, N. D. (1989) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.2686031 · Cited by 1,035
Tobacco Industry Promotion of Cigarettes and Adolescent Smoking
Pierce, J. P. (1998) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.279.7.511 · Cited by 595
Risk-perception: Differences between adolescents and adults.
Cohn, L. D., Macfarlane, S., Yañez, C., Imai, W. K., & al, E. (1995) · Health Psychology · doi:10.1037//0278-6133.14.3.217 · Cited by 377
Gerrard, M., Gibbons, F. X., Benthin, A. C., & Hessling, R. M. (1996) · Health Psychology · doi:10.1037//0278-6133.15.5.344 · Cited by 335
Accuracy of smokers' risk perceptions
Weinstein, N. D. (1998) · Annals of Behavioral Medicine · doi:10.1007/bf02884459 · Cited by 319
Risk-perception: Differences between adolescents and adults.
Cohn, L. D., Macfarlane, S., Yañez, C., et al. (1995) · Health Psychology · doi:10.1037/0278-6133.14.3.217 · Cited by 295
Smoking: Making the Risky Decision.
Loewenstein, G. F., & Viscusi, W. K. (1994) · Contemporary Sociology A Journal of Reviews · doi:10.2307/2075381 · Cited by 265
Gerrard, M., Gibbons, F. X., Benthin, A. C., et al. (1996) · Health Psychology · doi:10.1037/0278-6133.15.5.344 · Cited by 248
Schoenbaum, M. (1997) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.87.5.755 · Cited by 150
Perceptions of smoking risk as a function of smoking status
McCoy, S. B., Gibbons, F. X., Reis, T. J., Gerrard, M., Lüüs, C. A. E., & Sufka, A. V. W. (1992) · Journal of Behavioral Medicine · doi:10.1007/bf00844942 · Cited by 141
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 201–300 of 305
Saving for a Rainy Day? Comparative Optimism About Disability in Old Age
Rafaely, V., MANTSUR, A., BAR-DAVID, L., & Meyer, J. (2011) · Journal of Applied Social Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1559-1816.2011.00747.x · Cited by 5
Health Beliefs About Tobacco With Betel Nut Use Among Adults in Yap, Micronesia
Tareg, A. C., Modeste, N., Lee, J. W., & Santos, H. D. (2015) · International Quarterly of Community Health Education · doi:10.1177/0272684x15581344 · Cited by 5
Perceived Susceptibility to Addiction among Adolescent Smokers
Twigg, O. C., & Byrne, D. G. (2015) · Journal of Child & Adolescent Substance Abuse · doi:10.1080/1067828x.2013.812531 · Cited by 5
Psychosocial Determinants of Intention to Use Tobacco Among Adolescents in India
Nagarkar, A., & Gadhave, S. (2015) · Psychology Community & Health · doi:10.5964/pch.v4i2.106 · Cited by 5
Can I Live? College Student Perceptions of Risks, Security, and Privacy in Online Spaces
Haltinner, K., Sarathchandra, D., & Lichtenberg, N. (2016) · Communications in computer and information science · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-28313-5_6 · Cited by 5
Project reach: Piloting a risk-tailored smoking cessation intervention for lung screening
Lennes, I. T., Luberto, C. M., Carr, A. L., Hall, D. L., Strauss, N. M., Ponzani, C. J., & Park, E. R. (2018) · Journal of Health Psychology · doi:10.1177/1359105318756500 · Cited by 5
Are smokers too optimistic about their health status: Ex ante perception versus ex post observation
Hsieh, C., & Lo, T.-F. (2017) · China Economic Review · doi:10.1016/j.chieco.2017.01.013 · Cited by 5
Assessing the Health Perspectives of Unique Populations of Adolescents: A Focus Group Study
Shannon, P., & Broussard, C. A. (2011) · Social Work in Health Care · doi:10.1080/00981389.2010.545318 · Cited by 5
McDaniel, P. A., Lown, E. A., & Malone, R. E. (2017) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0183961 · Cited by 5
Rainisch, B. K. W., Dahlman, L., Vigil, J., & Forster, M. (2022) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-022-13428-x · Cited by 4
The illusion of over-optimism in survey data: the case of manufacturers’ selling prices
Rötheli, T. F. (2004) · The Journal of Socio-Economics · doi:10.1016/j.socec.2004.09.004 · Cited by 4
Schreuders, M., Krooneman, N. T., van den Putte, B., & Kunst, A. E. (2018) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph15040767 · Cited by 4
Denham, B. E. (2010) · Youth & Society · doi:10.1177/0044118x10379736 · Cited by 4
Park, K.-Y. (2009) · Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing · Cited by 4
Davies, M., & Ruda, S. (2023) · Behavioural Public Policy · doi:10.1017/bpp.2023.13 · Cited by 3
Wang, Z., & Chen, Z. (2023) · Bulletin of Science Technology & Society · doi:10.1177/02704676231220842 · Cited by 8
RetractedRisk targets: to what extent does ‘who’ is at risk influence risk perception?
Lo, C. J., Jensen, O., & Lee, L. (2025) · Journal of Risk Research · doi:10.1080/13669877.2024.2447246 · Cited by 3
Perceived Severity of Interrelated Cardiometabolic Risk Factors among U.S. College Students
Merianos, A. L., Jacobs, W., Oloruntoba, O., Gittens, O. E., & Smith, M. L. (2020) · American Journal of Health Education · doi:10.1080/19325037.2020.1765907 · Cited by 5
Diehl, K., Brassat, A., & Hilger-Kolb, J. (2021) · BMC Sports Science Medicine and Rehabilitation · doi:10.1186/s13102-021-00247-7 · Cited by 3
Ng, J. C. K., Chong, J. Y. H., & Ng, H. K. Y. (2023) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/s41599-023-02409-z · Cited by 3
Influencing optimistic bias: Moderating roles of perceived severity and proximity
Kim, H., & Lee, Y. (2024) · Journal of Consumer Behaviour · doi:10.1002/cb.2307 · Cited by 3
담뱃갑 경고그림 유형과 선행요인에 따른 설득 효과: 이익프레임과 손실프레임 간 비교 분석을 중심으로
Kim, H., & Moon, M. (2017) · Korean Journal of Journalism & Communication Studies · doi:10.20879/kjjcs.2017.61.4.005 · Cited by 3
Perceptions of food hygiene risk in a group of Tamil food handlers living in the UK
Howard, M., & Wignarajah, K. (2008) · Journal of Foodservice · doi:10.1111/j.1745-4506.2008.00093.x · Cited by 3
Smoking in adolescence: what a clinician can do to help
Sunday, S. R., & Folan, P. A. (2004) · Medical Clinics of North America · doi:10.1016/j.mcna.2004.06.006 · Cited by 3
PRELIMINARY FINDINGS ON KOREAN ADOLESCENTS' PERCEPTIONS OF HEALTH RISKS
Kim, Y. (2007) · Psychological Reports · doi:10.2466/pr0.101.3.995-1000 · Cited by 3
Raptou, E., Mattas, K. A., & Katrakilidis, C. (2009) · American Journal of Economics and Sociology · doi:10.1111/j.1536-7150.2009.00640.x · Cited by 3
Cognition at risk: Gestalt/feature-intensive processing and cigarette smoking in college students
Sharps, M. J., Villegas, A. B., & Matthews, J. L. (2005) · Current Psychology · doi:10.1007/s12144-005-1009-6 · Cited by 3
Communication Issues Associated with the Likelihood of HPV Vaccine Acceptance among College Students
Abramoff, B. A. (2008) · eCommons (Cornell University) · Cited by 3
Pöppel, K., Kreutz, G., Müller, M. I., & Büsch, D. (2024) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-024-63127-3 · Cited by 2
Tesfaye, L., Wakeman, M., Baskin, G., Gregory, T., Gruse, G., Leahy, E., Kendrick, B., & El‐Toukhy, S. (2025) · BMJ Public Health · doi:10.1136/bmjph-2024-002354 · Cited by 2
Pandemics and Resiliency: Psychometrics and Mental Models
Tallapragada, M. (2021) · Risk, systems and decisions · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-77344-1_5 · Cited by 2
Occupational risks and risk perception among Hispanic adolescents
Young, M., & Rischitelli, D. G. (2020) · McGill Journal of Medicine · doi:10.26443/mjm.v9i1.614 · Cited by 2
Smokers and ex-smokers reaction to anti-smoking advertising: a mixed methods approach
Kothe, E. J., & Mullan, B. A. (2011) · Deakin Research Online (Deakin University) · Cited by 2
Sanderson, S. C., McBride, C. M., O’Neill, S. C., Docherty, S. L., Shepperd, J. A., & Lipkus, I. M. (2014) · Public Health Genomics · doi:10.1159/000356708 · Cited by 2
Stefnumörkun í heilbrigðismálum: Leiðin til lýðheilsu
Andersen, K. K., Andersen, K. K., & Gudnason, V. G. (2013) · Læknablaðið · doi:10.17992/lbl.2013.03.487 · Cited by 2
The Smoking Mind: A Psycho-Cognitive Perspective
Masiero, M. A., Renzi, C., & Pravettoni, G. (2017) · Beiträge zur Tabakforschung international · doi:10.1515/cttr-2017-0004 · Cited by 2
Yun, L., & Berry, T. R. (2017) · Journal of Global Sport Management · doi:10.1080/24704067.2017.1411166 · Cited by 2
Thawal, V. P., Tzelepis, F., Ahmadi, S., Palazzi, K. L., & Paul, C. L. (2022) · Drug and Alcohol Review · doi:10.1111/dar.13440 · Cited by 2
Associations between adolescents’ cognitive distortion and misperceptions about cigarette smoking
Jia, C. X., Cheung, C., & Li, L. (2023) · Psihologija · doi:10.2298/psi221007012j · Cited by 2
Gonzalez, S. K., Trapl, E., Albert, E. L., Ishler, K. J., Cavallo, D. N., Lim, R., & Flocke, S. A. (2021) · Drug and Alcohol Dependence · doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2021.109235 · Cited by 2
Perceived Risk of Tobacco Products among Adult Tobacco Users in Bangladesh and India
Sansone, N. (2014) · UWSpace (University of Waterloo) · Cited by 2
Evaluation of iSTART: A Novel Substance Use Prevention Web-App Designed for Diverse College Students
Rainisch, B. K. W., Dahlman, L., Shahverdi, A., Alhassan, S., & Forster, M. (2025) · Evaluation & the Health Professions · doi:10.1177/01632787251322996 · Cited by 1
Chapin, J., & Coleman, G. (2006) · Journal of School Violence · doi:10.1300/j202v05n01_03 · Cited by 1
Bosson, M., Maggiori, C., Gygax, P. M., & Gay, C. (2011) · Journal of Youth Studies · doi:10.1080/13676261.2011.635195 · Cited by 1
Corona, R., Yaros, A., Pope, M., Velazquez, E., & Augustin, D. (2015) · Journal of Ethnicity in Substance Abuse · doi:10.1080/15332640.2015.1028693 · Cited by 1
Rogers, R., Wallner, C., Goodwin, B., Heitland, W., Weisser, W. W., & Brosius, H. (2017) · International journal of communication · Cited by 1
Adolescent E-cigarette Users at Highest Risk of Cigarette Smoking Intention
Owotomo, O., & Maslowsky, J. (2021) · American Journal of Health Behavior · doi:10.5993/ajhb.45.4.10 · Cited by 2
The role of temporal distance on forecasting the difficulty of goal pursuits
Delose, J. E., & vanDellen, M. R. (2022) · Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1080/00224545.2021.2020204 · Cited by 1
Justice, J. W. (2022) · Rhetoric of Health & Medicine · doi:10.5744/rhm.2022.5022 · Cited by 1
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0006 · Cited by 1
A Survey of Smoking Perceptions via Smoke-Free Community Network Online Service (SFC-NOS): Phase II
Chaikoolvatana, A., Chaikoolvatana, C., Saisingh, N., & Pheunpha, P. (2014) · Srinagarind Medical Journal (SMJ) - ศรีนครินทร์เวชสาร · Cited by 1
Lawrance, K.-A. G., Kirkwood, A., Travis, H. E., & Selby, P. L. (2020) · The Journal of Smoking Cessation · doi:10.1017/jsc.2020.28 · Cited by 1
Economic Perspectives on Addiction: Hyperbolic Discounting and Internalities
Laux, F., & Peck, R. M. (2009) · Cited by 1
Monzani, D., Pancani, L., Rusconi, P., & Pravettoni, G. (2021) · Psychological Reports · doi:10.1177/00332941211036028 · Cited by 1
Reduktion des unrealistischen Optimismus in einer nationalen Tabakpräventionskampagne in der Schweiz
Poggiolini, C., & Wirth, W. (2021) · Studies in Communication and Media · doi:10.5771/2192-4007-2021-4-557
Bernardes, S. F., & Lima, M. L. (2005) · Estudos de Psicologia (Natal) · doi:10.1590/s1413-294x2005000300001 · Cited by 1
Smoking associated factors in students during their last year of higher education
Zuzulich, M. S., Cabieses, B., V, Nuria Pedrals, G., Escudero, L. C., Aldunate, D. M., Serrano, M. M., & Sepúlveda, M. E. (2010) · Investigación y Educación en Enfermería · doi:10.17533/udea.iee.6392 · Cited by 1
Steier, J. (2015) · CUNY Academic Works (City University of New York) · Cited by 1
McCain, C. (2009) · ResearchSpace (University of KwaZulu-Natal)
Alcohol expectancies, alcohol use, and risky behavior among college students
Swinehart, E. R. (2007) · NC Digital Online Collection of Knowledge and Scholarship (The University of North Carolina at Greensboro)
Ekechukwu, O., & Ekenedo, G. O. (2015)
Smoking and Cardiovascular Risk: Role of Personality in Adolescent Smoking
Mazanov, J., & Byrne, D. G. (2015) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-4560-53-5_67-1
Cultural Values and Purchasing Reasons in Four Latin American Countries. an Exploratory Study.
Esqueda, S., & Perez, O. C. (2008) · ACR Latin American Advances
Electronic Cigarettes: Diffusion of a Controversial Innovation
Pepper, J. K. (2019) · Carolina Digital Repository (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) · doi:10.17615/vt1s-zh44
Husten, C. G., & Apelberg, B. J. (2016) · American Public Health Association eBooks · doi:10.2105/9780875532783ch07
Song, A. V., Brown, P., & Glantz, S. A. (2014)
[The cyclophosphamide treatment of glomerulonephritis patients].
Vv, D. (1991) · PubMed
Risk Factors for Development of High Blood Pressure and Obesity Among African American Adolescents
White, M. S. (2010) · ScholarWorks (Walden University)
Optimistic Bias in Physical Activity: When Exercise Flows into Addiction
Riva, S., Masiero, M. A., Mazzocco, K., & Pravettoni, G. (2018) · international journal high risk behaviors & addiction · doi:10.5812/ijhrba.67697
On Being Religious: Will Religiosity Change Our Perceptions of Pleasure in Reckless Behavior?
Christianty, P., Himawan, K. K., & Aditya, Y. (2019) · Journal of Educational Health and Community Psychology · doi:10.12928/jehcp.v8i2.12647
Percepcija neranjivosti, upuštanje u rizična ponašanja i zadovoljstvo životom kod srednjoškolaca
Milić, M., Vlajčić, R.-M., & Križanić, V. (2019) · Kriminologija & socijalna integracija : časopis za kriminologiju, penologiju i poremećaje u ponašanju · doi:10.31299/ksi.27.2.1
Toward a New Model of Public Relations Crisis and Risk Communication Following Pandemics
Chen, Z. F., Li, Z. C., Ji, Y. G., Stacks, D. W., & Yook, B. (2021) · doi:10.1002/9781119751809.ch10
Smoking and Cardiovascular Risk: Role of Personality in Adolescent Smoking
Mazanov, J., & Byrne, D. G. (2016) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-287-206-7_67
Bala, F. E., Mvessomba, E. A., & Essomba, H. C. N. (2022) · European Scientific Journal ESJ · doi:10.19044/esj.2022.v18n26p70
Li, C. (2022) · Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research/Advances in social science, education and humanities research · doi:10.2991/978-2-494069-89-3_331
Neuroscience: A lifespan perspective
Jansson-Boyd, C. V., & Bright, P. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-13581-1.00010-8
(2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-13581-1.10000-7
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.002.0007
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0001
The Problem of Evil for Axiarchists
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0005
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0012
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0007
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0002
The Problem of Evil for Pantheists
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0004
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.002.0003
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.002.0004
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0010
The Advantages that Traditional Theists Enjoy
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0009
Responses to the Problem of Impermanence
Nagasawa, Y. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198901884.003.0011
Diehl, K., Brassat, A., & Hilger-Kolb, J. (2021) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.14150945
Marynak, K., Cohen, J. E., Thrul, J., Kennedy, R. D., Limaye, R. J., & Moran, M. B. (2026) · Nicotine & Tobacco Research · doi:10.1093/ntr/ntag129
Metadata
- Authors
- Arnett, J. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Maryland, College Park (US)
- Corresponding author
- Arnett, Jeffrey Jensen
- Venue
- Addictive Behaviors
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2000-07
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 625-632
- ISSN
- 0306-4603 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2162921028
- Cited by
- 305
- References
- 12
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 18 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 13 · 2012: 15
- FWCI
- 1.24
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Addictive Behaviors (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Clark Digital Commons (Clark University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Risk Perception and Management
- Keywords
- optimism bias, smoking risk perception, adolescent smokers, adult smokers, non-smokers, tobacco dependence, smoking cessation, smoking prevention programs
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Attitude to Health, Female, Humans, Internal-External Control, Male, Middle Aged, Motivation, Smoking, Risk Assessment
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review